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Forums - Gaming Discussion - What games will MS market with XboneX now that Crackdown 3 is delayed?

derpysquirtle64 said:

But the S didn't tank really. They are a little bit down YoY compared to 2016 but last summer they've got some insane pricecuts even selling original Xbone for 200$ just to clear the stock for the S. With X release I can even see them ending this year up YoY. Xbox sells very bad in the first half of the year. It's a simple rule for this gen.

I'll say the S lost steam, to be more charitable, though it's really just semantics.
The console barely ranks in the Amazon US top 100 despite price cuts and heavy bundling, and worldwide the situation is even more dire.
Which really wouldn't matter if MS weren't banking for there to be an audience willing to buy a beefed-up version of the thing that isn't selling, at a higher price.



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Machiavellian said:
DonFerrari said:

You aren't making much sense on putting that they aren't making this console as their new gen, but when a not new gen from then comes this will become the baseline of the not new gen.

You can't have both sides at once just to prevent any argument.

How does it not make sense.  Lets use graphics cards as an analogy.  When the latest graphics card comes out at 500 bones or more, its not priced for the mainstream.  When the next latest card comes out priced at 500 bones, the last iteration drops price.  Usually by that time those cards drop to the 200 price range or better and become consumer darlings.  You even have High End, Mid and low end cards for people looking for different levels of performance.  

If consoles are pretty much going the same way, how does that situation not pan out the same way.  No generations mean your old console also can play your new console games.  Its not the same case where you go from a PS2 to a PS3 and the PS3 is a new system with new games that only play on the PS3 and it cannot play PS2 games.  It seems you are still looking at a new console as a totally isolated system like the old days but MS already stated they want their system forward and backward compatible.   So whan the PS5 hit, it may or may not be forward and backward compatible with the PS4, for MS their next system will be.  This may or may not be an advantage for MS if things pan out this way but we will see what the market bares when it happens.

It doesn't make sense when you say that MS isn't making X1X be a "new gen" but that when the next xbox come then X1X will be new gen because the price point will be lower and it'll sell better.

Which company would justify a "generation" on the premises that it will start selling 3years later?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Tulipanzo said:
Machiavellian said:

I bring up the WiiU and PS3 because corporations no matter how long being in the market can make mistakes.  They can guess or decide what the market wants or what the market will bare and fail.  The X1 was MS chance to solidify themselves in the market and they made the same mistake.  Next gen will be a chance for everyone to do it all over again.

The X1X is not the console you want it to be.  It's just a hardware refresh not a new system to the market.  It will not or was it ever thought to be the console to change MS position in the market at this time.   You can make these predictions when MS bring in their next gen system to market along with Sony.  The reason you cannot see things ending up well is because your expectations is off.  For some reason you believe MS has to sell the X1X like its a mainstream console buts its not.  Its not priced as a mainstream console and it comes to late in this gen to make that kind of impact.  Take the console for what it is, a high price Premium system for people who have money, enjoy MS ecosystem and want the system that will play 3rd party and MS games at their best.  Thats pretty much it.  It will not bring over any Sony fans unless they were already MS fans and was looking for a system to spend their holiday money on.

Except, you didn't! You brought up the PS3 and WiiU to supposedly shoot me down for saying that full fledged successor sell better than stop gap solutions.
You did this while wilfully ignoring that the PS3 actually beat the 360 in sales.
If you want to make a point, fine, but don't try and change what you said after the fact.

As per your second point: this isn't a discussion about whether or not either of us likes the concept of the xboxx; that is irrelevant.
I've been saying this since the beginning: MS aggressive marketing for the X lead to the sales for the S tanking, meaning they now need the X to pick up the pace. I find that unlikely, due to pricing, lack of titles and them appealing exclusively to their core audience while ignoring everyone else.
These are points you yourself make: it's not a mainstream console, but it needs to be since the S tanked.

My "predictions" they came in direct response to your ramblings about how the X might be in an advantageous position next-gen; a guess, since you provided no data or trends to support it.
The XBox brand is unbelievably unpopular in most countries, and it's laughable to think people would ever opt for it instead of anything from Sony or Nintendo. I don't see how a system that's "not for the mainstream" would ever change that.

What you're trying to do is to retroactively justify MS poor strategy because you happen to like the X.
I suggest you take your poor excuses and take it to a different topic.

I just told you why I brought them up.  Trying to tell me what I was thinking because that is what you thought well is wrong.  As for the PS3 beating the 360 in sales, what did Sony have to do to achieve that goal.  They had to lose every drop of profits they made from the PS2 era in order to do that.  So yes, they may have won the market share but if you have to go into the red to do so, would any company feel that is an achievement.  Either way, was the PS3 a success or not.  Do you believe killing all you profits for marketshare a success.

Your opinion on the X1X tanking sales on the S is exactly that an opinion.  If anything is tanking S sales it's the PS4 being the better console.  If the X1X at 500 bones is tanking the S then that would mean the X1X is going to sale pretty damn good which I doubt at this time.

 As to your last point, well of course my prediction that the X1X could be a better option when Sony and MS drop their next console is exactly that a prediction.  How the heck would I have proof of something that did not occur yet.  Never said it was fact and its very clear this is an opinion since it never happen before.  Why you seem to be getting riled up over opinions seems strange.

I am not trying to retroactively do anything, it's an opinion.  You nor I have any data to back up anything we have argued in this discussion.  It's  my opinion and pretty much it.  If anything, by your comments you believe your opinion is somehow superior when you have nothing to back up your suggestion as well.  You seem to hold your opinion as fact or something which is the only way I can see why you are getting an attitude when someone disagree.  If it’s a problem someone having a different opinion then yours, I suggest you do not share it if it is going to cause you to get upset.

 



DonFerrari said:
Machiavellian said:

How does it not make sense.  Lets use graphics cards as an analogy.  When the latest graphics card comes out at 500 bones or more, its not priced for the mainstream.  When the next latest card comes out priced at 500 bones, the last iteration drops price.  Usually by that time those cards drop to the 200 price range or better and become consumer darlings.  You even have High End, Mid and low end cards for people looking for different levels of performance.  

If consoles are pretty much going the same way, how does that situation not pan out the same way.  No generations mean your old console also can play your new console games.  Its not the same case where you go from a PS2 to a PS3 and the PS3 is a new system with new games that only play on the PS3 and it cannot play PS2 games.  It seems you are still looking at a new console as a totally isolated system like the old days but MS already stated they want their system forward and backward compatible.   So whan the PS5 hit, it may or may not be forward and backward compatible with the PS4, for MS their next system will be.  This may or may not be an advantage for MS if things pan out this way but we will see what the market bares when it happens.

It doesn't make sense when you say that MS isn't making X1X be a "new gen" but that when the next xbox come then X1X will be new gen because the price point will be lower and it'll sell better.

Which company would justify a "generation" on the premises that it will start selling 3years later?

Ok, I see your confusion.   Let take the next gen part off any new console MS does in the next 3 years.  I thought it was stated within my last post how I see the next console from MS will be.  Hopfully that clears up my statement.  As for Sony, they stated they are not going away from a new gen so who knows what their next system will support.



Machiavellian said:
DonFerrari said:

It doesn't make sense when you say that MS isn't making X1X be a "new gen" but that when the next xbox come then X1X will be new gen because the price point will be lower and it'll sell better.

Which company would justify a "generation" on the premises that it will start selling 3years later?

Ok, I see your confusion.   Let take the next gen part off any new console MS does in the next 3 years.  I thought it was stated within my last post how I see the next console from MS will be.  Hopfully that clears up my statement.  As for Sony, they stated they are not going away from a new gen so who knows what their next system will support.

Nope it doesn't... you say MS is doing the same message as Sony.

Sony is saying they are putting a improved version of PS4 that will do the same just a little better.

MS is implying that X1X is going to play what came before and what will come after.

There is really no point in having let's say a console that sell 100k with another doing 20k per week globally to wait and make it sell 100k 3 years later when it's less expensive to make and the new console releases. That isn't even how it works.

Consoles get cheaper because they gain scale to dilute cost, improved experience as production goes by and being the most used technology at the time. X1X is using the base of what is inside X1 already but powered up. By 2020 or 2021 when we suppose X1XX comes by the technology on X1X won't be standard anymore so they will lose a big part of cost saving due to use standard parts.

Also the common curve on console sales will probably make the X1X not ever take off.

Because face it, when PS5 comes by and perhaps it plays PS4 games, but not the other way, people will need and want to buy PS5. At the same time you'll have X1X as very inferior to PS5 and let's say X1XX on par. Who will really go and buy the 3 year old inferior HW for the current gen when there is the current one? And worse yet, X1XX will be bond to X1X.

What is really made to sell is the baseline of the system. X360 sold less arcade and elite versions than it sold of the standard edition. People doesn't really want barebone or over the top.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

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Tulipanzo said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

But the S didn't tank really. They are a little bit down YoY compared to 2016 but last summer they've got some insane pricecuts even selling original Xbone for 200$ just to clear the stock for the S. With X release I can even see them ending this year up YoY. Xbox sells very bad in the first half of the year. It's a simple rule for this gen.

I'll say the S lost steam, to be more charitable, though it's really just semantics.
The console barely ranks in the Amazon US top 100 despite price cuts and heavy bundling, and worldwide the situation is even more dire.
Which really wouldn't matter if MS weren't banking for there to be an audience willing to buy a beefed-up version of the thing that isn't selling, at a higher price.

Maybe. But as I've said here several times before it's too early to judge. I think we should wait before this holiday season is over and then it will be clear if One S lost steam or not.



 

DonFerrari said:
Machiavellian said:

Ok, I see your confusion.   Let take the next gen part off any new console MS does in the next 3 years.  I thought it was stated within my last post how I see the next console from MS will be.  Hopfully that clears up my statement.  As for Sony, they stated they are not going away from a new gen so who knows what their next system will support.

Nope it doesn't... you say MS is doing the same message as Sony.

Sony is saying they are putting a improved version of PS4 that will do the same just a little better.

MS is implying that X1X is going to play what came before and what will come after.

There is really no point in having let's say a console that sell 100k with another doing 20k per week globally to wait and make it sell 100k 3 years later when it's less expensive to make and the new console releases. That isn't even how it works.

Consoles get cheaper because they gain scale to dilute cost, improved experience as production goes by and being the most used technology at the time. X1X is using the base of what is inside X1 already but powered up. By 2020 or 2021 when we suppose X1XX comes by the technology on X1X won't be standard anymore so they will lose a big part of cost saving due to use standard parts.

Also the common curve on console sales will probably make the X1X not ever take off.

Because face it, when PS5 comes by and perhaps it plays PS4 games, but not the other way, people will need and want to buy PS5. At the same time you'll have X1X as very inferior to PS5 and let's say X1XX on par. Who will really go and buy the 3 year old inferior HW for the current gen when there is the current one? And worse yet, X1XX will be bond to X1X.

What is really made to sell is the baseline of the system. X360 sold less arcade and elite versions than it sold of the standard edition. People doesn't really want barebone or over the top.

I said MS is doing the same message for the X1X.  Its a mid gen console, it has no exclusive games, it plays exactly same games as the X1, its made for people with 4K displays.  Are those not the same message both Sony and MS has stated for Mid gen consoles.

Now if you are talking about the future of the eco system then Yes, MS created the X1X forward and backward compatible.  Their next console based on what MS has stated should also be forward and Backward compatible but then again they have made no announcement on that yet so we can Only Assume.

At bolded.  I have no clue what you are talking about.  Who knows where the X1X will be by the time the next system drops for MS.  Also why are you assuming MS would look at their eco system the way you are looking at it.  If anything they will look at install bases including all systems.  From Xs, X1X and whatever new system comes out.  Why would MS not think that in 3 years, the X1X is not selling better when it's price drops and it continue to be the dominate console when it comes to performance etc.

By your second point then the PS2 must have been killing Sony in price and parts because its part were not main stream when the PS3 came along.  Is that the same case between Nvidia and AMD when they bring out a new card, the older cards must be costing them more money to sell at a reduced price.  Now if something does not make sense, that part does not.  Its not like this is something new in the industry, its only new for consoles.

As to who will spend money on the inferior 3 year old system when the next iteration comes out, probably the same people who are purchasing a PS4 instead of the Pro or an X1 instead of the X1X.  It really will depend on the separation the next iteation has over the mid gen.  As I stated, if they all still play the same games then price becomes a big incentive.



Machiavellian said:
Tulipanzo said:

Except, you didn't! You brought up the PS3 and WiiU to supposedly shoot me down for saying that full fledged successor sell better than stop gap solutions.
You did this while wilfully ignoring that the PS3 actually beat the 360 in sales.
If you want to make a point, fine, but don't try and change what you said after the fact.

As per your second point: this isn't a discussion about whether or not either of us likes the concept of the xboxx; that is irrelevant.
I've been saying this since the beginning: MS aggressive marketing for the X lead to the sales for the S tanking, meaning they now need the X to pick up the pace. I find that unlikely, due to pricing, lack of titles and them appealing exclusively to their core audience while ignoring everyone else.
These are points you yourself make: it's not a mainstream console, but it needs to be since the S tanked.

My "predictions" they came in direct response to your ramblings about how the X might be in an advantageous position next-gen; a guess, since you provided no data or trends to support it.
The XBox brand is unbelievably unpopular in most countries, and it's laughable to think people would ever opt for it instead of anything from Sony or Nintendo. I don't see how a system that's "not for the mainstream" would ever change that.

What you're trying to do is to retroactively justify MS poor strategy because you happen to like the X.
I suggest you take your poor excuses and take it to a different topic.

I just told you why I brought them up.  Trying to tell me what I was thinking because that is what you thought well is wrong.  As for the PS3 beating the 360 in sales, what did Sony have to do to achieve that goal.  They had to lose every drop of profits they made from the PS2 era in order to do that.  So yes, they may have won the market share but if you have to go into the red to do so, would any company feel that is an achievement.  Either way, was the PS3 a success or not.  Do you believe killing all you profits for marketshare a success.

Your opinion on the X1X tanking sales on the S is exactly that an opinion.  If anything is tanking S sales it's the PS4 being the better console.  If the X1X at 500 bones is tanking the S then that would mean the X1X is going to sale pretty damn good which I doubt at this time.

 As to your last point, well of course my prediction that the X1X could be a better option when Sony and MS drop their next console is exactly that a prediction.  How the heck would I have proof of something that did not occur yet.  Never said it was fact and its very clear this is an opinion since it never happen before.  Why you seem to be getting riled up over opinions seems strange.

I am not trying to retroactively do anything, it's an opinion.  You nor I have any data to back up anything we have argued in this discussion.  It's  my opinion and pretty much it.  If anything, by your comments you believe your opinion is somehow superior when you have nothing to back up your suggestion as well.  You seem to hold your opinion as fact or something which is the only way I can see why you are getting an attitude when someone disagree.  If it’s a problem someone having a different opinion then yours, I suggest you do not share it if it is going to cause you to get upset.

"if your prediction [that full next gen upgrades sell better] was true then the WiiU and PS3 would have been run away success if each company hand only to just make a console and people would buy it"
vs.
"I bring up the WiiU and PS3 because corporations no matter how long being in the market can make mistakes"

You didn't mention these consoles as mistakes in your first post, but as two supposedly poor selling, full next gen upgrades. 
You moved on to a different point when your first one was shot down, and are now yet again moving on to talk about profits.

Now, I've explained numerous times why I believe what I say, but the best you could come up with is to try and paint me as "upset" over "just opinions", since you've had nothing to back yours up.
Sales for the S have significantly lost steam over the past year; if Sony had similar losses, I'd ascribe it to something that affected both; say the Switch launching. If this were not a recent development, you could ascribe it to the PS4 being a more popular system.
However only MS seems to be affected, and only in the past year of so have sales lowered significantly.
The only major change affecting only MS in the past year has been their aggressive marketing for the X, which featured prominently at two of the company's biggest events. It stands to reason that would affect S sales, as it would paint it as undesirable.
S sales going down is not my opinion, it is data you yourself can see, yet you fail to provide a sensible explanation.
If, as you say, it's because the PS4 is a "better console" (you fail to provide a metric for this "better") this would not be a recent development YoY.
Your explanation is faulty.

That full fledged hardware upgrades sell better than mid-gen upgrades is not, again, my opinion: it's a recognizable and predictable trend.
The Pro hasn't sold in line with the base PS4, the New 3DS hasn't sold in line with the base 3DS, years after it's launch, and the X won't sell in line with the S.
My prediction is that these trends will continue; your prediction is that they will suddenly and unexplicably change.
It would take an unprecedented surge in sales for mid-gen hardware to make up for the significantly lower sales during their first years.
Your "prediction" amounts to little more than wishful thinking, backed by no data.

I suggest you stop projecting "being upset" onto people, and start backing up what you say with data and clear reasoning. 



derpysquirtle64 said:
Tulipanzo said:

I'll say the S lost steam, to be more charitable, though it's really just semantics.
The console barely ranks in the Amazon US top 100 despite price cuts and heavy bundling, and worldwide the situation is even more dire.
Which really wouldn't matter if MS weren't banking for there to be an audience willing to buy a beefed-up version of the thing that isn't selling, at a higher price.

Maybe. But as I've said here several times before it's too early to judge. I think we should wait before this holiday season is over and then it will be clear if One S lost steam or not.

I think you shouldn't be posting in a thread about marketing and sales prediction if you want to wait.



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