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Forums - Sales Discussion - A little milestone that people have not noticed - the PS4 has outsold the NES

Pyro as Bill said:

Barkley said:

No he thinks it'll outsell the two best selling consoles of all time combined. PS2+PS4.

If it was anyone else I'd say he wasn't being serious.

If we count Switch as 2 consoles (handheld/home) then it probably will.

You mean counting each Switch sold as 2?

Nah even with that, Switch won't sell close to half of PS4+PS2 combined.



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Pyro as Bill said:
VGPolyglot said:

So, is that 60.4 million, or 120.8 million?

Both.

Barkley said:

No he thinks it'll outsell the two best selling consoles of all time combined. PS2+PS4.

If it was anyone else I'd say he wasn't being serious.

If we count Switch as 2 consoles (handheld/home) then it probably will.

So you're suggesting that if each Switch sold was counted as 2 sales, it would reach numbers greater that the combined sales of PS4/PS2? Is this the idea being put forward?



- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."

COKTOE said:
Pyro as Bill said:

Both.

If we count Switch as 2 consoles (handheld/home) then it probably will.

So you're suggesting that if each Switch sold was counted as 2 sales, it would reach numbers greater that the combined sales of PS4/PS2? Is this the idea being put forward?

Essentialy "Switch will probably sell over 127.5m", which is assuming ps4 hits 100m, but there's a good chance it goes over that somewhat.



Barkley said:
COKTOE said:

So you're suggesting that if each Switch sold was counted as 2 sales, it would reach numbers greater that the combined sales of PS4/PS2? Is this the idea being put forward?

Essentialy "Switch will probably sell over 127.5m", which is assuming ps4 hits 100m, but there's a good chance it goes over that somewhat.

Yeah, but saying "if we count Switch as 2 consoles, it probably will" is what I want to have addressed. Just for the purpose of clarification. Most specifically: Why would anybody do such a thing?



- "If you have the heart of a true winner, you can always get more pissed off than some other asshole."

COKTOE said:
Pyro as Bill said:

Both.

If we count Switch as 2 consoles (handheld/home) then it probably will.

So you're suggesting that if each Switch sold was counted as 2 sales, it would reach numbers greater that the combined sales of PS4/PS2? Is this the idea being put forward?

Once again, I think that Bill was making a joke referring to the guy counting the PS4 as two separate consoles.



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BraLoD said:
VGPolyglot said:

Once again, I think that Bill was making a joke referring to the guy counting the PS4 as two separate consoles.

He is pretty serious with his Sony downplaying + Nintendo licking, tho.

Just read his signature, if you don't know the guy's history.

Yeah, I know, but I think he was joking this time.



Lawlight said:
killeryoshis said:

-snip-

1. The PC market back was very much separate from the console market unlike today where there is some overlapping. As you yourself pointed out - the markets were very much separate and not in competition with one another.

 

2. You said MS can only sell in NA and the UK - well that's 2 of the biggest gaming markets right there. They're much bigger competition than Nintendo has ever faced with the NES.

 

3. You're giving me an article about why the 3DS wasn't selling in 2011 - a year when less than 15% of mobile users had a smartphone. Compare this to 2015 when 77% of mobile users had a smartphone. There's also a big difference between mobile gaming in 2011 vs now.

https://www.emarketer.com/Article/Mobile-Phone-Users-Japan-Upgrade-Smartphones-Finally/1012880

https://1d31c772ec21a65b0a71-0707aae3004193da193e1ad4a942592d.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/24968/japan_mobile_profits__large.jpg

On top of that, you're ignoring the downwards trend of consoles in Japan. The NES is the 2nd highest selling console in Japan with only the PS2 surpassing it. Even th Wii only sold 12.5M there compared to the NES's 19.35M.

 

Now, let's look at a point that you forgot: Rise of alternative forms of entertainment. During the NES era, you're at home, you're a kid - what's the best way to spend time - video games. Any other distraction back then is still available today. But now:

1. Social media. The average perso spends 116 minutes, almost 2 hours per day, on social media. That's 2 hours that could have been spent on gaming.

2. Streaming services. It's easy to now access thousands of movies/shows to entertain oneself. Average time spent on just Netflix by a subscriber is 1h33min per day. That's more time that could have been spent gaming.

3. And yes, smartphones. Smartphones cut into people's use of a gaming device and it provides multiple ways to spend time.

All of the above compete against the PS4 in one way or  another as they offer alternative ways to spend time.

PC gaming wasn't competition in the 80s but now it is? How does that work?  Is it because multiplatorm games between PC and consoles didn't exist at the time? If anything that should helps the current generation systems! The NES could only wish to get some PC multiplatform games. The NES had to depend on  mostly Japan for its games. Which doesn't have a strong PC market over there. 

Sega was a small time company and had 33% of the marketshare. MS is a big time company that casn get like 35% to 40% of the market  I believe. The difference between competition is not that significant.  Now who is the bigger competion another arguement but I this is not the time nor place. Again I did not take into consideration PC gaming for ether era which again leans into more of help the NES cause. 

I posted that link to show that mobile to show that Handheld gaming mostly fell due to dumb decesions not really just to mobile gaming. Mobile gaming could be a cause but that wasn't the point. I was just trying to show that Mobile gaming is not really going to make a decent dent to Home Console sales if they don't effect Handhelds as much. (Again if it does at all. Another argument could be made here if mobile does anything to Handhelds but this is not the time nor the place)

Also the fall of Home Console gaming in Japan could be due to a lot of reasons. In Japan the gaming market is falling in general not just home consoles. Even handelds are not doing as well. They are just doing better.   (Home consoles are just hardest hit. ) 

Also Social Media,  Streaming and Smartphones don't really make a big difference compared to the opening of new markets like Eastern Europe. They do not have the same impact as entire populations growing.  Can Social Media effect sales? Of course but they are no where near as big as bigger word markets and population growth.  More competition in the home console space is a much bigger deal then all three of those things you listed combined.  Let alone everything else I mentioned.

Now I am saying PS4 sales are awful due to my reasons above? No, I never said that. I am not even trying to say it is not an accomplishment that for the PS4 to outsell the NES. It is an accomplishment. I am trying to say that PS4 outselling the NES is not really a big of deal because numbers without context is kinda useless. The market conditions between the PS4 are much different than what the NES faced. We are talking about 30 years gap here.  Comparing them directly is not going to tell you much. The PS4 has things to face against just like the NES. However the NES just had more things to deal with.  I never tried to say the PS4 faces no negative market condtions now.  

Now that I think of it there is more circumstances that I missed.

Economy was better in the 80s then it is now. (Big deal!)
Multi console ownership is more of a thing today then in the 80s. (Helps inflates sales a bit)
Multi media functions like Blu-ray and streaming  (Old computers ads used to say "Why buy just a gaming system?")

There could be more but I need to think of them. 



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killeryoshis said:

PC gaming wasn't competition in the 80s but now it is? How does that work?  Is it because multiplatorm games between PC and consoles didn't exist at the time? If anything that should helps the current generation systems! The NES could only wish to get some PC multiplatform games. The NES had to depend on  mostly Japan for its games. Which doesn't have a strong PC market over there. 

Sega was a small time company and had 33% of the marketshare. MS is a big time company that casn get like 35% to 40% of the market  I believe. The difference between competition is not that significant.  Now who is the bigger competion another arguement but I this is not the time nor place. Again I did not take into consideration PC gaming for ether era which again leans into more of help the NES cause. 

I posted that link to show that mobile to show that Handheld gaming mostly fell due to dumb decesions not really just to mobile gaming. Mobile gaming could be a cause but that wasn't the point. I was just trying to show that Mobile gaming is not really going to make a decent dent to Home Console sales if they don't effect Handhelds as much. (Again if it does at all. Another argument could be made here if mobile does anything to Handhelds but this is not the time nor the place)

Also the fall of Home Console gaming in Japan could be due to a lot of reasons. In Japan the gaming market is falling in general not just home consoles. Even handelds are not doing as well. They are just doing better.   (Home consoles are just hardest hit. ) 

Also Social Media,  Streaming and Smartphones don't really make a big difference compared to the opening of new markets like Eastern Europe. They do not have the same impact as entire populations growing.  Can Social Media effect sales? Of course but they are no where near as big as bigger word markets and population growth.  More competition in the home console space is a much bigger deal then all three of those things you listed combined.  Let alone everything else I mentioned.

Now I am saying PS4 sales are awful due to my reasons above? No, I never said that. I am not even trying to say it is not an accomplishment that for the PS4 to outsell the NES. It is an accomplishment. I am trying to say that PS4 outselling the NES is not really a big of deal because numbers without context is kinda useless. The market conditions between the PS4 are much different than what the NES faced. We are talking about 30 years gap here.  Comparing them directly is not going to tell you much. The PS4 has things to face against just like the NES. However the NES just had more things to deal with.  I never tried to say the PS4 faces no negative market condtions now.  

Now that I think of it there is more circumstances that I missed.

Economy was better in the 80s then it is now. (Big deal!)
Multi console ownership is more of a thing today then in the 80s. (Helps inflates sales a bit)
Multi media functions like Blu-ray and streaming  (Old computers ads used to say "Why buy just a gaming system?")

There could be more but I need to think of them. 

1. Of course, PC gaming is more of a competition now that it was before. The shared library assures that. And PC games aren't helping the current consoles - it's the other way round. Console games, which used to be console only, are now helping the PC by being available there.

 

2. It doesn't matter that MS can't get that marketshare - it just shows that the PS brand is very strong. What matters is that MS is a stronger competitor than Sega was. I would say they garnered around 45% of the core gaming marketshare in the previous gen with the X360 (and no the Wii didn't get a big share of that market as it sold to non-gamers).

 

3. I'm glad that you agree that the Japanese home console market is not what it used to be.

 

4. What is the opening of new markets if, globally, people are having less free time to spend on traditional entertainment medium? If someone has a few hours of free time a day but spends that time on Netflix and social media, what is left for gaming on traditional gaming consoles?

 

5. I agree with you - conditions are different back from then from now but I still think the PS4 is doing more against much more adversity. I still think the lack of strong competitors and the video gaming crash (it left a void in the market to be filled) both helped the NES.

Multi-console ownership helps inflate overall sales but availability of multiple consoles decreases sale of a system.

Multi-media functions - well, we know that people are buying systems for that these games as the PS4 had none on release.



Very impressive

The real milestone is passing the PS3 and possibly the Wii though



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Platina said:
Very impressive

The real milestone is passing the PS3 and possibly the Wii though

PS3 would be before the holiday seasons next year.