In China alot of gamers don't play video games at home. They play video games in cafes and other public places. Nintendo may be betting that they will easily accept the Switch because it is portable. Maybe a revamped online system will also help Nintendo reach this goal.

It gets shipped early the following fiscal year.

I have no issue with Nintendo selling 30M (althougth I think that is very far to reach, and people saying Nintendo is confident is also a little conflitant because the amount the launched and the production rate didn't show a lot of confidence).

My only question is people thinking it makes sense for Nintendo to produce 30M and sell less than 20M in a year.

I think 20M is more likely and even that is quite aggressive for a second year.

If they need to produce 25% more than they can sell just to prevent droughts then Nintendo really is bad at planning inventory and reading the market and determine demand.

They producing more than they can or will ship is quite different than produce excessive inventory just to met unrealistic production.

And why produce before and make the console more expensive just to reach your or and other forum goers prediction?

So we can say Sony will produce 40M PS4 so they can leave the factories idle for one year?

That lower production rate was not because of a lack of confidence, but rather shortages in parts they couldnt do much about.

And in general,e veryone is reading to much into this, its probably just a PR statement to make shareholders more satisfied. They will probably realistically make 15-20 million units, not much more than that.

This makes no sense I can't even figure out what you're trying ask other then assume you mean why make them, because that's how business has always operated you don't seem to understand what is meant by making units as each month they make a certain amount to ship on a schedule in the last month of the fiscal year they're still making units to ship the following month which is in the next fiscal year.

That is one narrative. If they planned the release correctly there wouldn't be a reason to not be able to produce more, because even with the analysts puting the other products that affected the components for Switch, they sold dozen Millions, so it wasn't like Nintendo wouldn't be able to produce more if they planned and had confidence.

Nintendo can't make this type of PR because that would manipulate market and stock and is a crime (this isn't a real Nintendo PR), and my questioning is to people thinking it is reasonable to produce 30M planning to ship 20M.

Exactly because I know how business work I'm calling BS on anyone expecting they to have this much inventory unshipped.

Wth are you on about do you really think they make all 25m over night then wait with it? In the last month the will be unshipped units for the following month.

If they make 30M on a year that is about 2,5M per month and you are thinking about 2M of production on their factory instead of like 1 or 2 weeks on it, besides the already normal 1 or 2 months of sale on shipping channel (for 25M sales that would be 2-4M) so we would be talking about like 9M of unsold consoles on a 25M sold year... where does that make any sense?