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Forums - Sales Discussion - Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - 7th - 13th Aug 2017

Jranation said:
Teeqoz said:

The way I read Jranation's comment, I thought he was expecting it to double the WiiU, Vita and PS4 combined. Which seems a tad on the high end but I could honestly see it coming close if Nintendo could ship enough units.

Oh my bad for my wording. I meant that it will double what they individually did in its first 52 weeks. (Around 2.5mil) 

It's pretty obvious that it will beat 2.5 million in its first 52 weeks lol



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Kerotan said:

 

This week's MC thread has already surpassed the last. 

You made it even better with the posts following this one. Good job.



Teeqoz said:
Jranation said:

Oh my bad for my wording. I meant that it will double what they individually did in its first 52 weeks. (Around 2.5mil) 

It's pretty obvious that it will beat 2.5 million in its first 52 weeks lol

Oh lol. I guess it was just me thinking that the stock issues would continue to be bad.



Pocky Lover Boy! 

Kerotan said:
RolStoppable said:
This week is the final confirmation that Switch production is up. What's worth to note is that we are going to see fluctuations in weekly sales as long as Switch sells through its shipments virtually instantly. Something like 60k (last week), 90k (this week), 65k, 85k, 75k, 85k, 60k, 80k wouldn't be surprising, because weekly shipments aren't going to be consistent. When the DS remained sold out through 2016, the weekly hardware sales also fluctuated with swings of up to 30k units from week to week.

Is production up or are they just allocating Japan a higher percentage of switches that previously would have went to other regions?  NPD data and the availability in europe would suggest this is likely. 

You don't have and evidence for such a claims, NPD data shows us that numbers are stronger for Jul compared to June, note that NPD sales in June had 5 weeks of sales and July 4 weeks. In any case we have two days ago we had official infos that "All GameStop stores restocking Switch tomorrow for the first time since launch" and that BestBuy also start receivin shipments again. All that suggests that Nintendo increased shipment of Switch like they said they will from July and August, but of course they prioritiesd Japan at end of July because Splatoon 2 launch, they also said they will further increase production from fall.



kowenicki said:
I haven't been paying attention much lately, but is someone seriously suggesting (demanding) that the Switch has to sell the sum of the previous home console and handheld to be considered a success?

That's a logic failure of epic proportions.

Last gen someone who bought a WiiU and a 3DS to cover all bases will this gen just need to buy a Switch surely.

So to be simplistic about it then it needs to sell roughly half of the combined sales of the WiiU and 3DS to be a success doesn't it?

Some very odd people on this forum (still).

Yep lol

Lets not forget that the 3DS Price drop early in its life. While the Switch still dont have one. 



Pocky Lover Boy! 

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kowenicki said:
I haven't been paying attention much lately, but is someone seriously suggesting (demanding) that the Switch has to sell the sum of the previous home console and handheld to be considered a success?

That's a logic failure of epic proportions.

Last gen someone who bought a WiiU and a 3DS to cover all bases will this gen just need to buy a Switch surely.

So to be simplistic about it then it needs to sell roughly half of the combined sales of the WiiU and 3DS to be a success doesn't it?

Some very odd people on this forum (still).

Half of combined sales seems fine to me. >40m

But even so, we could assume all or most 3DS owners owned a Wii U. Therefore they only need 1 Switch= 1 Wii U+ 1 3DS. If we take away Wii U sales from the 3DS then we can account for all double owners and even extra.  >51m

I think to be considered a success the Switch needs to sell in that range ie:  ~40m-55m or more of course.