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Forums - Sales Discussion - An exciting 3 way console war is about to begin!

Like most people here, I think PS4>Switch>XOne.

PS4 will keep selling quite well for another few years, possibly selling around 100 million copies.

Switch is harder to predict, but I think it could equally well as the 3DS.

XOne sales have been mediocre and I don't think Scorpio will change much about that. A lot of don't want to pay more for a console just because it's a bit more powerful.



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We know how the last war ended:

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h80c7nFrVzY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=csFP0TCvt-c



Intel Core i7 8700K | 32 GB DDR 4 PC 3200 | ROG STRIX Z370-F Gaming | RTX 3090 FE| Crappy Monitor| HTC Vive Pro :3

MS can't take anything from the Scorpio unless they call it directly (or at least suggest) it's a next generation console. Without that it's just another XB1 added to the pool of a console that's 27m behind, just as the PS4 Pro was just another PS4 added to the pool of a console that's 27m in the lead. These mid tear updates are there to 'revitalise', not 'replace'.

MS will be considering very carefully the implications of promoting it 'directly' as a next gen console.



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Ps4, Switch, Xbox one. If Switch gets all normal pokémon,MH ec



However the days of 'Gens' are dead. Switch isn't a gen 9 Console mearly Nintendo's 7th gen console.



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It won't be that interesting, in my opinion. PS4 sells the most, Switch easily outsells the Wii U but won't come close to the PS4, Xbox One won't get much help from Scorpio at all and ends up fighting to keep the Switch below it, which it may or not succeed in doing. Japan is settled too, Switch should easily sell the most there, I won't be the least bit surprised if and when the Switch doubles the PS4's lifetime sales there.
Battle for second place is somewhat interesting, but it becomes more or less irrelevant once you realize that these two machines have entirely different demographics and the stakes aren't really there. Switch won't affect the PS4/One much at all and vice versa, so this might be a fairly boring few years we have ahead of us.

The numbers in themselves are more interesting, if only we got them on a regular basis and they were anywhere near correct, we don't need another 40-50% margin of error this year like we did at the beginning of 2016.



Switch is not overpriced. Not on terms of manufacturing costs and also not on the single most important thing: perceived value.

As the latter the Switch is compared to what high end smartphones offer and wins easily in terms of price, graphics, playability and how versatile it is.

Nintendo has positioned it in a sweet spot: its a perfect first console for Nintendo fans and a perfect second console for those who own a PS4/Xone...



5drew00 said:

Meanwhile Switch has momentum as Nintendo's fastest selling new system, but the hybrid novelty could eventually wear off like Wii did and doomed Wii U.

No - the hybrid thing will never wear off as developers don't need to do anything to support it: their games will still be mobile.

But those developers who take the extra mile and build their games around that hybrid concept will make a fortune. Expect to see some exciting new concepts in this regard soon...



When all is said and done:

Playstation 4 > Switch > Xbox One



PS4>XBOne>>NS. Because, you know, NintenD0M3D. Again. As usual. Always.



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