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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Arms will easily sell 2 Million+

 

How much will ARMS sell in 2017?

Less than 750k 16 5.46%
 
750k to a million 19 6.48%
 
1 - 1.5 million 41 13.99%
 
1.5 - 2 million 55 18.77%
 
2 - 2.5 million 56 19.11%
 
2.5 - 3 million 53 18.09%
 
3 - 3.5 million 20 6.83%
 
More than 3.5 million 33 11.26%
 
Total:293
Cloudman said:
VideoGameAccountant said:

Splatoon and ARMS are different. Splatoon worked because it appealed to a market that most first/third person shooters ignored. The trend is violent, gritty military shooters. Splatoon is a game about painting term and squids who love fashion. Its weird and colorful, so it fit Japan's taste better.

You have to compare ARMS to fighting games. Most fighting games are overly complicated and lack any modes besides ranked. ARMS has a very simple concept and plenty of modes. That will be the key to its success.

Actually when you phrase it like that, they don't seem all that different either, haha. They're both kinda doing the same thing.

Yep, they are both Blue Ocean games. Both are targeting new markets.  I wrote about it here: https://www.videogameaccountant.com/2017/05/21/nintendos-blue-ocean-games/ (and yeah its a shameless plug, but seems relevant enough to this conversation)



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VideoGameAccountant said:
Cloudman said:

Actually when you phrase it like that, they don't seem all that different either, haha. They're both kinda doing the same thing.

Yep, they are both Blue Ocean games. Both are targeting new markets.  I wrote about it here: https://www.videogameaccountant.com/2017/05/21/nintendos-blue-ocean-games/ (and yeah its a shameless plug, but seems relevant enough to this conversation)

That's cool, I didn't know you kept a blog. That was a fun read too, thanks~ I learned a thing or two from it.



 

              

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VideoGameAccountant said:
Cloudman said:

Wow, pretty great numbers for it.

I agree that could happen, or even more, LT at least. Watching its 1st year will be interesting, since I dunno if the game has that same charm that helped Splatoon sell very well, at least when it comes to Japan (the art style I think appeals more to the west than Japan). Impressions from the test punch have been mostly positive, so maybe it'll sell a lot better.

Splatoon and ARMS are different. Splatoon worked because it appealed to a market that most first/third person shooters ignored. The trend is violent, gritty military shooters. Splatoon is a game about painting term and squids who love fashion. Its weird and colorful, so it fit Japan's taste better.

You have to compare ARMS to fighting games. Most fighting games are overly complicated and lack any modes besides ranked. ARMS has a very simple concept and plenty of modes. That will be the key to its success.

They also suffer from annoying/game breaking lag when playing online. Arms has been flawless so far. This is the first fighting game that has been consistently playable online for me.



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Nintendo has reported 1.18 million sales during the first 2 weeks. So by the end of the holiday season, this one will be well above the 2M mark. I don't know if my 1M week 1 prediction was correct, but it probably was :D

Monicle Layton hit the 1-2M in week 1 or 2 before I did though.

Also, a lot of the current predictions are already wrong after only 2 weeks.



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SpokenTruth said:
Peh said:
Don't wanna loose my bet.

Has Palou contacted you yet?  It did over 700k in the first week.

Nope, he didn't. 



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Good sales for Arms. Expecting a sequel now for sure at some point, and 2 million isn't hard to see in the distance.



Peh said:
Don't wanna loose my bet.

haha, loser



This is the kind of game where I really don't know if I should be rooting for it or not. Honestly, I was more excited for the game before I played it.