By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming Discussion - PS4 will outsell the Gameboy+Gameboy Color, 2018 to be peak year and other predictions

76.5 million shipped. 42.19M to go!



Around the Network

I dont think 2018 will be its peak but i do see it passing GB/GBC.

FY03/14-7.5m

FY03/15-14.8m (22.3m)

FY03/16-17.7m (40m)

FY03/17-20m (60m)

FY03/18-19m (79m)

FY03/19-16m (95m)

FY03/20-12m (107m)

FY03/21-8m (115m)

FY03/22-4m (119m)

FY03/23-1m (120m)



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

SpokenTruth said:
Q3 shipments dropped from 9.7 million in 2016 to 9 million in 2017 despite the $199 PS4. Given that information, I'm not so certain 2018 will be a new peak year. Any drops won't be significant though. Does anyone have the Q1-3 numbers for 2016 and 2017?

"The $199 PS4" was only in the US for 10 days and it was sold out during that time.  The drop in shipments can be attributed to the deal not being available worldwide (because Sony would not been able to meet demand).



SpokenTruth said:
Q3 shipments dropped from 9.7 million in 2016 to 9 million in 2017 despite the $199 PS4. Given that information, I'm not so certain 2018 will be a new peak year. Any drops won't be significant though. Does anyone have the Q1-3 numbers for 2016 and 2017?

Shipments dropped in Q3 but difference between sell through and shipments are a lot smaller than last year



SpokenTruth said:
Train wreck said:

"The $199 PS4" was only in the US for 10 days and it was sold out during that time.  The drop in shipments can be attributed to the deal not being available worldwide (because Sony would not been able to meet demand).

If demand was so much higher, why were shipments reduced?

They underestimated demand most likely 



Around the Network
SpokenTruth said:
Train wreck said:

"The $199 PS4" was only in the US for 10 days and it was sold out during that time.  The drop in shipments can be attributed to the deal not being available worldwide (because Sony would not been able to meet demand).

If demand was so much higher, why were shipments reduced?

In the region where the price was reduced, demand picked up and it was not high enough to offset the decline in shipments to areas where there was no deals, like the rest of the world outside the US.



SpokenTruth said:
Q3 shipments dropped from 9.7 million in 2016 to 9 million in 2017 despite the $199 PS4. Given that information, I'm not so certain 2018 will be a new peak year. Any drops won't be significant though. Does anyone have the Q1-3 numbers for 2016 and 2017?

Calender Year shipments

2016, 2017

Q1-2.3, 2.9

Q2-3.5, 3.3

Q3-3.9, 4.2

Q4-9.7, 9.0

Total-19.4, 19.4



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

handheld vs console.... yeah no thanks. not even relevant to each other. maybe throw Atari in there too? along with game gear.



 

SpokenTruth said:
Kerotan said:

They underestimated demand most likely 

They estimated less demand in 2017 for a $199 PS4 compared to 2016 and a full price PS4 despite even or up sales through Q1 and Q2?

Train wreck said:

In the region where the price was reduced, demand picked up and it was not high enough to offset the decline in shipments to areas where there was no deals, like the rest of the world outside the US.

So demand outside the US was down a lot?

The PS4 wasn't full price in the US in the holiday. It was 249$ for three weeks in december. Comparatively, the PS4 had no meaningful deals in the US this december. Given that they chose to be less aggressive on price in the US this december, they rightfully estimated demand in the US to be down. Which was exactly what happened. I don't really see what you're trying to get at, but it was fairly apparent that Sony chose to be less aggressive on pricecuts this holiday.



SpokenTruth said:
Kerotan said:

They underestimated demand most likely 

They estimated less demand in 2017 for a $199 PS4 compared to 2016 and a full price PS4 despite even or up sales through Q1 and Q2?

Train wreck said:

In the region where the price was reduced, demand picked up and it was not high enough to offset the decline in shipments to areas where there was no deals, like the rest of the world outside the US.

So demand outside the US was down a lot?

You tell me, define a lot.  They were off by 700k units.  I don't know why I'm walking through the scenario with you as I'm sure you're just being difficult for difficulty sake.

US: October 1-November 18; sales of the PS4 could have been down y/y due to price, anticipation of a cheaper PS4, the Xbox One X, the switch, a number of reasons.  Nov 19-November 27 The $199 price comes into play, sales shoot up, demand not meet to Sony not shipping enough in time. November 28-December 31st, demand slows as the price goes back to $299 for the first two weeks and the $249 Star wars bundle was not enough to entice buyers who wanted it cheaper.  The 9 day frenzy propels sales in the US.

Rest of the world: October 1- December 31 No deals, no significant game releases, sales can be flat to down because of no catalyst present that was available in the US.

The combination of the two scenarios caused the drop in overall shipments for Q3.