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Forums - Politics Discussion - German election tomorrow

 

Who do your want to win?

CDU/CSU 31 10.69%
 
SPD 23 7.93%
 
Left 30 10.34%
 
Greens 12 4.14%
 
FDP 17 5.86%
 
AfD 59 20.34%
 
another one of the parties on ballot 6 2.07%
 
a party not on ballot 6 2.07%
 
no one 17 5.86%
 
see results 89 30.69%
 
Total:290
monocle_layton said:
i'm ignorant on Merkel. Can I hear thoughts about her? Only ones I've seen are from the cesspool(s) known as the RT comment section

I tried to explain her to a friend the other day and it went something like this: She's like a river pebble. She has no refining edges or sharp angles and she will usually go where the flow of majority opinion takes her. That being said, she is also resilient and sturdy. She projects the picture of stability and consistency, but actually moves quite a lot, albeit slowly.

She has singlehandedly moved the CDU so much into the center that even liberal people just kind of shrug and go: 'I guess she's ok.' She STILL to this date greatly benefits from Job market and economy reforms introduced by the central-left/green coalition under Schroeder and will admit to that gleefully.

Those same reforms combined with the splintering off the far left wing of the SPD and the first 'great coalition' under Merkel is what sunk the SPDs traditional values in the eyes of many left and far left voters, while Merkel constistently dug into the central left side of the party and carved out voters from there.

A lot of the same goes for the green parties tanking votes, after they, in the eyes of many of their traditional supporter base, sacrificed their own values to gain power and entered a rather disastrous coalition with the CDU in the state of Hamburg. They had very little to show for it when the state government fell apart there, other than having enabled a potentially disatrous cole-fired power station, with river cooling and further artificial deepening of that same river, both of with they had heavily campaigned against during the election. It spooked many of their steadfast trational voterbase, with little alternative to turn to. Additionally to that they showed growing conservative values in other states as well, wich was wierd to see from a former anti-establishment party to say the least.

While an SPD/Left party/green coalition would have been feasible in the last few elections, it didn't come to pass because of infighting between the parties and rather petty grudges being held.

So Merkel gratly benefits from being so moldable, never showing much of a profile beyond 'reliable' and a very weak compitition that more or less self-distructed in a couple of ways.

 

On a side note, I sincerly hope that those AFD votes on the thread poll are troll votes. They are a nothing of an incompetent mess of a party, composed of very little other than actual former Nazi offspring, neo Nazis and raging xenophobia, sexism, fear-mongering and anti-european values. As some others here pointed out their actual election program offers very little of value, and the fact that they are polling as high as they are (in the real polls) despite germany being an economically well-off country with low unemployment rates and a healthy middle class is appalling.



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Trump and Brexit have been disappointing so far, therefore, I don't care anymore. The elites are having their with us and it's only fair, I guess.



How does election work in Germany? I have no clue. xD



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

LipeJJ said:
How does election work in Germany? I have no clue. xD

It's a bit complicated - in essence, people vote for a party, first - this is taken as a proportional representation of parties in parliament. They also get a vote on the person who is to represent their area in parliament. Half of the parliament is filled with these individuals, the other half of the seats are given to the different parties (who choose the people that will be seated) as to make it as proportional as possible. As there are rarely majorities (due to the proportional representation), the government is usually formed by a coalition. And in the end, they cermonially give the position of Chancellor back to Merkel.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.

LipeJJ said:
How does election work in Germany? I have no clue. xD

we have 2 votes, one for a regional representative and a second one for one of the political parties - ~50% of the seats in the parliament (Bundestag) are these regional representatives, the rest are distributed among the parties accoding to the result of the 2nd vote (only parties that get 5+%, those with less than that are excluded)

and then parties form coalitions to get >50% of the seats/votes (it's very rare that a single party reaches that alone) in the Bundestag to govern the country/elect the Kanzler (chancellor)



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Merkel please, she did a great job taking into account the big challenges

I'm not German myself but this election is important EU-wise

it's insane how AfD wants Germany out when they are the ones to benefit the most, the only point they have is that migration is out of control



don't mind my username, that was more than 10 years ago, I'm a different person now, amazing how people change ^_^

SuperNova said:

On a side note, I sincerly hope that those AFD votes on the thread poll are troll votes. They are a nothing of an incompetent mess of a party, composed of very little other than actual former Nazi offspring, neo Nazis and raging xenophobia, sexism, fear-mongering and anti-european values. As some others here pointed out their actual election program offers very little of value, and the fact that they are polling as high as they are (in the real polls) despite germany being an economically well-off country with low unemployment rates and a healthy middle class is appalling.

This can't be said often enough nor loud enough.



Just what I expected. Every vote for AFD is a vote for Merkel and that's exactly what you get. 4 more years of Merkel.

SPD don't want to be in the government any more so there are only 3 realistic outcomes left.

1. CDU-FDP-Green coalition (only ever happened on federal state level)
2. Minority government led by CDU (highly unlikely IMO)
3. New election



AFD getting 13.3%, better than polling expected. CDU doing far worse than expected, going from 42% to 32% of the vote, while the SPD getting just 20%. This means Merkel's party will lose nearly 100 seats, SPD will lose 59, while the AFD will gain 88.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

New Numbers:

CDU 33,3%
SPD 20,9%
Linke 9,0 %
Grüne 9,4 %
FPD 9.9%
AFD 13,2 %

Time: 18:38



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