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PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

What do you expect?

NSW will win by a huge margin 18 6.69%
 
NSW will win by a small margin 59 21.93%
 
PS4 will win by a small margin 70 26.02%
 
PS4 will win by a huge margin 115 42.75%
 
Sorry, no troll XB1 option. :P Oh wait... 7 2.60%
 
Total:269

It'll be close. I think the Switch will take it, but only just. At this point I can see the PS4 ending up around ~125m and the Switch at around ~130m.



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If the NS picks up the 3DS crowd, I could see it winning.

Otherwise, I'd pick the PS4.



BraLoD said:
You made that D-SS list yourself? I liked it.
Anyway, the PS4, I expect it to sell around 120M units.

Yes, i made that list. DS/PS2 are SS tier obvius because they are just the TOP of the TOP.



2020 predictions: NSW 21m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 9m, XB1 3m
(PS5 and XSX predictions will most likely change after we know enough about them)

A lot of people seem to be absolutely certain about the future when we really do not yet know if the Switch's baseline is artificially high or artificially low due to severe supply constraints. Both are possible.

Personally, I'm wondering if there is a fad effect happening for the Switch in North America, which might result in a softening of the market faster than normal. If so, Nintendo could counter that with a good pace to first party software releases but that's another "we don't know yet" area. Same with consistent third party releases of key titles. They certainly seem to be trying a lot harder to adhere to a clear strategy, which is something Nintendo has lacked in recent years. The new regime might be just what they needed.



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Didn't the PS4 sell about 15M in it's first year on the market? And Switch is expected to ship 16.7 by it's first year? They'll both be close when it comes to first year aligned.

The safe bet is the PS4. The bet I want to make is Switch. Hm..... I don't know

No. That’s the Switch prediction for the first 5 quarters including launch, not first year. And that’s the first full FY for the PS4 not including launxh.



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Switch is going to take this.

People still make the mistake to consider Switch either a home console or a handheld depending on what best suits their argument at any given time. But since the market reception clearly points towards the best of both worlds, sales projections should be made in accordance to that. The home console and handheld market combined are bigger than the home console market alone.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

caffeinade said: 

Also, China.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iskWad8Gtas

Sony cares about China too. AAA exclusive is a bigger investement than anything Nintendo is doing.



RolStoppable said:
Switch is going to take this.

People still make the mistake to consider Switch either a home console or a handheld depending on what best suits their argument at any given time. But since the market reception clearly points towards the best of both worlds, sales projections should be made in accordance to that. The home console and handheld market combined are bigger than the home console market alone.

So, the Switch was will sell 80M as a handheld and 80M as a console?



Lawlight said:
RolStoppable said:
Switch is going to take this.

People still make the mistake to consider Switch either a home console or a handheld depending on what best suits their argument at any given time. But since the market reception clearly points towards the best of both worlds, sales projections should be made in accordance to that. The home console and handheld market combined are bigger than the home console market alone.

So, the Switch was will sell 80M as a handheld and 80M as a console?

No, the numbers you use would make it 160m because it can do both.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
Lawlight said:

So, the Switch was will sell 80M as a handheld and 80M as a console?

No, the numbers you use would make it 160m because it can do both.

So, how many units?