By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - When Will The Switch Outsell the Xbox One?

 

?

Never 147 21.68%
 
1st half 2018 31 4.57%
 
2nd half 2018 58 8.55%
 
1st half 2019 90 13.27%
 
2nd half 2019 140 20.65%
 
1st half 2020 64 9.44%
 
2nd half 2020 70 10.32%
 
1st half 2021 18 2.65%
 
2nd half 2021 21 3.10%
 
2022 and beyond 39 5.75%
 
Total:678
jason1637 on 15 July 2017

I think the Switch will eventually outsell the Xbox One. I think it will happen late 2020 or early 2021.



Around the Network
jason1637 on 15 July 2017
Ka-pi96 said:
1st half 2018 as a poll option? I think that's literally impossible. Nintendo simply wouldn't be able to manufacture enough in time for that even if the demand was there

I have no idea though. Impossible to say since there's so little known about the future of Xbox One. How successful will the X be, do they have any big exclusives planned for 2018 or beyond and so on...

Wanted to fill out all options.



Ljink96 on 15 July 2017

2nd half of 2020. By then Pokemon will be out and it'll be a wrap.



Slarvax on 15 July 2017

Hard to tell. I'll say between 2nd half 2019 and 2nd half 2020.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

AngryLittleAlchemist on 15 July 2017

Okay, I'm a little confused here. When you say outsell do you mean the Xbox One's 30 mil sales as of now or it's lifetime sales? Because we don't know what Xbox One's lifetime sales are, and if you're saying Switch will sell 30 million by late 2020 or early 2021 , that's not that impressive.

By comparison, the Xbox One officially reached 26 million sales by January of 2017, it took about 1153 days. If we say the Switch sells 30 million from March 3rd to October 3rd of 2020, that's 1306 days. Not very impressive.

In conclusion : It depends *entirely* on how much sales you think Xbox One will get lifetime, or if you are putting it up against the current 28-30 million benchmark.



Around the Network
jason1637 on 15 July 2017
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Okay, I'm a little confused here. When you say outsell do you mean the Xbox One's 30 mil sales as of now or it's lifetime sales? Because we don't know what Xbox One's lifetime sales are, and if you're saying Switch will sell 30 million by late 2020 or early 2021 , that's not that impressive.

By comparison, the Xbox One officially reached 26 million sales by January of 2017, it took about 1153 days. If we say the Switch sells 30 million from March 3rd to October 3rd of 2020, that's 1306 days. Not very impressive.

In conclusion : It depends *entirely* on how much sales you think Xbox One will get lifetime, or if you are putting it up against the current 28-30 million benchmark.

I mean when will the Switch pass the Xbox One. So if the XB1 is at lets say 40mil by 2018 and the switch catches up and sell 40il+1. So i think end of 2020 XB1 will be around 55m and Switch 58m.



AngryLittleAlchemist on 15 July 2017
jason1637 said:
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
Okay, I'm a little confused here. When you say outsell do you mean the Xbox One's 30 mil sales as of now or it's lifetime sales? Because we don't know what Xbox One's lifetime sales are, and if you're saying Switch will sell 30 million by late 2020 or early 2021 , that's not that impressive.

By comparison, the Xbox One officially reached 26 million sales by January of 2017, it took about 1153 days. If we say the Switch sells 30 million from March 3rd to October 3rd of 2020, that's 1306 days. Not very impressive.

In conclusion : It depends *entirely* on how much sales you think Xbox One will get lifetime, or if you are putting it up against the current 28-30 million benchmark.

I mean when will the Switch pass the Xbox One. So if the XB1 is at lets say 40mil by 2018 and the switch catches up and sell 40il+1.

Well that can change, it can pass it and then lose to it the next month. With the X and possibly a new Halo on Xbox, I wouldn't be surprised. If you just want to know exactly when it will pass it, I think it will be Quarter 2 of 2019. Late 2020 is extremely late when you consider Xbox One might not get any more growth months



curl-6 on 15 July 2017

If it gets mainline Pokemon and Monster Hunter by then, second half of 2019.



Jranation on 15 July 2017

Quicker than Wii U!!!! :p



Pocky Lover Boy! 

jason1637 on 15 July 2017
AngryLittleAlchemist said:
jason1637 said:

I mean when will the Switch pass the Xbox One. So if the XB1 is at lets say 40mil by 2018 and the switch catches up and sell 40il+1.

Well that can change, it can pass it and then lose to it the next month. With the X and possibly a new Halo on Xbox, I wouldn't be surprised. If you just want to know exactly when it will pass it, I think it will be Quarter 2 of 2019. Late 2020 is extremely late when you consider Xbox One might not get any more growth months

I dont really see it like that. I think the Switch will have stock issues this and next year, maybe even 2019 because of the iphone 9. But i see switch selling an average of 13-15m per year while xbox maintaining 7-8m a year so late 2020 or early 2021 seems possible. But by mid 2020 the next xbox will revealed and sales should drop,