Of course it will, if it can sell almost half of that in it's first 4 months without the holiday season the limitation is how many units Nintendo can actually ship.

I could see it doing over 10m here in 2017 (by end of holidays).
"easily" ? no, but it should sneak past it (imo).

Things that could help? it goes back down to its 299$ price because they fix the stock issues.
So many places its selling above that.
Then they throw in a game bundle in that price (zelda or mario).

^ like that, it should go past 10m.

If they can manufacture that amount in that time.

Don't you mean $299...?, anyways I think it's hard enough keeping it on store shelves without bundling one of their flagship titles, unless you by Mario you also meant Mario Kart 8 Deluxe or something which I could see happening.

Really it just depends how many they can ship, they've already sold almost half that in 4 months and that's without the holiday season, if stock wasn't an issue I'd say 10 million was low balling it, hopefully by then stock will be less of an issue, but it's probably going to be the opposite.

Lol your right.... for some reason my brain just went 399$.... its crazy it was selling at 400$+.

And yeah a Mario Kart 8 delux bundle would work too.

Yeah but 2.74m of that was like the first month due to pre-orders and people rushing out to get it while its hot.

From April-June30th, it only did like 2m over a 3 month timeframe.

Thats like 0.6m pr month.... if it does that until say november (when it starts selling drastically more).

That should put it at like : 4.7m + 2.4m (jul-oct) + november (1.5m?) + december (2m?) = 10,6m

Something like that, maybe by early 2018 (jan) its over 11m.

I dont see how $299 bundle could help if they still cant keep up with demand, they released Splatoon 2 in some markets but is around $60 more expensive than regular Switch. If they have huge stocks of Switch units for holiday season, than yes they can throw some $299 bundles, but something like MK8D bunlde or 1-2 Switch bundle, hardly you will see Zelda BotW bundle in 1st year and espacily Mario Odyssey (because it's Switches big holiday season game).

It could easily pass 10m even without bundles, only thing it would prevent is low stocks.

I see a bundle with 1-2 switch for 299 and another with mario kart 8 also for 299 for the holiday season.

10 million should be hit or exceeded, depending on supply. I think we'll see Switch at 11 million by the end of the year. Another ~2 million quarter for July/August/September, before a strong 4 million quarter at the end of the year on the strength of Mario, improved stock and momentum from Zelda, Kart, Splatoon 2.

Honestly feel by end of fiscal year it will have outsold the Wii U and possibly the Vita as well.

From what I get, most people over here are convinced that Nintendo are producing and shipping as many Switch units as they possible can, and that the only reason for Switch hardware sales not being even higher is that there is currently just no possible way for them to product and ship more units.

But if that's correct - why would Nintendo magically be able to suddenly produce and ship more units during holiday season?

If anything, I would rather expect manufacturing capacities to go down rather than up at year end, since every company wants to produce more units for the holiday season, so there is even much more demand for the rather fixed manufacturing capacities that companies like Foxconn can offer.