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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict Switch's First Year Sales

8.3 million.



...to avoid getting banned for inactivity, I may have to resort to comments that are of a lower overall quality and or beneath my moral standards.

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Between 10 and 17 million.

But it depends on how much Nintendo can produce.. and what games that will come later this year..

A pokemon game would do wonders.. but I think the big hit could be a game/app that uses the HD rumble perfect.. some all will try and talk about.

But this tread makes more sense after E3



If the can resolve supply issues and pokemon does not release 11 million, otherwise more or less. Depending on which of these are true.



nemo37 said:
The price is the biggest threat I see to the Switch's sales this year (pretty much everything else, IMO, has been on-point and executed well). Unless, Nintendo does a price drop (at least $50 but more ideally $70-$100; or perhaps both with the $250 coming bundled with something) I, personally, have a difficult time seeing it be competitive against XOne S and PS4 Slim come this Holiday season.

Until we get a more clear post-launch baseline, I am going to be super-conservative and say 5.5 million. I am pretty sure I will revise this later (hopefully significantly upwards), but I do not feel like launch data is the best source to make bold predictions, so I am going to play it safe for now.

5.5 million? it told 2-2.5m in the first month and is only going to sell another 3-3.5m in the following 11 months?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I was gonna say 6 mil, but perhaps that's way too low. 10 mil feels more between safe and optimistic? E3 could change the outcome of these numbers.



 

              

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Approximately 11,111,111 copies.



12-13 Millions



I'll go with 8 million at the end of december.



I would guess 10-11M for 2017

But since this would be after the holidays.. maybe around 13M?



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I'm gonna say 14 million...they are at about 2.5 million now ..ill say they will sell about 10 million the rest of the year and about 1.5 -2 million in the first few months of 2018