Quantcast
Xbox One demand will surpass supply (Poll included)

Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Xbox One demand will surpass supply (Poll included)

How much of an impact will these factors have on demand?

None at all 214 50.23%
 
A minimal impact 156 36.62%
 
A significant impact 33 7.75%
 
A major impact 23 5.40%
 
Total:426

I've mentioned this in the past a few times vaguely in posts, but thought I would delve into this subject with a little more detail (...for the thread nazis, this is an opinion piece with predictions).

The demand for the Xbox One S and the Xbox One X will be higher than we have seen in 2 years.  I also foresee Xbox One sales surpassing the PS4 sales for the United States before the end of 2018.

4K gaming and 4K TV's are going to be pushed really hard this holiday season, and many retailers will be putting together Samsung TV / XBox One bundles. Regardless of the lack of 4K content, people are always wanting the bigger better packages and will be upgrading to a 4K TV purchase over the 1080ps (future proofing their investments).

30 million Xbox One owners have had 4 years to listen to PS4 owners bash their less powerful consoles.  What percentage of those will upgrade to the newer hardware Xbox One X?  I'm guessing between 10 and 20 percent will.  At just 10% that would be 3 million.  I don't think Microsoft will have that many units available this year.  It will be months before they can manufacture enough Xbox One Xs to meet just the initial demand.  How many duel or tri console owners will also be early to adopt the Xbox One X?  

Now let me address the "ELEPHANT" in the room.  PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds.  Microsoft was able to negotiate publishing rights with Bluehole's game, but the question is how long is the exclusiveness?  If it's a month to 3 months, I don't think it will make too large of an impact on Microsoft's console sales.  But it they have a year of it being an exclusive or an exclusive period, then this is the game changer.  Bluehole has been quiet now on any information regarding this.  PUBG is a beast on PC currently, and will be as well on console.  10+ million sales on Xbox One easily.  This game is barely in early access, only has one map, few game modes and is selling like hotcakes.  New maps are on the way and mods are being discussed.  This game will sell consoles (alot of them).  

So these three factors will have the largest impact on the supply and demand.  For those who can't get their hands on the Xbox One X, they will settle for the Xbox One S making it a scarce commodity as well.



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

Around the Network

You're over estimating the Impact PUBG will have on consoles, it's been very successful on PC but it's not going to be a "game changer" for Xbox.

Xbox One X will equally not be a giant factor when it comes to recovering Xbox One sales, it's a premium product. 20% of PS4 sales are the Pro, and that's a device that's 48% more expensive then the PS4, while the X is literally twice the price of the S. The market for expensive more powerful consoles isn't big enough to be anything more then a supplement.

"I also foresee Xbox One sales surpassing the PS4 sales for the United States before the end of 2018." This reminds me of The Drill too much.

Xbox One's best days are behind it.

For 2017 currently VGC has the PS4 selling 53% more than the XBO in the States, you think that XBO X and PUBG is going to increase XBO sales by that much for a prolonged period of time?

XBO's baseline is going to need more then that to rise 53%.



Proud owner of a PS4 Pro, Nintendo Switch, Xbo S and a dated gaming pc.

"...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards."

Ahhhh...this post makes a lot more sense now.



 

Way, way too early to tell. I foresee the X selling quite well in the beginning, but it seems to, so far, be coming at the expense of the S, rather than in support of it. That could change, but I doubt that a ton of people wanting to buy into the One X would instead settle for a One S. 

 

Also, even if the Xbox One does end up outselling the PS4 in the US...does it matter? Until this year, the race between the two in the US has been relatively close and the PS4 is still dominant worldwide. The Xbox One surpassing PS4 sales in America would only upset the balance a tiny bit in MS's favor. 



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
"...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards."

Ahhhh...this post makes a lot more sense now.

A little harsh.



Around the Network
DroidKnight said:

I also foresee Xbox One sales surpassing the PS4 sales for the United States before the end of 2018.

This is completely nonsensical.



I could see it happening. PUBG is a big hype at the moment. Not to mention those Samsung bundles. It could work out.



potato_hamster said:
DroidKnight said:

I also foresee Xbox One sales surpassing the PS4 sales for the United States before the end of 2018.

This is completely nonsensical.

VGChartz shows the gap at 2.66 million.



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

PUBG and the Xbox One X will help Xbox sales but it won't be enough to pass the PS4 in the US.



AngryLittleAlchemist said:
"...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards."

Ahhhh...this post makes a lot more sense now.

Unnecessary.