Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Mario Odyssey, Breath of the Wild, and Splatoon 2 will all pass 10 million

What do you think?

You're right curl
Go home curl you're drunk

Zelda is well on its way there already.

3D Mario has passed the 10m mark before with 64 and Galaxy, and Odyssey as a spiritual successor to 64 will do the same. Like Zelda, it will be an evergreen title for the system that will continue to sell throughout the Switch's life.

Splatoon sold 5 million as an unproven new IP on a system that didn't even reach 14 million. Now that it's a proven and beloved brand, and has a much more successful platform to sell on, it will double that.

This is my typically pessimistic prediction. Do you agree with me, or do you think I'm not being pessimistic enough?



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Go home curl you're drunk

Well, maybe not, but you're certainly hopeful. I *still* don't take Zelda for granted, and Splatoon 2 isn't guaranteed to attract a much bigger audience than the original. ...but what do I know, I always get sales predictions completely wrong and in this case am taking a conservative route because I'm still unsure the Switch can remain as successful as it's looking like it will, because I've learned to expect the worst when it comes to anything Nintendo.

I am convinced that Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 is the greatest movie ever and people just don't want to accept it.

Unlikely, as those games all launch when the system has a small install base. Nintendo games tend to have good legs. But, assuming Nintendo keeps a solid stream of good games coming to the system, it will be difficult for early games to sell millions of copies for years after release.

I do honestly think those are reasonable numbers for each of the 3 games, but I do think Odyssey will sell quite a bit over 10 million. If Nintendo continues this trend of dominating the nostalgic 20's gaming crowd they've been doing who grew up on 64 and Sunshine, and saying that the Switch could sell as much systems as the Wii did (which I honestly do think the Switch will sell bare minimum 80 million units), when looking at numbers for previous Mario games, I think Odyssey could sell a minimum 15 million copies. I might honestly be the bold one and say it could sell 20 million.

It's out there, but I think it's possible.

...no. Mario Odyssey will be the only game to reach that number. And that's Lifetime sales. Zelda will round out at about 6.5-7 million, Splatoon 2...eh, 3 million.

I agree with you, which is why I think you're probably drunk.

Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. Winner gets avatar control for a month.

Bet with palou: I say Mario Odyssey will sell less than 900k FW in the US, he says more. Winner gets avatar control for a month.

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Ljink96 said:
...no. Mario Odyssey will be the only game to reach that number. And that's Lifetime sales. Zelda will round out at about 6.5-7 million, Splatoon 2...eh, 3 million.

What makes you think Splatoon 2 will sell less than the original? 

Splatoon
Global Total as of 06th May 2017 (units): 4.67m
Platform: Wii U
Developer: Nintendo EAD Genre: Shooter


Ljink96 said:
...no. Mario Odyssey will be the only game to reach that number. And that's Lifetime sales. Zelda will round out at about 6.5-7 million, Splatoon 2...eh, 3 million.

Zelda sold 3.8 million in its first month and is showing excellent legs. Why would it then go on to sell only 6.5-7 million?

And why would Splatoon sell less on Switch than on Wii U?



Ljink96 said:
Splatoon 2...eh, 3 million.

Pretty amazing that this is such a extreme lowball, when back in 2014 not even the highest predictions for Splatoon were this high.



I am convinced that Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 is the greatest movie ever and people just don't want to accept it.

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VAMatt said:
Unlikely, as those games all launch when the system has a small install base. Nintendo games tend to have good legs. But, assuming Nintendo keeps a solid stream of good games coming to the system, it will be difficult for early games to sell millions of copies for years after release.

That's where bundles come into play



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