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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Square Enix looking to sell five million copies of Dragon Quest XI

Barkley on 13 May 2017
NintendoPie said:
5 million is reaching for the lowest fruit on the tree. SE must not be looking to try and expand this franchise at all with this entry, even despite it being multi-platform.

Meanwhile SE was dissapointed that Tomb Raider (2013) sold "only" 3.4 million in it's first month.

(They wanted 6 million sales...)



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NintendoPie on 13 May 2017
Barkley said:

Meanwhile SE was dissapointed that Tomb Raider (2013) sold "only" 3.4 million in it's first month.

(They wanted 6 million sales...)

Seems about right. Square Enix obviously doesn't know what they want. Growth? Unrealistic expectations? Decline? Low-balling it? Have it all.



Mystro-Sama on 13 May 2017

Now if we could just see combat gameplay that would be great.



ktay95 on 13 May 2017

I mean thats where I had it pegged. Would be worried for them if DQ started to decline. Its not like they are selling to a much smaller install base and this one has the advantage of being 2 different games (kinda) which could lead to double dipping.



Dreamcaster on 13 May 2017

The game will do at least 7 million. 5 million is an easy target. Anyway guys, don't expect it to beat Final Fantasy XV; with the inevitable PC port, I expect around 9 million.



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Mystro-Sama on 13 May 2017
Ka-pi96 said:
Mystro-Sama said:
Now if we could just see combat gameplay that would be great.

umm... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljkuDSzy-qk

Basically from 14:10 onwards is combat gameplay. I think the battle at around the 19min mark looks better though!

Yup, thats definitely new to me. Thanks.

 

The turn-based combat looks different though.



Dreamcaster on 13 May 2017
Ka-pi96 said:
Dreamcaster said:
The game will do at least 7 million. 5 million is an easy target. Anyway guys, don't expect it to beat Final Fantasy XV; with the inevitable PC port, I expect around 9 million.

You think it will do at least 7 million? As in you think it will be at least the highest selling DQ game ever?

It's not impossible, but that's far from guaranteed!

I also wouldn't expect nearly another 4m for FFXV. The legs don't seem that great and a possible PC port doing that well seems unlikely.

Well the sales from the west will, without doubt, be the best ever for DQ since it is on PS4. If DQIX could get 630K in NA, 670K in EU, and 150K elsewhere on the DS, then I expect at least 3 million on PS4, 3DS and Switch. As for Japan, 4 million is realistic. It should get ~2 million on 3DS, ~1.5 million on PS4 (looking at COMG), and then another 500K from Switch isn't too taxing.

For FFXV, the sales with digital should already be at ~6 million. If the PC port comes this year or next, 1 million is reasonable considering FFXIII has ~700K (SteamSpy) despite it being 3 years late. In terms of legs, most of XV's sales have come from the west (which is far more leggy than Japan), and it's sales seem to be on track to add another 1 million in both NA and EU. With that, I exect 9 million.



Slarvax on 13 May 2017
Mar1217 said:
I think people are overestimating, DQXI sales potential. I definitely see the 3DS version doing 2M copies sold lifetime and it probably would have been higher if it wasn't during it's end life. The PS4 version sales will probably reach 500k and this will probably disappointed SE.

5M is reachable, but it'll definitely need that Switch port a bit of time before we get to this.

When it comes to western countries and don't see this being popular at all, so I'm guessing 1M lifetime shared across all the platform (except Xbone)

The PS4 version should easily sell over 1 million. If not, at least match FFXV numbers.

But I do agree with your first point. I doubt this game will "easily" sell 5 million like everyone is saying.



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Cloudman on 13 May 2017

I'll be sure to contribute when we get the Switch version



 

              

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Ljink96 on 13 May 2017

I'm thinking it can hit 5 million in Japan easy combined across all platforms, with around 1.5 million between US and EU, when it's all said and done I think it'll do 7M-7.5M lifetime.Can't believe this is coming out in a couple of months...