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Is there a possibility of Super Mario Odyssey Ships (+Digita) Close to 10mil by years end?

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Is there a possibility of Super Mario Odyssey Ships (+Digita) Close to 10mil by years end?

By next year's end definitely. By this year's end, most likely not.



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Possible if it gets a 100% attach ratio.



That's stretching even by your standards, tbone. XD

I do expect it to be at around 6.5-7 million, minimum, and become the Switch's #1 best selling game in the process, passing Breath of the Wild, which should be around 6 million by that point as well.
But 10 million? When the best selling 3D Mario game, Galaxy 1, took 10 years to get to 12.76 million?
Yeah, I'm going to lump this comfortably in the "Impossible" category.



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Paul said:
Possible if it gets a 100% attach ratio.

'Member at launch when BotW had +%100 attach rate?

 

Not saying that will happen with Mario but the Switch has been kind of crazy this year.

EDIT: According to an article I just looked up by Polygon for March of 2017 BotW had a 102% attach rate in the USA

Last edited by The_Yoda - on 04 December 2017

Paul said:
Possible if it gets a 100% attach ratio.

I said 10mil not 15mil



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tbone51 said:
Paul said:
Possible if it gets a 100% attach ratio.

I said 10mil not 15mil

Hmmm.. So Switch is going to sell as well globally as PS4 over nov/dec? That seems a bit much.



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)


Barkley said:
tbone51 said:

I said 10mil not 15mil

Hmmm.. So Switch is going to sell as well globally as PS4 over nov/dec? That seems a bit much.

Not impossible. Nintendo are apparently planning to ship at least 25m Switches next fiscal year, which would be more than PS4 has shipped in any one year. I don't think they'd be setting their sights that high unless the console was selling extremely well now.



Barkley said:
tbone51 said:

I said 10mil not 15mil

Hmmm.. So Switch is going to sell as well globally as PS4 over nov/dec? That seems a bit much.

Is it much? Maybe more like 14mil but its not impossible.

 

Nintendo forecast by end of march is 14mil for the fy. Add to the 2.7mil that sold in its first month then its around 17mil for end of march. Take away 2mil-3mil for th next quarter then if the target is hit we should see switch around 14mil-15mil.



It would be amazing if it did. But it will be lucky to get to 5 million.



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