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Forums - Sales Discussion - Amazon U.S. January bestsellers and general Amazon-based discussion

SWORDF1SH said:

I think Switch will have a far better January than you predict. Also I think PS4 will be a little higher, 200-220k.

Over 300k is madness level for January This mean February / March will be +500K months!!!!!



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Ryng_Tolu said:
SWORDF1SH said:

I think Switch will have a far better January than you predict. Also I think PS4 will be a little higher, 200-220k.

Over 300k is madness level for January This mean February / March will be +500K months!!!!!

It will happen ;)

I believe the demand is that high.

Since initial Switch reveal I predicted a Wii-esque type of success, even when people were bitching about price and power. I think Switch will do some damage in 2018.



God forbid switch sells 240k-260k. Sales are falling iff a cliff starts



SWORDF1SH said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Over 300k is madness level for January This mean February / March will be +500K months!!!!!

It will happen ;)

I believe the demand is that high.

Since initial Switch reveal I predicted a Wii-esque type of success, even when people were bitching about price and power. I think Switch will do some damage in 2018.

lol there is no indication it will happen, september, and october are way bigger months along with  small pent up demand due to stock issues, october also had Mario launch. January will be 180-220k .



p0isonparadise said:

January is typically an average sales month.

3DS
2012: 172,000
2013: 135,000
2014: 170,000
2015: 74,000

XB1
2014: 141,000
2015: 150,000
2016: 130,000
2017: 150,000

PS4
2014: 271,000
2015: 189,000
2016: 227,000
2017: 210,000

Wii
2007: 436,000
2008: 274,000
2009: 679,000
2010: 465,000

So don't expect anything too crazy.

"average sales month" then looks at Wii sales...



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quickrick said:
SWORDF1SH said:

It will happen ;)

I believe the demand is that high.

Since initial Switch reveal I predicted a Wii-esque type of success, even when people were bitching about price and power. I think Switch will do some damage in 2018.

lol there is no indication it will happen, september, and october are way bigger months along with  small pent up demand due to stock issues, october also had Mario launch. January will be 180-220k .

This is not true. February and March are bigger than September and October.

 

February in particular is the biggest non holiday month of the year. It happen that some times September or October are bigger, but only because the release of some games, however, in a month withouth nothng special, February is way bigger than every others months, even if is only 4 weeks sales are still bigger than any others months.

March is second, and September third.



quickrick said:
SWORDF1SH said:

It will happen ;)

I believe the demand is that high.

Since initial Switch reveal I predicted a Wii-esque type of success, even when people were bitching about price and power. I think Switch will do some damage in 2018.

lol there is no indication it will happen, september, and october are way bigger months along with  small pent up demand due to stock issues, october also had Mario launch. January will be 180-220k .

If it does do that dont say its falling off a cliff ok. 180k beats every x1 and 3ds jan and 220k beats 2 of 4/5 ps4 jan



Okay, I know I'm going a bit off topic but this is really interesting. I went back to last gen to see what PS3/360 were selling in January and was surprised.

PS3
2007: 244,000
2008: 269,000
2009: 203,000
2010: 277,000
2011: 267,000
2012: 161,000
2013: 210,000

X360
2006: 250,000
2007: 294,000
2008: 230,000
2009: 309,000
2010: 333,000
2011: 381,000
2012: 270,000
2013: 281,000

January used to be a really good sales month, 3DS/PS4/XB1 have been disappointments.



Going off Amazon Switch should have no problem selling 270k this month.



Ryng_Tolu said:
quickrick said:

lol there is no indication it will happen, september, and october are way bigger months along with  small pent up demand due to stock issues, october also had Mario launch. January will be 180-220k .

This is not true. February and March are bigger than September and October.

 

February in particular is the biggest non holiday month of the year. It happen that some times September or October are bigger, but only because the release of some games, however, in a month withouth nothng special, February is way bigger than every others months, even if is only 4 weeks sales are still bigger than any others months.

March is second, and September third.

i was talking about January.  like i said september, and october for switch should have had small boost due to stock issue,and mario for switch then other regular months, but nothing indicates wii like sales on regular months on npd.