By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict the Switch hardware sales for July and August !

June is about to end and the coming months seem to be rather packed for the Switch: in July we're going to see the release of the most anticipated Switch title in Japan for this year it being Splatoon 2, the title is certainly going to do really well in the west too as proven by the original Splatoon which managed to sell over 4M copies on Wii U! Additionally Nintendo is planning to increase the ammount of Switch shipped from July onwards, which will cause the hardware sales to rise considerably in territories like Japan and the US where the system is currently sold out.

August on the other hand is trickier, we're going to see how good the legs for Splatoon 2 will be and we'll also see the release of Mario+Rabbids: Kingdom Battle in the West (the title will come out in Japan only in 2018) and Monster Hunter XX in Japan.

Make shure to keep your predictions for the two months SEPARATED (i.e. July: 1M , August: 700k ) and I'll be adding your predictions to this post as soon as possible.

User July August
Mnementh 770k 850k
AAA300 900K 1.1M
Mbolibombo 1M 1.2M
Volterra_90 850k 750k
Luke888 1.3M 1.4M
fedfed 896k 831k
Lenny93 1M 1M
Jason1637 650k 750k
LethalP 1M 1M
StuOhQ 900k 800k
Green098 1.2M 900k

Enjoy the predictions!



Around the Network

Hmm, that prediction is more difficult, because Nintendo said that in July and August the production is finally increased: http://www.vgchartz.com/article/268531/nintendo-to-increase-switch-shipments-in-july-and-august/

Without that announcement I would have said the same as June for both months. As I assume production increase happens slowly, I think August will see more sales than July, just because of better shipments. September will probably the first months where demand is met by supply, until holidays where it will be again to less supply. So I say +10% above June in July and +20% in August.

As we have no hardware numbers yet, I have to guess there too. Let's say baseline is 150K a week. That makes it roughly 700K a month in June, 770K in July and 850K in August.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

Splatoon Will be big in both July and August but I think e3 Will spur more good Will on switch. Many bought a Wii u because they knew a Zelda was coming, i feel metroid Will get many on board knowing Zelda is already there. If they fix there supplies then 900k July 1.1million Aug. With splatoon in July and it being summer I could see a lot of switchs outside for free advertising.



Mnementh said:
Hmm, that prediction is more difficult, because Nintendo said that in July and August the production is finally increased: http://www.vgchartz.com/article/268531/nintendo-to-increase-switch-shipments-in-july-and-august/

Without that announcement I would have said the same as June for both months. As I assume production increase happens slowly, I think August will see more sales than July, just because of better shipments. September will probably the first months where demand is met by supply, until holidays where it will be again to less supply. So I say +10% above June in July and +20% in August.

As we have no hardware numbers yet, I have to guess there too. Let's say baseline is 150K a week. That makes it roughly 700K a month in June, 770K in July and 850K in August.

I dont think the baseline has ever been as low as 150k (according to vgc) so I think that's lowballing it a bit. I cant seem to find the thread anymore but there was a thread with all the weekly hardware sales and there was not a single one below 200k. Last week revealed had it at 170k though.

But yeah, this is hella hard. All depends on the shipments.. I do think they will seriously have to make something happen for the Splatoon 2 demand. Anything less than 225-250k would have to be considered a miss and I do think they have made sure there has to be some stock at least.

Guessing 1.0 Million in July, 1.2 in August.

 

 

 



I think from July onwards, the Switch is going to sell at least above 200-250k each weak, with it dropping a bit to 150-200k through August, only to pick up again in October when Mario releases. As far as stock goes, I have seen more and more restocking (of course these are gone the next day) in the local shops that I frequent. I know this is anecdotal, but I have been hearing the same thing from friends in other regions from where I live.



Around the Network

I'd guess, 850k in July, 750k in August.



I predict sold out.



[Switch Friend code: 3909-3991-4970]

[Xbox Live: JissuWolfe]

[PSN: Jissu]

Mbolibombo said:
Mnementh said:
Hmm, that prediction is more difficult, because Nintendo said that in July and August the production is finally increased: http://www.vgchartz.com/article/268531/nintendo-to-increase-switch-shipments-in-july-and-august/

Without that announcement I would have said the same as June for both months. As I assume production increase happens slowly, I think August will see more sales than July, just because of better shipments. September will probably the first months where demand is met by supply, until holidays where it will be again to less supply. So I say +10% above June in July and +20% in August.

As we have no hardware numbers yet, I have to guess there too. Let's say baseline is 150K a week. That makes it roughly 700K a month in June, 770K in July and 850K in August.

I dont think the baseline has ever been as low as 150k (according to vgc) so I think that's lowballing it a bit. I cant seem to find the thread anymore but there was a thread with all the weekly hardware sales and there was not a single one below 200k. Last week revealed had it at 170k though.

No, it was not there, but the hardware is still back at end of April, start of may. As it dropped below 200K with the start of may, I assume the production pre-ramp-up is below 200K. 150K was a wild pick, but based on that japanese numbers still dropped after that, so I think it may happen worldwide too. As in most regions demand still is not met, I think that is production capacity and before it was simply residue in the channels from launch. But yeah, 150K may be low, that's why I said my real prediction is 10% and 20% above June, whatever that is.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023

10 years greatest game event!

bets: [peak year] [+], [1], [2], [3], [4]

It is impossible to predict anything with that shortages.



Lower than PS4 higher than Xbox One.



There's only 2 races: White and 'Political Agenda'
2 Genders: Male and 'Political Agenda'
2 Hairstyles for female characters: Long and 'Political Agenda'
2 Sexualities: Straight and 'Political Agenda'