"-Horizon will reach 7M next year"

Prediction smashed!


Sony Interactive Entertainment (SIE) today announced global sales of Horizon Zero Dawn™ have exceeded 7.6 million copies just one year since it launched exclusively on PlayStation®4 (PS4™)*1. The exceptional year-one-sales mark Horizon Zero Dawn as the most successful new first-party franchise launch on PS4. Horizon Zero Dawn was released on February 28, 2017 to widespread critical acclaim, winning numerous industry awards.

https://www.sie.com/en/corporate/release/2018/180228.html

Kudos to you man!

I don't see 2018 to be the peak year, 2017 was the "fake" peak year (because of the launch of the PS4 Pro) but it will not go any higher than 20 millions

PS4Pro launched in 2016 so that doesn't make any sense.

Errrrrrrr...... no.

And did you see what a $200 PS4 did to sales for less than 6 days?

Now imagine the PS4 at that price point for more than 4/5 months of the year.

Launched in november 2016, and people bought it during 2017 (while PS4 Pro optimized games were released), I don't know how it doesn't make any sense to you.

Just like Xbox got its highest january this year since launch because of the Xbox One X.

There is a bunch of people here believing Sony would sell PS4 for 199$ starting this year but I don't see any reason to do so, they're currently selling it at 299$ and the sales aren't slowing down. There is absolutely no reason to a 100$ price cut.

So you think Xbox one x is going to get its highest january sales next year aswell?

My understanding is that a product sells the most upon release and then we will see if it has legs down the line.

You could argue that PS4Pro had legs through 2017 but i don't see why that wouldn't also be true for 2018 and 2019. 2017 isn't any different.

All games released after October 2016 supports PS4Pro so saying "PS4 Pro optimized games were released" doesn't make any sense because that happened in 2016 aswell and it will also happen in 2018. 

PS4 has an even better software line-up for 2018 so i don't see why it wouldn't sell better since that is the main difference between 2017 and 2018.

I don't think Xbox One X's sales will be greater next year, I don't see the Xbox selling more than 50 millions in its lifetime.

2017 was the year where 2 new PS4 models were on the market, a cheaper one and a more powerful one. People who already owned a PS4 and wanted a PS4 Pro already bought it. I don't see why there would be a higher demand this year for both PS4 models, that's why I think the peak was in 2017.

I may be wrong, like many of us were wrong about many subjects here. If I'm wrong, I would go to the "I was wrong" thread and post it how I was wrong about the PS4's peak year.

And in 2018 there will still be two sony consoles on the market. And they stand to be cheaper.

I don't really know of this will be its peak year, personally I have my doubts..... but thats only beacuse like you I also believe that sony may not drop the price to $199 early enough or at all this year. 

But that brings up something else. As a company sony will want sales of the PS4 to improve or at the very least remain flat. They have the single biggest trump card yet to play and thats to hit that $199 price point. Now the only reason they don't do that is if they are estimating remaining at least flat this year... if between march and E3 or shortly after there is a slump in PS4 sales then be rest assured they will drop the price.

So if they aren't dropping the price, its because they are having a 20-18M year anyways and would take selling fewer consoles while making higher margins on every unit sold. If they drop they price it would be cause the year was trending much lower than that and the price drop coupled with the usual slew of strategic bundles will ensure they remain flat or beat last year.