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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo has a realistic shot at returning to #1 this fiscal year - RESULT: Nintendo back on top (21.45m), Sony second (19m+)

 

Which company will sell the most consoles in the fiscal year ending March 2018?

Sony (by more than 3m) 260 27.84%
 
Sony (between 2-3m more) 52 5.57%
 
Sony (between 1-2m more) 73 7.82%
 
Virtually tied (within 1m of each other) 133 14.24%
 
Nintendo (between 1-2m more) 150 16.06%
 
Nintendo (between 2-3m more) 59 6.32%
 
Nintendo (by more than 3m) 104 11.13%
 
Microsoft (seriously) 15 1.61%
 
Microsoft (for the lulz) 30 3.21%
 
Scoreboard 58 6.21%
 
Total:934

so maybe even with a 3ds and a switch nintendo will sell less than sony with only the ps4? damn



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The way NS is going it wouldn't surprise me.



BraLoD said:
PS4 will beat Switch + 3DS probably every single year, 3DS sales will enter the nose dive point after this holidays so this is actually the only year there is a chance for both combined beat the PS4, after that it'll be basically PS4 vs Switch and PS4 will keep beating it until the PS5 comes.

Pretty bold statement, especially because at end of life of console and before new console arrives, console have huge drop is sales.



Miyamotoo said:
BraLoD said:
PS4 will beat Switch + 3DS probably every single year, 3DS sales will enter the nose dive point after this holidays so this is actually the only year there is a chance for both combined beat the PS4, after that it'll be basically PS4 vs Switch and PS4 will keep beating it until the PS5 comes.

Pretty bold statement, especially because at end of life of console and before new console arrives, console have huge drop is sales.

Especially if the PS5 is announced as being backwards comp. with PS4 games and running them (potentialy) with better graphics/loading times etc like the Scorpio does natively and the PS4 Pro does patched or with ps4 boost mode.

That would really slow down sales but on the other hands if the PS4 pro never leaked out it would have been announced very close to release so they might go that route with the PS5 again.

All things aside I think its to early to predict since we don't fully know how much of a true hit the Switch is this year it might just take off completely if third parties start backing it and the next 2 E3 shows are great. But it might also turn out that the PS4 is just to much of a sales cannon, only time will tell.

But anyway long story short, I agree its a pretty bold statement at THIS time




Twitter @CyberMalistix

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I'd like to hear an explanation from the people who chose Microsoft (seriously).



haxxiy said:
radishhead said:

10 million is a hugely conservative estimate. Nintendo lowballed it so they can show off how they beat it later. You're mad if you think they'll fall short.

It's not hard to look and find there is not even a 35% premium on buying a Switch when it's out of stock. There is little reason to believe demand is significantly higher than supply here; it's far more likely it has been just a litte higher, and dropping.

Despite all of this, some Nintendo fans, for some reason, deemed fit to take a small uncertainty as a free pass to wildly speculate the potential for Wii-like sales where even Nintendo assumes, and expects, the console to sell lower than the Wii, the DS, and even the 3DS.

Are most of you guys really that young to not notice the Switch hasn't even a fraction of the cultural impact and media impact the Wii or even the DS had a decade ago?

I know Rol isn't, but I can only especulate on his reasons to pose as the next JohnLucas. Maybe the poor guy is just success-starved after the 8th generation, who knows. Some people seem to link their self-steem to how companies perform, so yeah.


What we know for sure is:

- Switch sold more than Wii at launch, despite being launched in March and not during Christmas time.
- Zelda: BoTW is the best selling standalone launch title (i.e. not a bundled game a la Wii Sports) in Nintendo history.
- Mario Kart 8 Deluxe sets record as fastest-selling game in the franchise.

If these indicators does not ring a bell for you than I suppose there is no point arguing anymore.



Flilix said:
I'd like to hear an explanation from the people who chose Microsoft (seriously).

Well for me personally I'm a Playstation guy but if PS wasn't around anymore I'd definitely go to MS mainly for 3rd parties. Outside of JRPG's which are great and all but you're always gonna get great AAA 3rd party games on a MS console. The same can't be said for Nintendo. It's great that Nintendo had a good launch with the Switch but personally I think people are jumping the gun with some predictions. I would never count MS out of the race.



6 million 3DS in 2017 seems very optimistic to me.

Many handheld gamers will go for a Switch instead, even if it is more expensive.



Blood_Tears said:
Flilix said:
I'd like to hear an explanation from the people who chose Microsoft (seriously).

Well for me personally I'm a Playstation guy but if PS wasn't around anymore I'd definitely go to MS mainly for 3rd parties. Outside of JRPG's which are great and all but you're always gonna get great AAA 3rd party games on a MS console. The same can't be said for Nintendo. It's great that Nintendo had a good launch with the Switch but personally I think people are jumping the gun with some predictions. I would never count MS out of the race.

that doesnt make any sense, the question is about who will sell more this year. There is like a 1% chance that Microsoft sells more hardware than Sony or Nintendo this year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.