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Nintendo revises forecast to 15M for FY, 17.76 LTD shipped by March 31st

Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo revises forecast to 15M for FY, 17.76 LTD shipped by March 31st

The 15M for 1st FY have been expected in VGC since December update from Ninty I would say.



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What was their previous forecest? unfortunately I forget...I'd like to know how much they adjusted up.



Ka-pi96 said:
Johnw1104 said:
Easily the most impressive thing from this was that Odyssey has already topped 9 million. I knew it was selling well but that rather blew me away.

Yeah, that is indeed incredibly impressive. I'd say it's much more impressive than Zelda's >100% attach rate at launch. The more consoles out there (and the more people with different tastes that are buying games) the harder it gets to have huge attach rates like that. 9m sales on a 14m install base is absolutely fantastic!

Yeah, we all knew that BotW was a "killer app" for the launch but I didn't hear people saying that about Odyssey for the holidays... now that I've seen these numbers I do wonder if it deserves that title as well. I wish I could see a survey to see how much late-year Switch purchasers were doing so to get Odyssey, as these numbers suggest more enthusiasm for it than I'd realized.



SuperNova said:
What was their previous forecost? unfortunately I forget...I'd like to know how much they adjusted up.

There was two, at one time they believed it would sell 10 million FY2018, and they raised it 14 Million. I don't know if this was reported financially or was just rumored the very first forecast was 8 million (However this might have been for the calendar year 2017).



 

Ka-pi96 said:
Trunkin said:

EU isn't the only region that matters. Switch did extremely well in the US, and dominated in Japan.

And Japan is? That was literally the only region it "dominated". So to say it "dominated" 2018 is hyperbole at best and an outright lie at worst...

Nope. I was just engaging in some borderline trolling because the comment I was responding to seemed a bit insecure to me. Like he just can't handle the fact that NA is talked about so much more than EU, so he had a knee-jerk reaction even though it wasn't even explicitely stated by anyone that the Switch was dominating specifically in the US at all in the first place.

Really, though, who cares if someone uses the word "dominate" anyway? It's been abused so much in gaming communities that it's nearly lost all meaning.



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Acevil said:
SuperNova said:
What was their previous forecost? unfortunately I forget...I'd like to know how much they adjusted up.

There was two, at one time they believed it would sell 10 million FY2018, and they raised it 14 Million. I don't know if this was reported financially or was just rumored the very first forecast was 8 million (However this might have been for the calendar year 2017).

Thanks. I had a vague 14 Million in my head, so I guess that is the one I was thinking of. So they raised it by 1 Million. I think when they first released the 14 Million one I thought they might end up doing 16 Million when it's all said and done.

It all depends on how much they can even ship. They are planning 2.9 million for the quarter. Not sure if I can see them going much higher, if only because of manufacturing constraints.



DonFerrari said:
The 15M for 1st FY have been expected in VGC since December update from Ninty I would say.

It was more in the 14M ballpark if I remember right ... Unless you were referencing Tbone's prediction :P



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What was the most recent forecast right before they upped it to 15m?

Trunkin said:
Ka-pi96 said:

And Japan is? That was literally the only region it "dominated". So to say it "dominated" 2018 is hyperbole at best and an outright lie at worst...

Nope. I was just engaging in some borderline trolling because the comment I was responding to seemed a bit insecure to me. Like he just can't handle the fact that NA is talked about so much more than EU, so he had a knee-jerk reaction even though it wasn't even explicitely stated by anyone that the Switch was dominating specifically in the US at all in the first place.

Really, though, who cares if someone uses the word "dominate" anyway? It's been abused so much in gaming communities that it's nearly lost all meaning.

Can Ouya dominate 2018 as well?
(It sold 1 copy in Bangladesh in August 5, more than any other system for that day.)

Last edited by Hiku - on 31 January 2018

peachbuggy said:
takoyaki7 said:
First 4 quarter of sales(The Americas/Other/Japan)

3DS   15.03M(5.47/4.91/4.66)
Switch 14.86M(5.94/5.20/3.72)
Wii  13.17M(5.46/4.04/3.67)
DS  8.83M(2.87/2.34/3.63) 
WiiU  3.91M(1.75/1.01/1.15)

PS4 13.5M
https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/pdf/2018/180131e.pdf

That's great for the Switch, considering its sales only include 3 quarters!

It includes 4 quarters on Switch. The launch quarter on the other platforms weren't full three months either.

The Switch was available for almost 10 months worldwide (2017-03-03 to 2017-12-31)

For example, the 3DS was available in Japan just a week longer (2011-02-27 to 2011-12-31) and 3 to 4 weeks shorter in the rest of the world than the Switch (25th/27th/31st March 2011 to 2011-12-31) .

The PS4 was only available 6 weeks in the US and 4 weeks in Europe in its launch quarter and totally absent in Japan.

Last edited by Conina - on 31 January 2018