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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

 

What do you expect?

NSW will win by a huge margin 53 16.06%
 
NSW will win by a small margin 75 22.73%
 
PS4 will win by a small margin 75 22.73%
 
PS4 will win by a huge margin 117 35.45%
 
Sorry, no troll XB1 option. :P Oh wait... 10 3.03%
 
Total:330
160rmf on 03 December 2019

These concerns of Switch sales slowing down bc of the new consoles coming remind me people confident in the past that PS4pro and Xonex release would kill any chance of switch finding success.

And people didn't get the memo that Nintendo is going to support switch way beyond than past home consoles? Is Nintendo really stupid to combine its software output in a system that is pumping in sales to then early cut that just bc it needs to release a more powerful console? For what? So it can get the approval seal in gaming forums as a real 9th gen system and get ignored by AAA producers with some lame excuse like "the audience is not there"?

Get some sense

Last edited by 160rmf - on 04 December 2019

 

 

We reap what we sow

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Barkley on 03 December 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Wii Fit also had an entire holiday season by this point and was very heavily marketed. No small wonder it sold like hot cakes.

And, like Pyro already pointed out, Ring Fit Adventure has stock issues as Nintendo wasn't prepared to it's level of success, while Wii Fit didn't have that problem.

RolStoppable said:

A game like Ring Fit Adventure doesn't need a strong launch month to go on to sell 10m+. A game like it gains traction through good word of mouth, and the game now being in short supply in Japan is already a hint for a different sales curve compared to the usual video game.

Wow other people actually think 10m+ is feasible? Crazy. Yes the game won't follow a standard sales curve, which is why I said 5m, not 2.5m.

Feasible sales range is 3.5-7m.



Bofferbrauer2 on 03 December 2019
Barkley said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Wii Fit also had an entire holiday season by this point and was very heavily marketed. No small wonder it sold like hot cakes.

And, like Pyro already pointed out, Ring Fit Adventure has stock issues as Nintendo wasn't prepared to it's level of success, while Wii Fit didn't have that problem.

RolStoppable said:

A game like Ring Fit Adventure doesn't need a strong launch month to go on to sell 10m+. A game like it gains traction through good word of mouth, and the game now being in short supply in Japan is already a hint for a different sales curve compared to the usual video game.

Wow other people actually think 10m+ is feasible? Crazy. Yes the game won't follow a standard sales curve, which is why I said 5m, not 2.5m.

Feasible sales range is 3.5-7m.

Ehm... If Nintendo had the stock for it I'm pretty sure Wii Fit would already come awfully close to those 3.5M in the next quarterly report. The way it is I'm more expecting something like 2M, so just not enough to make it into the top 10, but well enough to get a good mention during the IR meeting.



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Barkley on 03 December 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Barkley said:

Wow other people actually think 10m+ is feasible? Crazy. Yes the game won't follow a standard sales curve, which is why I said 5m, not 2.5m.

Feasible sales range is 3.5-7m.

Ehm... If Nintendo had the stock for it I'm pretty sure Wii Fit would already come awfully close to those 3.5M in the next quarterly report. The way it is I'm more expecting something like 2M, so just not enough to make it into the top 10, but well enough to get a good mention during the IR meeting.

I agree. 3.5m is pretty much "worst case scenario". 2M shipped by the end of the year is actually the least I expect.



Soundwave on 03 December 2019

I wouldn't be too surprised if nothing going forward outsells the PS4. PS5 probably has the best shot, but I think streaming services in 3-5 years are going to start to have an impact on physical hardware sales, this is going to be the last generation without a large impact from that.



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zorg1000 on 03 December 2019
Soundwave said:
I wouldn't be too surprised if nothing going forward outsells the PS4. PS5 probably has the best shot, but I think streaming services in 3-5 years are going to start to have an impact on physical hardware sales, this is going to be the last generation without a large impact from that.

I also think MS will have learned from their initial XBO blunders and come back stronger next gen.

I still fully expect PS5 to beat in handily but it should put up a better fight.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

curl-6 on 03 December 2019
160rmf said:

These concerns of Switch sales slowing down bc of the new consoles coming remind me people confident in the past that PS4pro and Xonex release would kill any chance of switch finding success.

Yeah, I remember a lot of folks citing PS4 Pro and Xbox One X as a major reason Switch would be DOA; that it would just be too far behind in power to be taken seriously.

The last two and a half years have shown pretty clearly that there is room for both Switch and the dedicated console space to coexist without harming one another. PS5 and Scarlett won't undermine Switch sales.



Soundwave on 03 December 2019
curl-6 said:
160rmf said:

These concerns of Switch sales slowing down bc of the new consoles coming remind me people confident in the past that PS4pro and Xonex release would kill any chance of switch finding success.

Yeah, I remember a lot of folks citing PS4 Pro and Xbox One X as a major reason Switch would be DOA; that it would just be too far behind in power to be taken seriously.

The last two and a half years have shown pretty clearly that there is room for both Switch and the dedicated console space to coexist without harming one another. PS5 and Scarlett won't undermine Switch sales.

Majority of Switch owners do own a PS4/XB1, but it looks like they purchased those before Switch. The thing with PS5/XB2 that changes that dynamic a bit though is some of that crowd may start buying a PS5/XB2 and playing primarily on those when those do come out. 



zorg1000 on 03 December 2019
Soundwave said:
curl-6 said:

Yeah, I remember a lot of folks citing PS4 Pro and Xbox One X as a major reason Switch would be DOA; that it would just be too far behind in power to be taken seriously.

The last two and a half years have shown pretty clearly that there is room for both Switch and the dedicated console space to coexist without harming one another. PS5 and Scarlett won't undermine Switch sales.

Majority of Switch owners do own a PS4/XB1, but it looks like they purchased those before Switch. The thing with PS5/XB2 that changes that dynamic a bit though is some of that crowd may start buying a PS5/XB2 and playing primarily on those when those do come out. 

I dont understand the concern, what you are saying is people who bought a PS4/XB1 from 2013-2016 and bought a NSW from 2017-2019 are going to buy a PS5/XB2 in 2020-2023, those people already own a NSW so they arent stealing sales from it.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Soundwave on 03 December 2019
zorg1000 said:
Soundwave said:

Majority of Switch owners do own a PS4/XB1, but it looks like they purchased those before Switch. The thing with PS5/XB2 that changes that dynamic a bit though is some of that crowd may start buying a PS5/XB2 and playing primarily on those when those do come out. 

I dont understand the concern, what you are saying is people who bought a PS4/XB1 from 2013-2016 and bought a NSW from 2017-2019 are going to buy a PS5/XB2 in 2020-2023, those people already own a NSW so they arent stealing sales from it.

The issue is more that they choose from 2020 onwards to spend the majority of their play time/game budget on their newer PS5/XB2 because those are the new and exciting thing.