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Forums - Sales Discussion - Credit Suisse Lifts Nintendo Rating to Outperform, Predicts 130 Million Switch Units Sold by 2022

 

Do you think this will happen?

Yes 112 29.17%
 
No 189 49.22%
 
Not sure 60 15.63%
 
I will not make a prediction 23 5.99%
 
Total:384
Mnementh on 03 February 2021
Ka-pi96 said:
Ryng said:

50 million in 2 years. And yes this seem very likely.

2020 was over 27 million.

1 year. It's now 2021, the last year before 2022.

Hmm, seeing the text:

"Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022"

English isn't my native language, so I am not sure, but doesn't through indicate that they include 2022-sales?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

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javi741 on 03 February 2021

I think by the end of 2022 130M is a possibility but for it to happen Nintendo needs to sell 25M in 2021 and 25M in 2022 which i think its a difficult task even for the Switch to maintain that level of popularity, so I'm somewhat doubtful. However, this prediction could still happen especially knowing how the Switch continues to prove us wrong time and time again. Looking back at this forecast in 2017 it aged really well as they forecasted the Switch to blow up more than anyone else did, most predictions for the Switch in 2017 were still below the Wii with the optimistic ones barely passing 100M.



AJNShelton on 03 February 2021
Mnementh said:
Ka-pi96 said:

1 year. It's now 2021, the last year before 2022.

Hmm, seeing the text:

"Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022"

English isn't my native language, so I am not sure, but doesn't through indicate that they include 2022-sales?

Yep



pikashoe on 03 February 2021
Ka-pi96 said:
Mnementh said:

Hmm, seeing the text:

"Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022"

English isn't my native language, so I am not sure, but doesn't through indicate that they include 2022-sales?

Yeah, the title "Predicts 130 Million Switch Units Sold by 2022" however, would not include 2022.

It could very easily include 2022. If it said by the start of 2022 you'd be right but this clearly seems to say at some point in 2022. Otherwise they would be predicting it to sell way faster than the ds.



TruckOSaurus on 03 February 2021
Ka-pi96 said:
pikashoe said:

It could very easily include 2022. If it said by the start of 2022 you'd be right but this clearly seems to say at some point in 2022. Otherwise they would be predicting it to sell way faster than the ds.

If it says "by" then it doesn't include 2022 full stop.

If you say you're going to be at work by 9am, it means you'll get there before 9am not at 9:30am. Likewise if you say "by 2022" then that means if it's 2022 then it will already be done, not that it will be done part way through 2022.

It would only include 2022 if it was "by the end of 2022", but it's not, so it doesn't.

It looks like that was an error on the part of the OP though, since the original source uses different wording.

The original title from the article is "Nintendo Lifted to Outperform by Credit Suisse" and the text itself says "Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022, up from 70 million, as it says the device sells like a handheld console rather than a traditional console."

So the "by 2022" was added by the OP, so the prediction was most likely for March 2017 to end of 2022.



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archbrix on 03 February 2021
TruckOSaurus said:
Ka-pi96 said:

If it says "by" then it doesn't include 2022 full stop.

If you say you're going to be at work by 9am, it means you'll get there before 9am not at 9:30am. Likewise if you say "by 2022" then that means if it's 2022 then it will already be done, not that it will be done part way through 2022.

It would only include 2022 if it was "by the end of 2022", but it's not, so it doesn't.

It looks like that was an error on the part of the OP though, since the original source uses different wording.

The original title from the article is "Nintendo Lifted to Outperform by Credit Suisse" and the text itself says "Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022, up from 70 million, as it says the device sells like a handheld console rather than a traditional console."

So the "by 2022" was added by the OP, so the prediction was most likely for March 2017 to end of 2022.

That clears things up a bit.  I still don't think it'll quite hit that, but I do believe it will come extremely close.  I fully expect over 120m by the end of 2022.



Mnementh on 03 February 2021
archbrix said:
TruckOSaurus said:

The original title from the article is "Nintendo Lifted to Outperform by Credit Suisse" and the text itself says "Credit Suisse now forecasts Nintendo to sell 130 million Switch consoles through to 2022, up from 70 million, as it says the device sells like a handheld console rather than a traditional console."

So the "by 2022" was added by the OP, so the prediction was most likely for March 2017 to end of 2022.

That clears things up a bit.  I still don't think it'll quite hit that, but I do believe it will come extremely close.  I fully expect over 120m by the end of 2022.

For a prediction from late 2017 this looks to be incredibly close.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Jranation on 03 February 2021

Holy fuck. This article is ageing very well.



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AngryLittleAlchemist on 03 February 2021
SKMBlake said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:I think i'm the only one predicting that 8 Deluxe will taper off pretty quickly after 2017

Worst prediction ever

Not really? Predicting software sales will always be less consequential than hardware sales. So predicting 105 million max back in September of 2017 was one of the more positive predictions on the forum (even if saying "this clearly won't happen" in relation to the article was clearly wrong, lol)..

The worst predictions ever are bumped every week on this forum. 



AJNShelton on 03 February 2021
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
SKMBlake said:

Worst prediction ever

Not really? Predicting software sales will always be less consequential than hardware sales. 

Yeah but predicting a Mario Kart game would have its sales vanished after its first year for a Nintendo console is by every mean, a bad prediction.