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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Will Xbox One pass 50 million?

 

Will it?

Yes it will 309 44.46%
 
No it won't 386 55.54%
 
Total:695
LethalP on 22 July 2017
SegataSanshiro said:

No. Won't hit 45 million either.

Do you think the PS4 will reach 100 million?



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SegataSanshiro on 22 July 2017
LethalP said:
SegataSanshiro said:

No. Won't hit 45 million either.

Do you think the PS4 will reach 100 million?

You bumped a dead topic to respond to a 3 week old comment that has already been discussed.



LethalP on 22 July 2017
SegataSanshiro said:
LethalP said:

Do you think the PS4 will reach 100 million?

You bumped a dead topic to respond to a 3 week old comment that has already been discussed.

It was on the front page, I saw your comment. Why do you always seem angry when you post? That seems like a more appropriate question.



VAMatt on 22 July 2017
SegataSanshiro said:

You bumped a dead topic to respond to a 3 week old comment that has already been discussed.

Why is that a problem?  



UltimateGamer1982 on 22 July 2017
LethalP said:
Let's assume it was at 28 million at the beginning of the year, assuming it does 8 million this year should put it at 36 million by January 2018. If we lowball it and say it does 6 million in 2018 (I honestly think it will be 7 million), it should end up at 42 million by 2019. 5 million in 2019 to get to 48 million. So I'm guessing it should pass 50 million before the Xbox 2 is released in 2020. It will be closer to 60 million by the end of it's lifespan.

It's not doing anything close to 8 million this year. It hasn't even sold a million this year in the states yet. It'll probably sell 4-6 million at best. And much less next year. So 33-35 million by end of year. I'd say about 4-4.5 million next year for a total of 38-39.5 million. And probably not much more than that before the next gen starts. 



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SegataSanshiro on 22 July 2017
LethalP said:
SegataSanshiro said:

You bumped a dead topic to respond to a 3 week old comment that has already been discussed.

It was on the front page, I saw your comment. Why do you always seem angry when you post? That seems like a more appropriate question.

Never angry. People just misread me as much as I misread them. Couldn't be more relaxed as always. I'm the least serious person around.



loy310 on 22 July 2017
freedquaker said:
curl-6 said:

The system currently stands at 29 million according to VGChartz numbers, after 3 and a half years on the market.

Do you think it will end up selling more than 50 million lifetime, and why/why not?

That depends on the number of years it will stay on the market. But there are a few very likely facts.

1) It will sell less than X360, PS3, or half of PS4, but more than Original Xbox and Gamecube combined.

2) If it continues to sell at current pace, XB1 and XBX combined will have sold between 61 and 68 million by 2020 (roughly doubling the current number)

3) This will be somewhat below half of the PS4 (and PS4pro) numbers estimated to have sold between 124 and 136 million by 2020

XB1 sales estimates by the end of each year

By the end of 2017: Between 36 and 42 million
By the end of 2018: Between 47 and 51 million
By the end of 2019: Between 56 and 61 million
By the end of 2020: Between 61 and 68 million

So it should pass the 50 million mark between late 2018 and early 2019, and 60 million mark between late 2019 and early 2020.

So at 68 million in 2020? by that perdiction PS4 would have to slow down or do you expect PS4 to sell 136 million by 2020?

 

LF for XB will be a lil over 50 million, I say it taps out at 55 million, followed with the PS4 at 100 million.

 

If the PS4 falls off then the XB will also fall off, cant see a reality where PS4 declines while XB rises.



Kerotan on 22 July 2017

It should just about beat 50m but will be way down on 360 from last gen. Less then half ps4 I predict aswell. If they do next gen I expect their next iteration to sell under 50m and their xbox live subs to decline.



S.T.A.G.E. on 22 July 2017
UltimateGamer1982 said:
New numbers on gaf show xb1 selling less this year, its fourth, than the OG Xbox in 05, it's fourth year. 16million xb1's have been sold in North America since launch. It hasn't even sold a million in America this year yet where PS4 has sold 1.7 million so far.

Now with no new gears or halo this year and only a expensive $500 upgrade, im having a hard time seeing xb1 selling 4m this year. I'm now beginning to think it may not even make it to 40 million before Microsoft cuts the 1 short and starts next gen sooner than later.

Exactly. Without Halo or Gears Microsoft cannot expect a sales boost. This is probably why they are relying so much on the XOX launch. They are marketing the hell out of multiplats and th console.



loy310 on 22 July 2017
S.T.A.G.E. said:
UltimateGamer1982 said:
New numbers on gaf show xb1 selling less this year, its fourth, than the OG Xbox in 05, it's fourth year. 16million xb1's have been sold in North America since launch. It hasn't even sold a million in America this year yet where PS4 has sold 1.7 million so far.

Now with no new gears or halo this year and only a expensive $500 upgrade, im having a hard time seeing xb1 selling 4m this year. I'm now beginning to think it may not even make it to 40 million before Microsoft cuts the 1 short and starts next gen sooner than later.

Exactly. Without Halo or Gears Microsoft cannot expect a sales boost. This is probably why they are relying so much on the XOX launch.

I can dig it, but I don’t think they can pull off another console before 2021 unless they are working on it this very moment or worked on both 1X and next gen at the same time, which gives them at least 4 years to put out something competitive. Sony on the other hand will have had 5 years from Pro launch to crank out a PS5 with a decent leap forward in tech. MS have a uphill battle if 1X fails to bring them to 50 million. 2 Failures back to back, likely put them into next gen demoralized. As bad as PS3 was it still sold over 80 million.

Crazy to think that XB turned out worse than PS3, a console that launched at $100 more than XB1 and at a time when the global economy was in the shits.