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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo has a realistic shot at returning to #1 this fiscal year - RESULT: Nintendo back on top (21.45m), Sony second (19m+)

 

Which company will sell the most consoles in the fiscal year ending March 2018?

Sony (by more than 3m) 260 27.84%
 
Sony (between 2-3m more) 52 5.57%
 
Sony (between 1-2m more) 73 7.82%
 
Virtually tied (within 1m of each other) 133 14.24%
 
Nintendo (between 1-2m more) 150 16.06%
 
Nintendo (between 2-3m more) 59 6.32%
 
Nintendo (by more than 3m) 104 11.13%
 
Microsoft (seriously) 15 1.61%
 
Microsoft (for the lulz) 30 3.21%
 
Scoreboard 58 6.21%
 
Total:934
OTBWY on 27 April 2018

Why is the Vita undisclosed? They phased it out?



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p0isonparadise on 27 April 2018
OTBWY said:
Why is the Vita undisclosed? They phased it out?

Sony is embarrassed. 



MasonADC on 27 April 2018

This was an interesting year.

Last edited by MasonADC - on 27 April 2018

Farsala on 27 April 2018

A good prediction, if you can call it that. Should have been more certain in the OP like Tbone threads :P.

A somewhat hollow victory though, considering PS4 probably outsold the Switch (US+ Japan is certain and I am sure Europe is a foregone conclusion) last quarter yet shipped much less.

I can't recall what I voted at the start but it was probably the tie or Nintendo small victory.



KLAMarine on 27 April 2018
RolStoppable said:

FINAL UPDATE: April 27th, 2018

Both Sony and Nintendo have announced their results for the full fiscal year.

Sony: 19.0m PS4s, Vita undisclosed.
Nintendo: 15.05m for Switch, 6.4m for 3DS. Total: 21.45m.

In the final quarter of the fiscal year, Nintendo grew their lead of 1.48m to 2.45m before PlayStation Vita is factored in. This value of 2.45m makes it a little bit difficult to determine if Nintendo's win falls into the 1-2m range or the 2-3m range, but either way, it's certain that Nintendo is #1 again. I'll say that Nintendo's margin of victory falls into the 1-2m range, because it isn't really something that is worth fighting over and it has been a very long time since we've heard anything about Vita sales outside of Japan.

As you can tell from the headline of this update, this thread has run its course and won't receive any further updates. A year ago this was a very interesting comparison, because anything other than a Sony win was going against the majority opinion. Now there's no question anymore regarding who is the #1 in the console business, because the forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2019 are as follows:

Sony: 16m PS4s, Vita undisclosed.
Nintendo: 20m for Switch, 4m for 3DS. Total: 24m.

That's such a big gap between forecasts that it is a foregone conclusion who will sell the most consoles in the fiscal year that started this month.

The reason why there's no new snapshot of the poll in this final update is because only 24 new votes have come in during the last three months. Those are too few votes to have a meaningful impact on the results of a poll with over 900 votes in total.

Switch isn't a console though...



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zorg1000 on 27 April 2018
KLAMarine said:
RolStoppable said:

FINAL UPDATE: April 27th, 2018

Both Sony and Nintendo have announced their results for the full fiscal year.

Sony: 19.0m PS4s, Vita undisclosed.
Nintendo: 15.05m for Switch, 6.4m for 3DS. Total: 21.45m.

In the final quarter of the fiscal year, Nintendo grew their lead of 1.48m to 2.45m before PlayStation Vita is factored in. This value of 2.45m makes it a little bit difficult to determine if Nintendo's win falls into the 1-2m range or the 2-3m range, but either way, it's certain that Nintendo is #1 again. I'll say that Nintendo's margin of victory falls into the 1-2m range, because it isn't really something that is worth fighting over and it has been a very long time since we've heard anything about Vita sales outside of Japan.

As you can tell from the headline of this update, this thread has run its course and won't receive any further updates. A year ago this was a very interesting comparison, because anything other than a Sony win was going against the majority opinion. Now there's no question anymore regarding who is the #1 in the console business, because the forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 2019 are as follows:

Sony: 16m PS4s, Vita undisclosed.
Nintendo: 20m for Switch, 4m for 3DS. Total: 24m.

That's such a big gap between forecasts that it is a foregone conclusion who will sell the most consoles in the fiscal year that started this month.

The reason why there's no new snapshot of the poll in this final update is because only 24 new votes have come in during the last three months. Those are too few votes to have a meaningful impact on the results of a poll with over 900 votes in total.

Switch isn't a console though...

Home, handheld, hybrid describe the form factor but they are all consoles.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

jonathanalis on 27 April 2018

I still think that Sony 2018 PS4 FY estimations are conservative and switchs FY estimations are too optimistic.
I still think switch alone can dethrone ps4 in this year, but by a small margin(~1 million), not by 4 million, like the estimations suggest.



LipeJJ on 27 April 2018
jonathanalis said:
I still think that Sony 2018 PS4 FY estimations are conservative and switchs FY estimations are too optimistic.
I still think switch alone can dethrone ps4 in this year, but by a small margin(~1 million), not by 4 million, like the estimations suggest.

I agree that Sony’s prediction is too low, it will probably ship 18m imo, not only 16m. That said, we can’t say 20m for Switch is too optimistic because we’re not sure what the line up of the holidays will be. As it stands, I think it will consist of SSB, AC, Mario Party and FE. I think that’s enough to hit the 20m target (if they do some deals and bundles for Black Friday), especially when you realize Switch nearly shipped 3m in a quarter which had Kirby as its main star.



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

S.Peelman on 27 April 2018

Ruthless update. Nintendo's gonna reign supreme for some time now I reckon.



KLAMarine on 27 April 2018

I wonder who I voted for in this poll... I think it was Microsoft. For the lulz.