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Forums - Sales Discussion - Credit Suisse Lifts Nintendo Rating to Outperform, Predicts 130 Million Switch Units Sold by 2022

 

Do you think this will happen?

Yes 112 29.17%
 
No 189 49.22%
 
Not sure 60 15.63%
 
I will not make a prediction 23 5.99%
 
Total:384

The most I can see the PS4 doing is 125 million for its entire life cycle, so I really doubt as to how the Switch can pull off 130 in 5 years.



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I'll just better wait and see how this evolve. And maybe forget about this tomorrow.

The future is uncertain.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


I'm quite doubtful this will happen, but we've all seen stranger things occur. I think it'll end up around 100m or so, maybe 70-80m. Once the Holidays kicks in, I think we'll see what's up



I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

Slarvax said:

I think this will be possible if Nintendo accomplishes some things first. Obviously, fix the supply issues as soon as possible; but also release the Switch in most of the major markets (South America and China to be specific) and embrace them, and get some price parity across the world (like why is the Switch so expensive in Europe? And you bet it'll also be that expensive in China and South America).

Edit: they're showing interest in China with the MOBA game from Tencent, hopefully they keep going that way.

Because European prices always include VAT and Yen exchange rates are a bit different. 



StarDoor said:
DialgaMarine said:
Interesting. Since it's already tracking behind PS4, what does that mean for PS4?

I don't see Switch doing DS numbers, simply because DS-level of success for a portable simply don't exist outside of Japan. Being a hybrid console, Switch's success is going to be determined on which crowd buys it more; I personally think the majority of Switch are buying it as a home console.

I'm still thinking around 80M, lifetime.

You do realize that, as of two fiscal quarters, PS4 tracks ahead of every console ever, including PS2 and Nintendo DS? That's hardly a metric for gauging how well Switch will sell versus PS4 in the long run. PS4 had the absolute strongest start of any console, but it never quite reached the heights of PS2 or even PS1 peak sales (22.5 and 21.6 million in a year, respectively,) let alone the peaks of DS or Wii (31.2 and 26.0 million).

I'm not saying that Switch will do DS numbers, but judging its long-term potential based on PS4's launch sales is absurd.

 Why are you talking in past tense, like PS4 is already over and done? It hasn't even finished it's fourth year on the market, and we still don't know if this will in fact be it's peak year; people are simply assuming that based off of past sales trends. It's still tracking ahead of PS2 in aligned Charts, so we will see how it does in the long run. I doubt it will stay ahead of PS2, but I still see it doing 130M+ in its lifetime. 



0331 Happiness is a belt-fed weapon

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RolStoppable said:
Paul said:
I can see vgchartz regaining it's old glory through the next few years if this is true. All the old nintendo fan boys will come out of hiding to savour the salty tears of fanboy meltdowns.

I was in hiding for 5 years after the wii u debacle.

Welcome back, Paul. I've seen a couple others of your recent posts. Good to see you back.

And yes, the next few years will be glorious.

I got no such welcome back :(



This is definitely most optimistic prediction we saw until now, and of course it's hardly achievable, on other hand Switch is still supply constrained and we still dont know for what Switch is capable, also I think that Switch will be family of systems similar like 3DS was, so it's not impossible of course.

In any case, this predictions are positive for Switch and Nintendo in case, because expectations for Switch are rising.



Well, why not ?

But I don't think data we have really allow to make such prediction.

The switch is a great device and its sales are extremely strong. But because of stock problems, it is tough to see its true potential (could be close but could be much better as well).

Switch will do great but will it be a juggernaut ? I won't hasard a guess right now.

If Nintendo is able to sort all stock issues this holiday (very unlikely) we will have a clearer idea.



Switch won't hit 100m, never mind 130m.



that's hard to see... but maybe he knows more!!!



Switch!!!