EricHiggin said:
This. Nin's consoles have an overall user base that is unstable in comparison to XB and PS. Switch being sold as a console puts it in that category to some degree. Since it is also a handheld, it also fits into that category as well, which has a much more stable user base for Nin. Until we see how many Wii type buyers are in the mix, as well as how many handheld buyers switch to Switch, it will be very hard to guess at overall life time sales. I don't see Switch puttering out so soon and only doing Gamecube type numbers, but I also don't see enough evidence yet for Wii type numbers either, so I'm guessing somewhere in between at the moment. Sales over the next year or two should give a strong indication whether Switch has long legs or if it slowly fizzles out. If Nin still continues with handheld and Switch, and Switch only sells say 40M or 50M life time, that's not bad at all assuming their new handheld hardware continues to sell strong like it always has. If Switch is going to be the future all in one Nin device, they should expect to at least match overall handheld sales as the price drops over time. |
We should have a better idea after January's direct. I've suspected for a while, and Kimishima's comments seem to indicate, that this past year has been more or less a soft launch main to get a solid base among their core fanbase. This year I think they'll be doing more to get back some of the Wii/DS gamers. I don't think they'll be going quite as far in that direction as they did before, but I definitely expect a few big titles meant to attract casual gamers.