These comparisons with the PS4 and Wii by both Nintendo itself and these threads keep bumming me out lol... I'm trying to enjoy the sudden burst of optimism for Nintendo's situation and everyone should be busy being grateful that they've had strong a start as they have, but instead of celebrating the very possibility of 10 million sold in a year we're instead setting historically high and nigh unreachable goals for it. It keeps forcing me to take the other side, and I don't like that lol (I understand speculation is a lot of fun though, so I'm not suggesting we should stop or anything... just wish I was on Nintendo's side in these more often :p)

The PS4 is an enormous hit; they'll be selling their old models for incredibly little throughout the year and continue to release big games for it. Obviously there's going to be more competition over the coming year with the Switch and Scorpio than its faced in an almost competition-free console environment for most of its existence (especially when compared with last gen, which was about as balanced as any in regards to console sales), but that's not very likely to slow down sales much.

I really don't see Nintendo matching that, even if you include 3DS sales. If they do, awesome, but I'd be thrilled so long as the Switch approaches 10 million.

This holiday will be big for Sony with many big third party games like Destiny 2, CoD WW2, Battlefront 2, and the rumored Far Cry 5/AC Egypt. With all these huge games I think Sony will sell 18m PS4 also lets not forget they have a good future line up with God of war , Last of us 2 etc.

As for the Switch it also has many System sellers to push it to Maybe exceed Nintendos expectations but I don't see the 3DS doing anything over 6m even with if it still has a decent lineup with Ever Oasis, Fire Eblem, Pikmin because it's pretty dated by now and will sorta compete with the Switch.

I can't see Nintendo passing the Sonys estimated sales unless they give the switch a $250 price or Pokemon. If one of the two happen then I think it will definitely happen but the way it is now probably not.

Looking at this weeks hardware the Vita is doing about 1/4 of 3DS business overall and 1/2 of the business compared to 3DS in Europe. It's still surely going to sell in the millions this year, barely i guess. Despite Europe as a whole being a bigger market than the US we take half as many Switches it seems. I can't see Nintendo beating Sony especially with the rumoured PS4 price drop coming. I would of thought it would be a comfortable win for Sony but again I'd like to see how the Switch sells after lets say 6m worldwide. It could maintain momentum or drop significantly.

Who guaranteed that? I'm not convinced your comparison makes sense lol

Otherwise, that sounds very bad for your health.

I quite honestly think 10m Switch sold is the best case scenario, but not the most likely one. I expect it to sell less.

the original comparison was useless so this one is too by default

PS4 and Switches are flying of shelves, that´s for sure.

I just had to click the lulz option on the poll :P
But honestly, I expect Sony to sell 19 million (PS4: 18, PSV: 1) and Nintendo to sell 15 million (NS: 10, 3DS: 5). So yeah, the PlayStation Nation should take this (yay!).

10 million is a hugely conservative estimate. Nintendo lowballed it so they can show off how they beat it later. You're mad if you think they'll fall short.

https://www.polygon.com/2016/12/19/14006908/where-to-buy-a-nintendo-3ds Late December...

https://www.theverge.com/circuitbreaker/2017/2/7/14526666/nintendo-new-3ds-xl-stock-issues-sold-out-switch-third-party-grey-market February...

;) Scarcity...

Also, Nintendo tried to fix the stock issues with  release  of pikachu new 3ds xl edition in February 24th, as a result mom growth of almost 80% according to npd ( with just one day in february npd, vgc missed that like they didn't know that this is being released at all ), that thing sold out quickly though... 

You can read the polygon article or a recent comment of mine ( http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8400944 ) about the cause of  that situation!

By the way, I haven't noted in my comment that maybe New 2ds xl is another reason why Nintendo hasn't replenished the shelves with a sufficient amount of units all that time.

New 2ds xl is a New 3ds xl without the 3D and better design, more durable and lightweight for 50$ less plus that it includes an ac adapter unlike new 3ds xl, you can guess what that means for New 3ds xl...

USA is  craving for a 3DS....

P.s  Maybe 3ds faces the same problem in EU too ( I have seen many complaints from europeans on gaf ) , vgc weekly  relatively low sales ( for 3DS standards ) might be a proof, unless it's just an undertracking...