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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo revises forecast to 15M for FY, 17.76 LTD shipped by March 31st

Nintendo Switch was the best selling system in the Americas for 7 out of the 10 months it was available and was the best selling system in Japan for all 10 months it was available. It had the fastest first 10 months of sales in the United States, Japan, and several European countries. It was the second best selling system for the whole year in the United States and the best selling system in Japan, despite in both regions, only being out for 10 months.

It currently has the highest ratio of software to hardware sold for its top games like Super Mario Odyssey, Mario Kart 8: Deluxe, and The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild. In its debut year, two exclusive titles for it were in top contention for game of the year and both were critical success stories as well.

On a global scale, much of that is warranted to say that Nintendo dominated 2017.



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PaulGaleNetwork said:
Nintendo Switch was the best selling system in the Americas for 7 out of the 10 months it was available and was the best selling system in Japan for all 10 months it was available. It had the fastest first 10 months of sales in the United States, Japan, and several European countries. It was the second best selling system for the whole year in the United States and the best selling system in Japan, despite in both regions, only being out for 10 months.

It currently has the highest ratio of software to hardware sold for its top games like Super Mario Odyssey, Mario Kart 8: Deluxe, and The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild. In its debut year, two exclusive titles for it were in top contention for game of the year and both were critical success stories as well.

On a global scale, much of that is warranted to say that Nintendo dominated 2017.

Fully agreed! 2017 was Nintendo's year. The beginning of a new era.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

nemo37 said:
zorg1000 said:

Doubt it.

Jan-March 2017, 2.74 million

April-June 2017, 1.96 million

Jan-June 2017-4.70 million

 

They need to ship 2.87 million to hit their fiscal goal and considering they have raised it twice already they should meet it.

As for April-June, it had heavy shortages last Spring hence the sub-2 million shipment which should easily be beaten this year.

 

My guess is Switch will ship ~6 million in the first half of 2018.

But the lineup right now does not have something with the same kick as BoTW did in the first-half, though we have more ports and smaller scale software. I am not sure if that will be enough to maintain momentum, particularly when Sony is coming out with a very strong software library (MHW and God of War being two big titles; and RDR2 being another) in order to stick on the mind of gamers.

You are making the same mistake people made last year.

"BotW & MK8D are on Wii U so they wont sell systems"

"1 2 Switch & ARMS are motion control shovelware"

"It cant compete with games like Horizon, Mass Effect, Ghost Recon"

 

You are using the "hardcore" forum goer mentality that usually ends up being wrong.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
kopstudent89 said:
Think they'll take a hit First half 2017. They really need to up their game for the latter half of the year to do those numbers again

Doubt it.

Jan-March 2017, 2.74 million

April-June 2017, 1.96 million

Jan-June 2017-4.70 million

 

They need to ship 2.87 million to hit their fiscal goal and considering they have raised it twice already they should meet it.

As for April-June, it had heavy shortages last Spring hence the sub-2 million shipment which should easily be beaten this year.

 

My guess is Switch will ship ~6 million in the first half of 2018.

First half comparatively might be up but they haven't announced anything remotely as explosive as Mario Odyssey, Splatoon, Zelda and MK to actually have that momentum building into the holidays. This all depends on Labo which I'm not sure will be as impactful as Nintendo want it to be.



France, Spain, and Germany off the top of my head, are some of the European countries where Nintendo Switch has become the fastest selling console, ever.  There are some countries, where it was the fastest selling Nintendo console ever, but not necessarily the fastest period.  Canada too, it became the fastest.

Overall for the year, PlayStation 4 sold more units worldwide, but it was also out for a full 12 months.  The software:hardware ratio was also something quite epic on Nintendo Switch...beating out any other platform’s debut.  Take Super Mario Odyssey selling to 60% of the NS userbase in just 2 months and 1/2 a week.  Incredible.

The YouTube videos and Twitter trending talk of Nintendo Switch was also excellent for the year and showed a shift in what people currently, really want.  We shall see if Nintendo is able to keep up with momentum and supply in 2018.  If they can, I see no reason why there won’t be 35 million NS consoles out there by December 31st, 2018.  We shall see!



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Here is to 2018 being even more impressive!



kopstudent89 said:
zorg1000 said:

Doubt it.

Jan-March 2017, 2.74 million

April-June 2017, 1.96 million

Jan-June 2017-4.70 million

 

They need to ship 2.87 million to hit their fiscal goal and considering they have raised it twice already they should meet it.

As for April-June, it had heavy shortages last Spring hence the sub-2 million shipment which should easily be beaten this year.

 

My guess is Switch will ship ~6 million in the first half of 2018.

First half comparatively might be up but they haven't announced anything remotely as explosive as Mario Odyssey, Splatoon, Zelda and MK to actually have that momentum building into the holidays. This all depends on Labo which I'm not sure will be as impactful as Nintendo want it to be.

To be fair, we are still in January, and Nintendo loves to reveal big games at E3. They will probably have Animal Crossing for holidays as well as Fire Emblem (already announced). Yoshi is also there as a filler. I believe they just need the rumored Smash port to go along with Animal Crossing to hit their target.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

Switch is killing! Somebody call 911!



 

 

We reap what we sow

kopstudent89 said:
zorg1000 said:

Doubt it.

Jan-March 2017, 2.74 million

April-June 2017, 1.96 million

Jan-June 2017-4.70 million

 

They need to ship 2.87 million to hit their fiscal goal and considering they have raised it twice already they should meet it.

As for April-June, it had heavy shortages last Spring hence the sub-2 million shipment which should easily be beaten this year.

 

My guess is Switch will ship ~6 million in the first half of 2018.

First half comparatively might be up but they haven't announced anything remotely as explosive as Mario Odyssey, Splatoon, Zelda and MK to actually have that momentum building into the holidays. This all depends on Labo which I'm not sure will be as impactful as Nintendo want it to be.

Well to be fair thats because they havent let us know what they have planned for the second half of this year but if Kimishima really expects to ship 20 million next fiscal year than its safe to assume they have something big up their sleeves.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Hopefully Nintendo doesn’t run into any or as many hardware supply issues in 2018.  With the year already having a good lineup in terms of new, original releases and high profile Wii U games that many people did not experience before, I think the system will do well.  Plus...Labo.  Nobody thinks it’s going to bomb. (Or if they do, they are sorely mistaken.)  I think everyone could agree that it’s going to be a multi million seller.

What remains to be seen, is just how high of a seller will it be to existing owners and how many new people will it bring in to wanting to buy the system to play it.  It’s safe to assume that there will be 17 million Nintendo Switch owners by April 20th.  A 20% attach rate would be 3.4 million Labo sets sold, easily, in the first 10 days of availability.

If the marketing and word-of-mouth is strong, kids will tell their friends and Nintendo Swich sales will skyrocket in the month of May and beyond.  If it could sell 10 million copies by July 1st, with Nintendo Switch being at 20 million by that date, then the rest of 2018 will be smooth sailing for Nintendo.