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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict Hardware Sales for Nintendo Switch in Japan by end of year

tbone51 on 30 March 2017

 

 

With a strong launch and games such as splatoon2/xc2/mkdxd/etc lets predict what switch sales will be by years end!

 

 

It currently has 510k, so 1mil+ is a given. Predict now!

 

 

Goooooooooooo......

 

1st Party Known Games... Coming in 2017

 

Mario Kart 8 Deluxe

Splatoon 2

ARMS

Xenoblade Chronicles 2

Super Mario Odessy

 

 

Other Notable Games...

 

Fire Emblem Warriors



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JRPGfan on 30 March 2017

End of year in japan only (jan 2018?)... Im so bad at these things... Im assumeing its over 2,5m in japan alone.



tbone51 on 30 March 2017
Ka-pi96 said:
More than 510k.
Less than 10m.

And I'm 100% sure I'll be correct

I hope it gets 11mil now :p

 

Im going with 4mil, i think itll sell extremely well



Eagle367 on 30 March 2017

How about 1.5 million. I think I am overestimating though but with Spla2oon coming out, I will believe it if Japan buys all the consoles Nintendo throws their way. So my conservative estimate is 1.5 million and my wild estimate is how much Nintendo actually stocks in Japan



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also

Shikamo on 30 March 2017

3m



     


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sc94597 on 30 March 2017

I am going to guess 45k/week on average. So with 510k unit +9 (months) *4(weeks/months)* 45k units/week = 2.13 Million units.

40k/week or 50k/week aren't too unreasonable either so, will assume an uncertainty of +/- 180k.

So my final answer is 1.95 mil - 2.31 mil, or 2.13 Million +/- 180k.

This is assuming we are talking about December 2017 and not a fiscal year calendar.



JRPGfan on 30 March 2017
tbone51 said:
Ka-pi96 said:
More than 510k.
Less than 10m.

And I'm 100% sure I'll be correct

I hope it gets 11mil now :p

Im going with 4mil, i think itll sell extremely well

That feels abit high to me, Id be glad to be wrong though.



tbone51 on 30 March 2017
Eagle367 said:
How about 1.5 million. I think I am overestimating though but with Spla2oon coming out, I will believe it if Japan buys all the consoles Nintendo throws their way. So my conservative estimate is 1.5 million and my wild estimate is how much Nintendo actually stocks in Japan

I think that might be on the low end tbh. I think wiiu sold 850k (most of it was holiday) and it didnt have splatoon/mk in it. I think minimum tbf will be 1.5mil and thats if switch doesnt do well. It has the launch numbers so it needs to sell just about 1mil for the next 9months. 



Jpcc86 on 30 March 2017

3.14159M



Eagle367 on 30 March 2017
tbone51 said:
Eagle367 said:
How about 1.5 million. I think I am overestimating though but with Spla2oon coming out, I will believe it if Japan buys all the consoles Nintendo throws their way. So my conservative estimate is 1.5 million and my wild estimate is how much Nintendo actually stocks in Japan

I think that might be on the low end tbh. I think wiiu sold 850k (most of it was holiday) and it didnt have splatoon/mk in it. I think minimum tbf will be 1.5mil and thats if switch doesnt do well. It has the launch numbers so it needs to sell just about 1mil for the next 9months. 

Conservative estimate might be a little to conservative then. But read my upper limit. I am all about huge ranges



Just a guy who doesn't want to be bored. Also