VGC number : Late 2020.

Real number : First half 2020.

Don't get me wrong, I don't expect the XxX to flop, it will very likely sell over a million units.
I predict that it will sell around 2 - 4 million lifetime alone.

I think it will have more of an effect on the Xbox One S than what will be seen be measuring the sales of the XxX directly.
It is not a mass (10's of millions) market device, but will be used to market the lower rung option.

That is how I feel anyway.

Whenever Pokemon Switch comes out.

Did you just compared Pokemon to Sea of Thieves when it comes to selling systems? Wow...

Did you forget Microsoft already played the Halo Card with Halo 5?

Im sorry, but did you really compared Pokemon to Sea of Thieves?!

IMO the Xbox One family will remain at No. 3 (Or No. 4 if we are counting the 3DS), so obviously how long will depend on how fast the gap will grow month after month.

Probably 4 years, perhaps 3 if they can make it keep strong sells and provide HW to the market.

I never like to project that far forward... it's possible that the Scorpio will give that brand some life.

Still, it seems like the Switch could surpass it as early as late 2019, though I'd imagine 2020 is more likely. Personally, I hope it doesn't and that both sell really well. I miss the days when all three were chuggging along simultaneously :p

The correct answer is "never".

Within the next 3 years, Microsoft will release the next generation XBox. It will be backwards compatible with the XBox One, so technically, I would still consider that part of the X1 family. The next gen release will cause a spike in sales, putting it above Switch numbers.

Second, the poll specifically said Switch, and not Switch family. Within 3 years, Nintendo will release a Switch XL or Switch Lite (some sort of hardware revision). The original Switch model sales will drop, and never pass the sales of the X1 family.

Third, the sales numbers required for this to happen need the Switch to sell Wii-like numbers. I don't see that as being likely at the current price point, but it is possible Nintendo will get more aggressive with price to gain market share.

Lastly, I think that mobile games will continue to erode handheld sales, so the Switch will not follow the standard sales curve. I think it may peak in its 2nd year before slowing down (instead of 3rd or 4th year as is the case with typical consoles).

Someone that still think the main reason for PS2 success was it being a DVD player, that certainly explain 1.5B SW sold without online and being easily hackeable to play pirates.

2 points, PS4Pro is still selling above Sony prediction and have stock issues... and even Dreamcast had "record breaking" release.

For some reason, everything MS does is more relevant than Sony and even Nintendo first party. Even though he only cares about PC.

That would basically means a sales rate of about 2x that of X1, similar to what PS4 have... is achievable.

Depends on what effect the Xbox One X will have on sales. I don't expect it to start outselling the Switch at any point anymore, but the X1 still has a sizeable lead and if the new model sells really well it might take quite long time before the Switch can reach it. I'd guess three years at least regardless of what happens.

Xbox sales are declining, and I doubt X1X changes that.

A year in which a mainline Pokemon releases - I'm confidant the Switch could push over 20 maybe 25 million