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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Kimishima expects Switch sales to reach Wii levels

TaMpAbLaCk said:

Poor Nintendo! lol Wii levels?!.. This is the final nail in Nintendo's coffin for consoles. It will be handheld only & probably leasing it's 1st party games to Sony, Microsoft, Steam. I grew up with NES! I loved NIN! I had a day 1 NES, SNES, N64, GameCube. Unfortunaley they did not grow with me like PlayStation did so I left Nintendo for good after GameCube & it has only gotten worse since the early 00's. smh

If it's a handheld only like you say then doesn't that mean it's more likely to get to Wii levels?



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Lol, not unless this turns out to be a multi form factor smart device.



Honestly, if it manages to reach or surpass the 3DS, that'd be fantastic.



I mean that is doable, and considering that they are combining their two divisions, that is what you'd hope for. The Wii U + the 3DS's sales is already at 80 million, and those are the lowest selling console AND handheld Nintendo has released.

We shall see. While I don't really expect it to happen, I think it's completely doable.



I confess... i burst into laughter.



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Thing is. How many of those people own a Wii U AND a 3DS? Because I'm one of those people, and I sure ain't buying the Switch twice. I think it's possible that it can reach or surpass the 3DS, but I think anything past the 75-80 million is wishful thinking during this initial stage.



Wii got price cuts and bundles so bring on the Switch price cuts and bundles!



They predicted 100 million for Wii U too.



TaMpAbLaCk said:

Poor Nintendo! lol Wii levels?!.. This is the final nail in Nintendo's coffin for consoles. It will be handheld only & probably leasing it's 1st party games to Sony, Microsoft, Steam. I grew up with NES! I loved NIN! I had a day 1 NES, SNES, N64, GameCube. Unfortunaley they did not grow with me like PlayStation did so I left Nintendo for good after GameCube & it has only gotten worse since the early 00's. smh

Don't feel bad for Nintendo, they have a lot of money on reserve (the Wii and DS years have been very good to them and just recently they posted a healthy profit). And as much as I'd love to have Nintendo's games on PS4, Xbox 1, and especially PC, it ain't happening any time soon. Just how this industry works, sadly.



On the one hand, you could argue that it's "doable" if you look at it as combining home and handheld sales they typically get together. If you look at Wii U as a badly marketed, badly supported aberration, then their typical console sales are something like 20-30 million, while their handhelds are usually quite a bit more, in the 60-100 million range.

BUT, you also have to take into account that the massive sales of Game Boy, were largely driven by two games: Tetris, and much later, Pokemon. And that the massive sales of DS/Lite/DSi, were largely driven by the so-called "Blue Ocean" era, wherein they had a lot of games like Nintendogs and Brain Training, etc., that appealed to non-traditional gamers. Same can be said for Wii, with Wii Sports and Wii Fit, etc. That Wii/DS era was incredibly good to the games industry in general, as Xbox 360 and PS3 eventually went on to sell quite a bit each, also (though 360 was admittedly buffered by the RROD phenomenon).

But the point is, that era is over. So looking at it another way, while you can certainly imagine that IF Nintendo actually displays signs of having learned their lesson from their BAD mis-steps in marketing and support for Wii U, and they actually get (and KEEP) third party publishers on board, then yes, Switch could be, potentially at least, a big success. HOWEVER, that's a lot of things going right and falling their way, to make that happen. And even if all of it DOES go THAT right, it's still a highly contentious idea, that Switch could sell over 100 million units, lifetime.