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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Switch Sales -- April 2017

 

How many sold by month's end?

4M+ 40 22.47%
 
3.5 - 3.9M 51 28.65%
 
3.0 - 3.4M 47 26.40%
 
2.5 - 2.9M 23 12.92%
 
>2.5M (March numbers were inflated) 17 9.55%
 
Total:178
nanarchy on 22 April 2017
StuOhQ said:
p0isonparadise said:
3-3.4 million. MK will effect May more so than April.

How many do you guestimate by the end of May? I'm thinking 4M is likely. 5M by the end of July. 

 

nanarchy said:

unlikley, unless the rest of the world has a huge surge in sales there will be plenty of stock. every store in Australia has stacks of them, hopefully though a lot will go with MK.

Is it really that widely available in Japan, France, etc.? I've heard that it's been taking a bit longer to sell through in the UK, but hard to find in several markets outside of the U.S. 

Every report I've heard of "stacks" sitting around has been from Australia. It seems they overstocked that region. Is it not priced quite highly there, as well?

no, but because of the countries that have plenty of excess Nintendo can better focus supply which "should" help alleviate shortages in the countries with huge demand.



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jason1637 on 22 April 2017

3m by end of April. At best 3.2m



Shadowcat on 22 April 2017
Cerebralbore101 said:
Four million by months end would be bonkers. I say 2.8 million by end of April.

It probably passed 2.8 million at the beginning of April. I think 4 million is a good estimate.



Platina on 23 April 2017

Forgot what the estimates are for end of March, but if it's at 2.4M, then 3.1M by April is probably a good guess.

There will be a big boost for MK8 launch, as long as stock isn't an issue



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Bofferbrauer on 27 April 2017
Cerebralbore101 said:

Ah ok. Then around 3 million by end of April. Still good sales. Just not mindblowingly good.

 

jason1637 said:

3m by end of April. At best 3.2m

 

Platina said:
Forgot what the estimates are for end of March, but if it's at 2.4M, then 3.1M by April is probably a good guess.

There will be a big boost for MK8 launch, as long as stock isn't an issue

2.74M end of March, still sure about your predictions?



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EricFabian on 27 April 2017

Time to chance some numbers here



Click HERE and be happy 

haxxiy on 27 April 2017
Bofferbrauer said:

2.74M end of March, still sure about your predictions?

If you go by VGC numbers, then the Wii U sold 2M after the first month and only 0.4M the month after that. The PS4 had a similar, albeit smaller drop: 3.73M the first month, 1.33M the second month. The Xbox One had a more radical drop still, from 2.9M the first month to about 0.42M the second month, in part because it was no longer holiday season.

It seems like a console selling 15-30% of its first month numbers is a good estimate for a second month, assuming the non-simultaneous launch and the end of the year launch roughly cancel one another, so 3.15M to 3.55M is indeed the most reasonable estimate. So, it could be at least one of those will be closer to reality than your prediction.



 

 

 

 

 

Bofferbrauer on 27 April 2017
haxxiy said:
Bofferbrauer said:

2.74M end of March, still sure about your predictions?

If you go by VGC numbers, then the Wii U sold 2M after the first month and only 0.4M the month after that. The PS4 had a similar, albeit smaller drop: 3.73M the first month, 1.33M the second month. The Xbox One had a more radical drop still, from 2.9M the first month to about 0.42M the second month, in part because it was no longer holiday season.

It seems like a console selling 15-30% of its first month numbers is a good estimate for a second month, assuming the non-simultaneous launch and the end of the year launch roughly cancel one another, so 3.15M to 3.55M is indeed the most reasonable estimate. So, it could be at least one of those will be closer to reality than your prediction.

These all started during the holiday season, but not the Switch, which will screw this stat over. And considering Japan is easely making 200k+ in April, the drop doesn't seem to be that strong for the console.

Also, those consoles all had few new game releases in their 3 first months after the launch, so they had little to go for apart from ongoing hype. Switch has MK8DX, which will boost sales yet again (unless supply restrictions prevent it from doing so)

All this makes me feel that anything below 3.5M is lowballing right now for Switch in April.



ninjapirate42 on 27 April 2017

They can crack 4 with MK if they ship enough Switchs. If not then it will be somewhere in the 3.5-3.9 range.