You don't think FIFA will be one of the top 4 selling games of the year? Are you thinking globally in the US or something?
I completely forgot about FIFA. I actually quite like certain sports games myself, but I don't for the life of me understand people who run out and buy them every year. So little changes in most cases. I personally usually stick to picking them up on a bianual basis, and even then it's sometimes not a very noteworthy upgrade.