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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - I could have been mistaken about Swich, but I have one theory left.

niceguygameplayer said:

It has been over 2 months since switch released. It is still going strong. I didn't expect this. I figured that the Nintendo fanatics would have gotten their systems and sales would be slowing down. It actually seems to have increased! This doesn't make much sense to me since it is underpowered, very expensive--not counting the outrageous scalper prices of $410+ on Amazon--, and there are few games. 

I have only one explanation other than just misreading the whole thing. The explanation is this: artificial demand. Nintendo was said to have done this with Wii. After 2 months it seems Nintendo (a multi billion dollar company) would have the Switch production problem fixed. They should be widely available. Maybe they saw that this worked for Wii and they are using this strategy to create artificial demand for Switch. Many ppl want what they can't have. Could this be the answer? Please let me know your opinions in the comments.

The undersupply theory is way off base. The switch released in March, which isn't a common release time, being that most are released later in the year to get a big holliday sales push. The Switch outsold the Wii and SNES's first month, which is great but still somewhat surprising.The PS4 didn't release with 10 million consoles available at launch, no company does it's bad business.  If nintendo had made 10 million WIi U units for launch that would have been a disaster.

Also, factories want consistent work from the companies, so if the factory had made 10 million wii U for launch, and it wasn't selling at all, it could ruin them and Nintendo could lose their working relationship with that factory.

 



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Cloudman said:
Can it not be that people just like the system?

Nope. Not that. Neeevverrr that. Lame ol' Nintendon't, amirite?



You know that thing when you uhhh...and then you...hmmm. But then you have to...umm, Yuh.

JC317 said:
You know how we used to have a chalkboard for Xbox One? Maybe we can have one too for the Nintendo Switch, except it'll be filled with reasons why it'll fail and we'll get to cross off the ones that didn't come true

Wouldn't everyone just be left with a full board of crosses?



NiN has about 80 million customers based on Wii U and 3DS alone. That's not to mention anybody else who owns a previous NiN console or handheld that hasn't upgraded.
With the Switch, it shouldn't be that hard for NiN to get 50% of those 80 million to buy a Switch over the years as the price comes down. That would be 40 million Switch's. If they can sell 10 million a year, for 4 years, that's not bad at all.
Then imagine if they can get just a small portion of those casual Wii customers to buy a Switch as the price drops. Your talking 50 million Switch's or more now.

Where Switch will end up exactly is pretty hard to say right now. It depends a lot on whether or not NiN doubles down on Switch and leaves 2DS and 3DS behind completely, or launches a Switch mini that takes their place, or just continues on with their current hybrid and handheld offerings.
The other BIG factor is the price. If NiN pulls another Wii U and keeps the price too high, it will really hurt Switch sales over time. If they reduce the price over time like they should, they will sell A LOT more of them.



This artificial demand theory needs to die.



Sales prediction, PS4: 122 Million, Xbox one: 50 million, Switch: 105 million. 

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Nintendo ships more consoles than planned. People say it's artificial demand. Stay classy.

Seriously though, stuff like that just happens. The PS4 wasn't easily available for liek 6 months after launch around here. Didn't have anything to do with artificial demand. There's only so many things you can build in a given time, especially nowadays where all those foxconn factories are blocked by iPhones and Samsung Galaxys. It's not like a gaming console has a huge priority for the people building them and Nintendo doesn't have their own factories.



Official member of VGC's Nintendo family, approved by the one and only RolStoppable. I feel honored.

Give it a bit of time. The thing will sell better than the Wii U because of the name alone, but the fact that it won't have third party support will soon make itself clear (aswell as software droughts).
Though i doubt some of the numbers we are seeing here in vgc. Even if we were to trust it, the ps4 is already outselling it in europe.

 

Ultimately the Switch is the Wii U 2, it simply has a better name.



Nem said:

Give it a bit of time. The thing will sell better than the Wii U because of the name alone, but the fact that it won't have third party support will soon make itself clear (aswell as software droughts).
Though i doubt some of the numbers we are seeing here in vgc. Even if we were to trust it, the ps4 is already outselling it in europe.

 

Ultimately the Switch is the Wii U 2, it simply has a better name.

Except it's nothing like the Wii U, but don't let that derail your usual Nintendo is doomed narrative. 

The PS4 must be a crappy selling console if selling less than it is deemed an automatic failure. 



"The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must" - Thoukydides

Alkibiádēs said:
Nem said:

Give it a bit of time. The thing will sell better than the Wii U because of the name alone, but the fact that it won't have third party support will soon make itself clear (aswell as software droughts).
Though i doubt some of the numbers we are seeing here in vgc. Even if we were to trust it, the ps4 is already outselling it in europe.

 

Ultimately the Switch is the Wii U 2, it simply has a better name.

Except it's nothing like the Wii u, but don't let that derail your usual Nintendo is doomed narrative. 

The PS4 must be a crappy selling console if selling less than it is deemed an automatic failure. 

Pfft... so sad. Like you know anything about me. If you were expecting boot licking though, you are right, that narrative doesn't fly with me.



Nem said:
Alkibiádēs said:

Except it's nothing like the Wii u, but don't let that derail your usual Nintendo is doomed narrative. 

The PS4 must be a crappy selling console if selling less than it is deemed an automatic failure. 

Pfft... so sad. Like you know anything about me. If you were expecting boot licking though, you are right, that narritive doesn't fly with me.

You constantly post the same stuff over and over again, what more do I need to know?

Take a look at Amazon, the thing is selling better than the PS4 at the insane price of $400.

But yeah, all of the Switch's success can be explained by having a better name. /sarcasm



"The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must" - Thoukydides