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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Anyone still seriously saying the Switch is going to fail?

Below 30 million is very unlikely right now. I'm still expecting 50-80 million lifetime.



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From all of the media advertisements put out by Nintendo, to the very quick uptake in numbers sold so far and word of mouth ... yeah, no one reasonable thinks that anymore.

Maybe the Amish



Green098 said:
Slarvax said:
There's a lot of people that think next year it's gonna sell less.

The year Pokemon is likely to come out and likely improved production? No way that's likely happening unless it suddenly starts selling peak DS numbers in its first year.

Pokemon won't release next year. 

Don't shoot the messanger tho



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Slarvax said:
Green098 said:

The year Pokemon is likely to come out and likely improved production? No way that's likely happening unless it suddenly starts selling peak DS numbers in its first year.

Pokemon won't release next year. 

Don't shoot the messanger tho

I mean I can't see them taking another year gap so soon, they aren't saying it won't come out next year anyways.



Here's a question I have :

If the Switch doesn't do 68 - 75 mil, is it in some way a failure? Since it's supposed to bring both market shares together? Keep in mind the amount of home console gamers buying a Switch will probably be much higher than Wii U, so if it didn't pass 3ds I think that would be very unfortunate, although I wouldn't say it's a failure, but what do you guys think?



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Slarvax said:
Green098 said:

The year Pokemon is likely to come out and likely improved production? No way that's likely happening unless it suddenly starts selling peak DS numbers in its first year.

Pokemon won't release next year. 

Don't shoot the messanger tho

Shoots Slarvy anyway



Green098 said:
Slarvax said:

Pokemon won't release next year. 

Don't shoot the messanger tho

I mean I can't see them taking another year gap so soon, they aren't saying it won't come out next year anyways.

New Pokémon generations have never been released less than 3 years after the previous one, and I really don't see them breaking that tradition while at the same time making the biggest Pokémon games yet.

Gen 1: 1996
Gen 2: 1999
Gen 3: 2002
Gen 4: 2006
Gen 5: 2010
Gen 6: 2013
Gen 7: 2016
Gen 8: 2019/2020



Everyone by now knows it won't bomb now. People will now say that it will fail i.e not meet its goals. So now people will say it will not pass 3DS + Wii U sales. Later on I expect people to say it will not pass 100 million. The more time passes the higher the floor people can reasonably predict. These people will always predict the most pessimistic predictions.

Hopefully Nintendo does not prove them right by doing dumb things again.



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Green098 said:
Slarvax said:

Pokemon won't release next year. 

Don't shoot the messanger tho

I mean I can't see them taking another year gap so soon, they aren't saying it won't come out next year anyways.

The gap between generations is usually 3-4 years, and this next Pokemon game will be the biggest project Game Freak has ever done. By Far. If it's truly out in 2018, that just screams "rushed out the door to make the most money as fast as possible." And for a Pokemon game of this scale, that's the last thing I want.



mZuzek said:
Green098 said:

The year Pokemon is likely to come out and likely improved production? No way that's likely happening unless it suddenly starts selling peak DS numbers in its first year.

Pokémon isn't likely to come out next year at all... it's not extreme to think it'll sell less next year given we know nothing about its lineup compared to this year's monster lineup of Zelda, Mario Kart, Splatoon and Mario Odyssey.

On the other hand, the demand built up by this year's monster lineup will spill over into next year because of supply constraints. Next year will see increased sales because it will be a combination of the 2018 lineup's selling power and all of the unmet demand from 2017.