Quantcast
September NPD 2017 prediction thread (yes, here we go again)

Forums - Sales Discussion - September NPD 2017 prediction thread (yes, here we go again)

Which console will sell more

Switch 168 57.73%
 
PlayStation 4 115 39.52%
 
Xbox one 8 2.75%
 
Total:291
Welfare said:
Farsala said:

Because it sucked sales out of August, and the numbers were pathetic so a large % increase is not surprising. The actual sales increase was lesser. Lets take another look

2014 Aug+ Sept: 190k+538k= 728k

2015:  209k+ 354k = 563k

2016: 160k+ 285k = 445k

2017: 190k + ??? = ???

If we take weekly avg of August and compare to September, September 2016 was almost equal to August 2015.

2014:  47.5 to 107.6

2015: 52.25 to 70.8

2016: 40 to 57

2017: 47.5 to ???

Ignoring Destiny month, 2 years in a row the PS4 increased by 17k/ w.  Leading to 64.5 * 5= 322.5k. But I am not that optimistic and personally predicted 310k,  which would be quite the disappointing month. Anything less than that would be ridiculously bad imo, of course it could still happen with the Switch effect but so far it hasn't been true.

No sales were sucked out of August since the slim and price drop were both announced the same week in September.

Okay then the numbers were simply pathetic. Do you happen to know PS4s bottom months? I would bet that August 2016 was one of them. And for 5 week months September 2016 was pretty bad. Clearly a bad time for PS4 sales, unlike now imo.



Around the Network
Farsala said:
Welfare said:

No sales were sucked out of August since the slim and price drop were both announced the same week in September.

Okay then the numbers were simply pathetic. Do you happen to know PS4s bottom months? I would bet that August 2016 was one of them. And for 5 week months September 2016 was pretty bad. Clearly a bad time for PS4 sales, unlike now imo.

May 2015 is the only month that was lower, at 153k.



StarDoor said:
Farsala said:

Okay then the numbers were simply pathetic. Do you happen to know PS4s bottom months? I would bet that August 2016 was one of them. And for 5 week months September 2016 was pretty bad. Clearly a bad time for PS4 sales, unlike now imo.

May 2015 is the only month that was lower, at 153k.

Yep pretty close to being the worst month, something was up.



Bump for more predictions, NPD is almost there.



Weren't the results for September supposed to be out by now?



YNWA

Around the Network

^^ that's what I thought as well?



Bet with flashfire926: I think switch will win November NPD, and he thinks xbox one will win (if ps4 is victorious, it's a draw). Loser has to state that they lost in the signature for some time.

kopstudent89 said:
Weren't the results for September supposed to be out by now?

NPD won't publish their report until next week. The numbers were likely released to private customers, so unless a company's pr wants to brag about how well they did (and Nintendo and Sony tend to stay relatively quiet) we won't get any information until next Thursday. 



Ariakon said:
kopstudent89 said:
Weren't the results for September supposed to be out by now?

NPD won't publish their report until next week. The numbers were likely released to private customers, so unless a company's pr wants to brag about how well they did (and Nintendo and Sony tend to stay relatively quiet) we won't get any information until next Thursday. 

Thanks. Guess we'll have to wait another week. Would've thought Nintendo wanted to brag about the SNES performance!



YNWA

Ariakon said:
kopstudent89 said:
Weren't the results for September supposed to be out by now?

NPD won't publish their report until next week. The numbers were likely released to private customers, so unless a company's pr wants to brag about how well they did (and Nintendo and Sony tend to stay relatively quiet) we won't get any information until next Thursday. 

I think NPD's control for public release of data extends to its customers, so nobody is allowed to brag about results before NPD makes their own public release.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
Ariakon said:

NPD won't publish their report until next week. The numbers were likely released to private customers, so unless a company's pr wants to brag about how well they did (and Nintendo and Sony tend to stay relatively quiet) we won't get any information until next Thursday. 

I think NPD's control for public release of data extends to its customers, so nobody is allowed to brag about results before NPD makes their own public release.

You may be right, but I remember Microsoft putting out pr statements a week before the release when the S was doing well last year.