derpysquirtle64 said:
You are definitely right about Sony selling more consoles than MS this holiday season. I didn't even doubt this. I've argued about your 3:1 ratio by mid-2018. Which won't happen at all. Even by the end of this generation, Sony won't be able to outsell Xbox 3:1. Also, you seem to forget that Xbox is doing almost 1:1 in the US, the biggest console market, so they will sell a lot of consoles this holiday season there as well. So, your argument about Mary going to buy baby Jesus his first console works for Xbox as well. At least in US. They've got a huge marketing which will help them a lot.
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So it has been 3 months since you posted this. Are you still confident by end of this gen Sony won't be 3:1 up worldwide, barring a Sony disaster??
As of the end of October the margin between PS4 and Xbox One in the US is now 3 million units. It has continued to grow. Seems little doubt that PS4 won the Black Friday sales battle too. So that means November sales in PS4's favour, but we'll get some kind of confirmation of this next week when the NPD numbers for November are announced.
If you look at the game sales on a something like FiFa, a huge sporting franchise, at the end of October on PS4 it had sold nearly 7million and on Xbox One just over 1.5 million. Even games developers will starts looking at that disparity and wondering if it is worth their development time making sure Xbox gets the best version. If you want to compare exclusives look at both console's best driving franchises. Forza Motorsport 7, which came out 3 weeks before Gran Turismo Sport, sold 400,000 units, while Gran Turismo Sport in 2 weeks sold 1.1 million by the end of October! Forza had 5 weeks worth of sales to only hit 400,000.
With Sony announcing 70million console units sold at the beginning of December, with still the Xmas sales to go, I'm guessing Sony will shift 1-2 million worldwide this holiday season, by year end. So that should confirm that by end of 2017, we'll be in the 2.1:1 to 2.2:1 ratio of PS4 sales to Xbox One sales. Now Xbox One X has been well received by critics, but has that translated into any sales increase?
With titles like God of War, Death Stranding, Last of Us II, Spiderman, Detroit : Become Human, Days Gone (not my kind of game as it just portrays a clichéd zombie scenario, unlike Naughty Dog) all coming exclusively to PS4, will Xbox One have a chance in 2018??? Is there anything Xbox can do to turn this around? Is focusing on backwards compatibility really the right path for Xbox? I think they should focus on the future, rather than looking to the past. But I have another theory about why BC is so important to Microsoft. See my other posts on another thread about that :)