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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Predict When will Ps4 Outsell Wii

Kjartan on 06 June 2018

Only 2 millions left for the PS4 to overtake the Wii in Europe.



NNID/PSN: Kung_Kjartan

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TheBlackNaruto on 06 June 2018
Dulfite said:
aLkaLiNE said:

 

I don't know 🤔

 

PS4 at 60 million.

Wii at 100 million. You predict Ps4 will sell 20 million less. By your prediction Sony needs to sell less than approximately 20 million units end of life for it to be correct. It will do 80% of that 20 million (16 million) within a year from now. That leaves 4 million units to sell between June 2018 to whenever production of Ps4 ends. So I think you're going to be wrong d:

 

I guess @ the OP: Sometime end of 2019/early 2020. PS5 comes out holiday 19', we will have sub $200 PS4 prices. Maybe hitting something like $125-$150 for Black Friday of 19'.

Just to be clear, I think Sony is going to have a small E3 this year and will have less and less games going forward because they want the PS5 to hit the ground running when it launches, just like the ps4. Could the ps4 go on to sell more than the Wii? Absolutely! But only if they hold off the ps5 (and software production moving to the ps5) for a couple more years. If the PS5 launches anytime in 2019 or the first half of 2020, I think the ps4 won't sell more than the Wii. My 20 million short prediction, however, may be wrong as you stated.

Also, nice necrobump ;)

Okay come on man you can't be serious. Sony predicts 16 million shipped for the fiscal year. That should put them at what 93 or 94 million March of 2019. That means it would have to sell LESS than 10million for as long as it remains on the market to pass the Wii. Even if it dropped 50 freaking percent to 8 million in the 2019-2020 fiscal year it would still outsell the Wii.

Also did you just say your 20 million short prediction MAY be wrong? It is already wrong seeing as it is almost at 80 million SOLD then it stands to reason that it is past 80million shipped since you can't sell more than you ship. Like I don't think you are being serious here with these comments and predictions man. Not attacking you are anything but they are just not making any sense at all or being realistic.



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

potato_hamster on 06 June 2018
TheBlackNaruto said:
Dulfite said:

Just to be clear, I think Sony is going to have a small E3 this year and will have less and less games going forward because they want the PS5 to hit the ground running when it launches, just like the ps4. Could the ps4 go on to sell more than the Wii? Absolutely! But only if they hold off the ps5 (and software production moving to the ps5) for a couple more years. If the PS5 launches anytime in 2019 or the first half of 2020, I think the ps4 won't sell more than the Wii. My 20 million short prediction, however, may be wrong as you stated.

Also, nice necrobump ;)

Okay come on man you can't be serious. Sony predicts 16 million shipped for the fiscal year. That should put them at what 93 or 94 million March of 2019. That means it would have to sell LESS than 10million for as long as it remains on the market to pass the Wii. Even if it dropped 50 freaking percent to 8 million in the 2019-2020 fiscal year it would still outsell the Wii.

Also did you just say your 20 million short prediction MAY be wrong? It is already wrong seeing as it is almost at 80 million SOLD then it stands to reason that it is past 80million shipped since you can't sell more than you ship. Like I don't think you are being serious here with these comments and predictions man. Not attacking you are anything but they are just not making any sense at all or being realistic.

I'm sure he'd be far more bullish about it if Sony started including special "gaming enhancing" essential oils with every PS4. I'm not sure why he came back, it's clear he's not thinking straight if he thinks it's even remotely possible that the PS4 sells less than five million units the rest of its life. Is he expecting a zombie outbreak in the next couple months or something?



TheBlackNaruto on 06 June 2018
potato_hamster said:
TheBlackNaruto said:

Okay come on man you can't be serious. Sony predicts 16 million shipped for the fiscal year. That should put them at what 93 or 94 million March of 2019. That means it would have to sell LESS than 10million for as long as it remains on the market to pass the Wii. Even if it dropped 50 freaking percent to 8 million in the 2019-2020 fiscal year it would still outsell the Wii.

Also did you just say your 20 million short prediction MAY be wrong? It is already wrong seeing as it is almost at 80 million SOLD then it stands to reason that it is past 80million shipped since you can't sell more than you ship. Like I don't think you are being serious here with these comments and predictions man. Not attacking you are anything but they are just not making any sense at all or being realistic.

I'm sure he'd be far more bullish about it if Sony started including special "gaming enhancing" essential oils with every PS4. I'm not sure why he came back, it's clear he's not thinking straight if he thinks it's even remotely possible that the PS4 sells less than five million units the rest of its life. Is he expecting a zombie outbreak in the next couple months or something?

That was why I had to question it because it made absolutely no sense. I personally think he isn't being serious because there is no way he can believe what he stated in his very last post.



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Barkley on 06 June 2018
Dulfite said:

Could the ps4 go on to sell more than the Wii? Absolutely! But only if they hold off the ps5 (and software production moving to the ps5) for a couple more years. If the PS5 launches anytime in 2019 or the first half of 2020, I think the ps4 won't sell more than the Wii. My 20 million short prediction, however, may be wrong as you stated.

Also, nice necrobump ;)

I thought the predictions that it wouldn't outsell the Wii made back when this thread was created in summer 2017 was crazy... but this?

Come on man, the shipment forecast is 95m units by March 2019, there is zero chance it's not going to outsell the Wii. It doesn't matter when the PS5 launches.

We've already made it to 20m short and PS4 will go on to sell over 110m.



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Barkley on 06 June 2018
RolStoppable said:

I am with Dulfite on this one. Using bolded font doesn't make what you say any more valid.

You're not though.



DonFerrari on 07 June 2018

To think some even though PS4 couldn't outsell WiiU and X1 before release.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari on 07 June 2018
CGI-Quality said:
Dulfite said:
LOL. The PS4 won't outsell the Wii nor will it even come close to doing it. I predict it will be at least 20 mil less than wii by the end of its life.

This is just.....eh. You honestly expected it to just die after last year (only way it wouldn't have achieved within 20 million of 101 million)?

World will end at E3 so PS4 can't sell over 81M.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

CosmicSex on 03 October 2018

What an unbelievable horrific thread.

First of all, all of the people saying it wont make it to 101 are just absolutely crazy. Its just simple math. PS4 wont suddenly evaporate from store shelves after the end of the current fiscal year where Sony has predicted 94-95 million. Secondly, In what universe would PS4 ever drop from 14-17 million in one year to 0 the next year. Thirdly, the people who think that it will settle at PS3 levels are operating in a different universe. That will happen before the end of the year. Fourth, their are predictions that are already in the negative. A reasonable answer is November or December of 2019 unless the PS5 launches in which case by March 2020.

The PS4 will beat the Wii. It will probably keep selling until at least 110 million.



JRPGfan on 03 October 2018

This doesnt need a necro bump until the PS4 actually breaks 100m imo :)
At that time, the necrobump will result in alot of people haveing to eat crow.