By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict when Switch will outsell Wii U in total sales

 

It will happen...

This year 51 19.32%
 
Q1 2018 116 43.94%
 
Q2 2018 53 20.08%
 
Q3 2018 25 9.47%
 
Q4 2018 or later 19 7.20%
 
Total:264

Due to the nature of the Switch Stock I'm leaning June 2018. Mario Odyssey and Splatoon 2 could probably push past Wii U numbers alone.



Around the Network

Really depends on how much stock Nintendo produces.But just to be edgy, december this year.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

As soon as they produce that amount, so June 2018 is my guess.



January 2018.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

If there were no stock issues, I'd say this year easily.

As things stand, I'm guessing Q1 2018.

Crazy to think that 5 months ago there was widespread doubt that it would outsell Wii U at all, and now it's a question of whether or not it will do so in its first year alone.



Around the Network

Q1 2018



Probably at half of 2022



Suky said:
Probably at half of 2022

So is this a joke, or do you not know how to use VGChartz?



Holiday 2018. I think they'll get to around 10-11mm after holiday 2017. They'll be very close to to Wii U going in to 2018 holiday, and will pass it, probably to 14-17mm by the end of 2018.

I expect sales to slow substantially after this fall. They've got Zelda, Splatoon, and Mario to move units this year. But, what on the schedule for 2018? I expect no more than 1-2 blockbusters next year. That's not going to move a lot of units.



Based on the supply constraints, I'd say the Switch will fully eclipse the Wii U just after its 1 year anniversary in late March / early April, so right on the 2018 Q1/Q2 borderline.

Had hardware supply not been an issue, there was a real possibility Switch could've done it before the end of the year.

Edit:  I'll say the final week of March 2018 is when the Switch will officially pass the Wii U in LTD sales, so end of Q1 '18.



On 2/24/13, MB1025 said:
You know I was always wondering why no one ever used the dollar sign for $ony, but then I realized they have no money so it would be pointless.