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July 2017 NPD Thread! Switch #1

Forums - Sales Discussion - July 2017 NPD Thread! Switch #1

librarian13579 said:
Edwardooo said:
Do you seriously think that people weren't already aware that this is where every leak comes from ?

It's all about risk mitigation. There's inherent risk in posting any sort of leaks that you'll get shut down by NPD's enforcement agency.

If they're mostly contained here for a little while, then there's still a risk but it's lower simply because this is a lower-traffic forum.

But dangling complete posts literally right in front of NPD's nose just bumps it up into the highest-risk category. Nothing may happen, but now there's the greatest potential of something bad happening to me.

I'm not an idiot to think that leaks weren't going to spread, but I wanted there at least to be some sort of lag period instead of a direct copy-and-paste dump right away.

Wow, you seem to be risking yourself. Sorry about before, I didn't know... and thank you for doing that.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

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I really appreciate your leaks btw. And it's not just gaf they were posted to. Over here aswell http://vizioneck.com/forum/index.php?topic=5396.new#new so it's say to say they're spreading



I don't get it, did you REALLY think those numbers wouldn't have spread? Like seriously?



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librarian13579 said:
Edwardooo said:
Do you seriously think that people weren't already aware that this is where every leak comes from ?

It's all about risk mitigation. There's inherent risk in posting any sort of leaks that you'll get shut down by NPD's enforcement agency.

If they're mostly contained here for a little while, then there's still a risk but it's lower simply because this is a lower-traffic forum.

But dangling complete posts literally right in front of NPD's nose just bumps it up into the highest-risk category. Nothing may happen, but now there's the greatest potential of something bad happening to me.

I'm not an idiot to think that leaks weren't going to spread, but I wanted there at least to be some sort of lag period instead of a direct copy-and-paste dump right away.

Do you think it would be possible to set up a system where different people post the numbers every time, so it doesn't all lead back to you publicly?

Thanks for the numbers btw.

Ali_16x said:
I don't get it, did you REALLY think those numbers wouldn't have spread? Like seriously?

Read his/her post above.



Nice if slightly modest boost to Switch. PS4 continues to do great.

Splatoon 2 on top is nice for Nin fans like me, I can't think of any other big releases, though.

Good luck to librarian.



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librarian13579 said:

Hi NeoGAF,

The purpose of keeping today's leaks OFF NeoGAF and only NeoGAF is because NeoGAF has literally 2+ NPD employees who post in your NPD threads on a regular basis.

By posting leaks there, you just increased the chances 500% that David Riley will swoop down and silence me before next month begins. Great job, guys!

Let's keep our fingers crossed!

Sadly you have to becareful with posting numbers here afterall, the user that leaked is banned here as previously stated, and is most likely bitter about it. Surprised they lurk being permabanned. 

My recommendation would be if you want some discussion, find trust worthy users and use mass PM. You can easily figure out who is to be trusted or not. You can also weed people out, if they are obviously leaking in those PMs.  

Anyways I hope you do not get in much trouble. 



 

I had my doubts (as I do with anything involving leaks), but things are starting to look legit.

Thanks librarian13579 and best of luck. I hope you covered your tracks well.

Just spitballing, but in future months or for future leakers would giving mods or some trusted user (approved by the mods) the relevant data (as in what you want to give) and having them write the post (obviously crediting an "anonymous source") help cover tracks further?

Or is assuming NPD analyzes usernames and writing styles to identify possible leakers giving them too much credit?



Bets:

1. If the Wii U sells closer to 10 million LTD by 1/3/2015 I win. If it sells closer to 9.5 million LTD by 1/3/2015 OfficerRaichu15 wins (winner gets 2 weeks of avatar control)--Lost.

Honestly, Switch numbers aren't too shocking. I kept my eye on things and while stock issues looked a bit better in my area at Splatoon's launch, the difference made was slower coming than it seemed to be in Japan. I would theorize Nintendo lopsided things in favor of Japan for launch and have been evening it out in the weeks since. Which means a good chunk of the boost, if I am right, will spill over into August. Nintendo also seems to have just upped regular shipments. Hopefully this trend continues into fall and they can have a good install base plus a big launch shipment for Mario Odyssey.



How come leakers here are getting banned because of neogaf leakers hunts?

Like its a different website why would the mods from here bAnn?



 

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http://www.youtube.com/user/klaudkil

xl-klaudkil said:
How come leakers here are getting banned because of neogaf leakers hunts?

Like its a different website why would the mods from here bAnn?

It's not the VGC mod team that is going to get rid of people. The NPD people will try to track down the identity of leakers and then threaten them with whatever they can to make them stop posting leaks.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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