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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Only Minecraft and Street Fighter for May? Can Switch sell well this month?

 

Switch will be ok?

Switch will win May NPD 227 54.57%
 
Nintendo will drop Switch 30 7.21%
 
Wii U shall rise and take the throne 79 18.99%
 
See results 80 19.23%
 
Total:416
nuckles87 on 16 April 2017

I think a better question is, will Nintendo even ship enough Switches to keep a steady stock on store shelves? We are in the middle of April now and the thing still isn't easy to come by, and we know from NPD that the Switch isn't exactly being shipped in small numbers as it is. I don't think we need to be concerned about an imminent sales slump until the things are actually easy to purchase.



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Zod95 on 16 April 2017
RolStoppable said:
Zod95 said:

Either you'll be right or so, or you'll be wrong or so. Come on, commit to a prediction. Otherwise, how can you criticize mine?

I've also noted how you claim my 20M is so low while only predicting 50% more.

That probably has to do with the conditions you set. You asked for predictions and then see who is closer at the end of 2020. All someone has to do is say 21m to beat you and be done with it. The people who responded to you did you a favor by voluntarily providing a notably higher number than necessary.

First, people must be honest. That's not doing me a favour. They're doing a favour to themselves.

Second, if somehow Switch sells 100M we all lose. There are no winners. That's why people should be honest. Because predictions are valid in here and in any other thread.

My honesty compels me to leave my predictions in my own signature, so that everybody can see them in any thread I post. Anyway, I will remember the people here and their predictions.



Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 70M      WiiU: 25M

Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 18M

Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 90M      XOne: 40M      WiiU: 15M      Switch: 20M

Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 110M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 14M      Switch: 65M

Zod95 on 16 April 2017
Slownenberg said:
Zod95 said:

Can you precise a number for the end of 2020?

I would say 53 million by end of 2020.

Thank you. So far, you're the one with the highest prediction. You're the bravest ;)



Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 70M      WiiU: 25M

Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 18M

Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 90M      XOne: 40M      WiiU: 15M      Switch: 20M

Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 110M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 14M      Switch: 65M

curl-6 on 16 April 2017
Miyamotoo said:
curl-6 said:

I didn't play Elder Scrolls Oblivion back on PS3/360, that doesn't make it a new game. It's a known quantity that has been available for years.

For all people who skipped PS3 and bouth PS4 and TLoU, TLoU was new game, same thing will be now with Switch and MK8D. So, yes, MK8D will definitely have effect on Switch sales, because its great and must have game.

It's not new though, even the mass market who didn't buy a Wii U know it's an old game. For a game to be a big system seller it needs to have hype, and MK8D isn't getting the hype of a new release because it isn't one. 



Mr Puggsly on 16 April 2017
GoOnKid said:
Mr Puggsly said:

LOL

Okay, I'll give you Minecraft is a big deal because it will sell millions over time. But its not gonna push Switch sales when many people own it on various platforms already. Its more like a game people will buy because they already have a Switch.

Ultra Street Fighter II is not a big deal, its just a port with a few tweaks of a cheap PS360 game. Frankly, there would be more hype for a port of USFIV. Of all the games they could have port to Switch, Street Fighter II was low on the wanted list.

There's more behind it. This game lines up perfectly with games like Wonder Boy, Super Bomberman R, Blaster Master Zero, PuyoPuyo x Tetris, Monster Boy, King of Fighters, Metal Slug, and/or Sonic Mania.

Eh... Switch would benefit more from USFIV. Its the better game and it would better demonstrate what the console is capable of.

You could argue SFII has history on Nintendo platforms, but SFIV is superior. Oh well, atleast its on 3DS.



Recently Completed: 
River City: Rival Showdown for 3DS (3/5) - River City: Tokyo Rumble for 3DS (4/5) - Zelda: BotW for Wii U (5/5) - Zelda: BotW for Switch (5/5) - Zelda: Link's Awakening for Switch (4/5) - Rage 2 for X1X (4/5) - Rage for 360 (3/5) - Streets of Rage 4 for X1/PC (4/5) - Gears 5 for X1X (5/5) - Mortal Kombat 11 for X1X (5/5) - Doom 64 for N64 (emulator) (3/5) - Crackdown 3 for X1S/X1X (4/5) - Infinity Blade III - for iPad 4 (3/5) - Infinity Blade II - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Infinity Blade - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Wolfenstein: The Old Blood for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Origins for X1 (3/5) - Uncharted: Lost Legacy for PS4 (4/5) - EA UFC 3 for X1 (4/5) - Doom for X1 (4/5) - Titanfall 2 for X1 (4/5) - Super Mario 3D World for Wii U (4/5) - South Park: The Stick of Truth for X1 BC (4/5) - Call of Duty: WWII for X1 (4/5) -Wolfenstein II for X1 - (4/5) - Dead or Alive: Dimensions for 3DS (4/5) - Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite for X1 (3/5) - Halo Wars 2 for X1/PC (4/5) - Halo Wars: DE for X1 (4/5) - Tekken 7 for X1 (4/5) - Injustice 2 for X1 (4/5) - Yakuza 5 for PS3 (3/5) - Battlefield 1 (Campaign) for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Syndicate for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: MW Remastered for X1 (4/5) - Donkey Kong Country Returns for 3DS (4/5) - Forza Horizon 3 for X1 (5/5)

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Slownenberg on 16 April 2017
Zod95 said:
Slownenberg said:

I would say 53 million by end of 2020.

Thank you. So far, you're the one with the highest prediction. You're the bravest ;)

hahaha thanks, may my bravery serve me well



GoOnKid on 17 April 2017
Mr Puggsly said:
GoOnKid said:

There's more behind it. This game lines up perfectly with games like Wonder Boy, Super Bomberman R, Blaster Master Zero, PuyoPuyo x Tetris, Monster Boy, King of Fighters, Metal Slug, and/or Sonic Mania.

Eh... Switch would benefit more from USFIV. Its the better game and it would better demonstrate what the console is capable of.

You could argue SFII has history on Nintendo platforms, but SFIV is superior. Oh well, atleast its on 3DS.

That demonstration isn't necessary. This device isn't suited for tech nerds, but for people who just want to have fun. USFII fits better in the retro train the Switch is currently developing.  When considering all these games I mentioned, it's clear why Capcom chose SFII instead of SFIV.



Mr Puggsly on 17 April 2017
GoOnKid said:
Mr Puggsly said:

Eh... Switch would benefit more from USFIV. Its the better game and it would better demonstrate what the console is capable of.

You could argue SFII has history on Nintendo platforms, but SFIV is superior. Oh well, atleast its on 3DS.

That demonstration isn't necessary. This device isn't suited for tech nerds, but for people who just want to have fun. USFII fits better in the retro train the Switch is currently developing.  When considering all these games I mentioned, it's clear why Capcom chose SFII instead of SFIV.

The "retro train"... that's what 3DS is for.

People want more ambitious games from the Switch, not a "retro chain."



Recently Completed: 
River City: Rival Showdown for 3DS (3/5) - River City: Tokyo Rumble for 3DS (4/5) - Zelda: BotW for Wii U (5/5) - Zelda: BotW for Switch (5/5) - Zelda: Link's Awakening for Switch (4/5) - Rage 2 for X1X (4/5) - Rage for 360 (3/5) - Streets of Rage 4 for X1/PC (4/5) - Gears 5 for X1X (5/5) - Mortal Kombat 11 for X1X (5/5) - Doom 64 for N64 (emulator) (3/5) - Crackdown 3 for X1S/X1X (4/5) - Infinity Blade III - for iPad 4 (3/5) - Infinity Blade II - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Infinity Blade - for iPad 4 (4/5) - Wolfenstein: The Old Blood for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Origins for X1 (3/5) - Uncharted: Lost Legacy for PS4 (4/5) - EA UFC 3 for X1 (4/5) - Doom for X1 (4/5) - Titanfall 2 for X1 (4/5) - Super Mario 3D World for Wii U (4/5) - South Park: The Stick of Truth for X1 BC (4/5) - Call of Duty: WWII for X1 (4/5) -Wolfenstein II for X1 - (4/5) - Dead or Alive: Dimensions for 3DS (4/5) - Marvel vs Capcom: Infinite for X1 (3/5) - Halo Wars 2 for X1/PC (4/5) - Halo Wars: DE for X1 (4/5) - Tekken 7 for X1 (4/5) - Injustice 2 for X1 (4/5) - Yakuza 5 for PS3 (3/5) - Battlefield 1 (Campaign) for X1 (3/5) - Assassin's Creed: Syndicate for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare for X1 (4/5) - Call of Duty: MW Remastered for X1 (4/5) - Donkey Kong Country Returns for 3DS (4/5) - Forza Horizon 3 for X1 (5/5)

GoOnKid on 17 April 2017
Mr Puggsly said:
GoOnKid said:

That demonstration isn't necessary. This device isn't suited for tech nerds, but for people who just want to have fun. USFII fits better in the retro train the Switch is currently developing.  When considering all these games I mentioned, it's clear why Capcom chose SFII instead of SFIV.

The "retro train"... that's what 3DS is for.

People want more ambitious games from the Switch, not a "retro chain."

Listen, I'm not arguing. I'm just pointing out that SFII fits better with a lot of other Switch games than SFIV would. You also have to remember that there ARE a lot of ambitious games coming, too.



DarthMetalliCube on 17 April 2017
Zod95 said:
DarthMetalliCube said:

Erm, you sure you wanna go on record with that, considering the Switch has already reached around 20% of the Wii U's total sales, and this is in March/April, with no Pokemon game in sight?

Not only will Switch do far better than Wii U, it'll sell even better than Wii. And you can quote me on that. 

I'm already on record. See my signature.

When WiiU launched (end of 2012) I was predicting 65M total sales, when most people thought that was an incredibly low number. In the beginning of 2014 (and you can check my signature on that) I was dramatically adjusting it to 25M, and again most people thought that it was too low (almost hateful). Now we all know it will end at around 15M.

Switch is revolutionizing as much as WiiU and I'm only predicting more for it because it sold more than twice (on its first week) than Wii or WiiU.

But I want you on the record too. Make a prediction for Switch total sales by the end of 2020. Then we'll see who's closer.

Wii u has no bearing on the Switch, same way Gamecube had no bearing on the Wii. New generation, brand new start.. Unless you're Sega, but their meltdown was largely thanks to a consistantly weak marketing campaign, oversaturation of consoles, and consistantly horrible business decisions. 

It's not about "revolutionizing," it's just about having solid hardware with great games. Switch is solid hardware. Zelda is a great enough game that it is almost single handedly selling consoles. And there are a ton of great looking games in the pipeline. Once pokemon comes out, that's when things really will take off. Then it's game over.

Sure - I'll go with roughly 40 million by the end of 2020, probably a little more. The console will have more of a slow burn than the Wii, but will still sell steadilly for the next 2-3 years and ultimately sell about as well, and perhaps even better than Wii when it's all said and done.



 

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