StreaK said:
Barkley said: We'll know if it's going to keep up or not by June, 1st half of 2018 is going to be a real test for the Switch. |
Yeah, exactly. Man who would have predicted this? But then again, Xbox One did alright in its first 12 months.
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No it didn't. Actually, if you check out sales and/or shipments for consoles on Wikipedia (you can also get some on the Video Game Sales Wiki), consoles' performances in their first year are usually a pretty good indication of how things will go for at least the following 2-3 years. Some consoles have experienced a significant change in sales later on (PS3 picked up, Wii fell off a cliff), but it takes a while for the market to respond. Probably the closest we've come to a console's sales changing early on was the DS, which got a big boost from the release of the DS Lite, but it was still doing reasonably well before that.
As for this Switch vs. PS4 thing, all I know is that Nintendo are planning to ship at least 25m Switches next financial year, which would be more than the PS4's biggest year was. That doesn't guarantee sales, of course, but it does give reason to be optimistic about what Nintendo are capable of.