Depends on when it gets replaced, if Sony launches the PS5 holiday 2019 if will fall short. If they release the PS5 during the holiday of 2020 it probably will surpass the PS1.

Congratulation sony, hope this will continue, with scorpio coming soon and a great start for the switch i hope sony will show at e3 strong line-up (with release date would be better)

I think it has a good shot of reaching 105m even if PS5 launches in 2019.

Also it would seem VGC data for PS1 is wrong... sony have the console as shipping 102.49m lifetime, not 104.25.  https://web.archive.org/web/20110722094946/http://scei.co.jp/corporate/data/bizdataps_e.html

Yeah I doubt Sony's going to meet their projected targets this year, I estimate 75 million april 2018, 87.5 million april 2019 and 97.5 million april 2020 and from this year onward it will be only on decline. So it might or might ot reach PS1 sales according to these projections, probably will since consoles usually aren't dead and stopped being produced when a succesor gets announced.

Even if the PS5 comes in 2019, it ll do over 100m.

This fiscal year they are saying 18m+ (what sony are predicting).

That means March 2018, it ll be around 78m+ shipped.

Lets say it does another 17m the next fiscal year.

That means March 2019, it ll be around 95m+ shipped.

Before the holidays where the PS5 would launch... it would have shipped 100m.

Also sales dont just stop once a new console releases, it ll keep selling abit for a few years.

If PS5 launches in 2020, it ll likely end up around the 120m mark.

Problem is I don't believe they will ever top 2015 so my estimates are march 2018 75m, march 2019 87,5 million and march 2020 97,5 million. I think PS4 sales will go on decline from 2016, but perhaps I am wrong, but last holidays where a pretty big indicator Sony is going to sell less PS4's instead of more. If it the PS5 launches in 2020, the PS4 will sell around the 107,5 million mark till production is ended I guess.

Yeah, specially Sony consoles, which have much longer legs than Nintendo consoles, for instance.

The PS3 would still ship 50 million consoles after 11 quarters.

The PS2 sold nearly 82 million after March 2004, and nearly 40 million of those after the PS3 launched.

1) "Problem is I don't believe they will ever top 2015" 

They are predicting 18m+, bigger than 2015. Honestly I think 2017 is the "peak year".

2) "I think PS4 sales will go on decline from 2016" 

If you compair Jan -> March, this year vs last year, they are up YoY, by like 3-4%. (neogaf claim).

God of War, GT Sports, Spiderman,.... a 199$ holiday price tag. I think this year it ll be up YoY.

I think so too, last FY might have been the peak for shipments. But when it comes to sales to consumers I think 2017 might be the peak. Let's not forget that at the end of December 2016 they had 3.6m PS4's on shelves, yet they're still predicting to ship 18m more units this year, they don't plan on having 5m+ PS4's on shelves by the end of the year, they plan on selling them.

Oh the same mistake...

PS3 was a late bloomer, didn't have the legs many people think...

PS3 was released at the whopping 599$ , as expected  it sold very bad at that price, its price fell to 499$ ( 2007 ) after one year and little improvement in sales, then 399$ again after  one year  ( 2008 ) and it  started  selling somewhat well! Sony released ps3 slim ( which ditched the expensive components of the previous model ) in 2009 and ps3 sales exploded...

That situation is what let ps2 to keep selling extremely well , but it collapsed the year that sony launched ps3 slim.

PS2 was costing 99$ when ps3 was released at 599$! Even with the initial ps2 price, their price difference is huge! For reference PS2 had the same launch price with ps1 and ps4 only 100$ more.

Of course