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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Will the Switch outsell the PS4 in Japan? And what effect would this have?

 

Will the Switch outsell the PS4 in Japan?

In Japan, Yes! 357 78.46%
 
In Japan, No! 98 21.54%
 
Total:455
jason1637 on 23 January 2017

In just over a year it should. Im expecting 18m life time in Japan.



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Faelco on 23 January 2017

It will beat the PS4 easily, but I think it won't sell as well as some people think here. Even handhelds slowed down heavily in Japan in the last few years, surely in part because of mobile games. Handheld consoles did lose 50% of sales between the DS/PSP gen and the 3DS/Vita gen... Mobile games keep getting stronger there, so I think handheld consoles will continue to slow down.

Without significant changes (new, smaller, or handheld only  version, or big price cut), I think it will sell half of what the 3DS did, so maybe 12 millions.



Platina on 23 January 2017

Yes, I think it can



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Alkibiádēs on 23 January 2017

It's only $260 in Japan, so it should normally sell well there.



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Jranation on 23 January 2017

I can see it happening. Splatoon 2 will be the first game that will test the Switch in Japan!

And Hopefully you are right! I hope those Anime Playstation exclusives..... won't be exclusives anymore.

 

Edit: and just like what that Japanese guy in the IGN video said...... We will finally be seeing console games on handhelds! That is HUGE! 



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Jranation on 23 January 2017
Aerys said:

This thread reminds me WiiU launch when everyone thought itd success was à given Because of Wii.
You could bé surprised expected way too much from Switch, its highly unlikely it reaches 3DS sales, éven Wii sales in Japan is not likely.


This will bé an interesting thread to bump in One year i think to comparé prédictions of success back then with whar really happened.

Sooo it won't beat the PS4? 



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Mr Puggsly on 23 January 2017

It will likely outsell PS4 in Japan and it will get a lot of Japanese support because of that.

Worst case for scenario for Sony, its the final nail in Vita's coffin and it takes some of PS4's audience/support.



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pastro243 on 23 January 2017

Probably will, I don't think it will affect ps4 in a bad way, most probably a Ps3-Wii situation in japan



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Aerys on 23 January 2017
Jranation said:
Aerys said:

This thread reminds me WiiU launch when everyone thought itd success was à given Because of Wii.
You could bé surprised expected way too much from Switch, its highly unlikely it reaches 3DS sales, éven Wii sales in Japan is not likely.


This will bé an interesting thread to bump in One year i think to comparé prédictions of success back then with whar really happened.

Sooo it won't beat the PS4? 

It dépends where thé ps4 stops , if it reaches 10M, theyll bé close. Switch should bé under Wii.

 

People are overestimating handheld part of Switch, firsf Because handheld Lost à crazy amount of ground to smartphones since 2011 , then Because Switch wont totally bé seen as à handheld Because of some flaws it has if you take it as à handheld ( and i dont think itll reach 10M at all without an exclusive Pokemon, aka not Star, it needs handheld games like Monster hunter ( and KH and many others exclusive it wont have Because things changed since 2011)and à unique Pokémon not liké 3DS ones using Switch power enough to make thé most ambitious Pokémon ever ( Because i know they dont liké technically ambitious Pokémon  , so i Wonder if theyll ever make an exclusive Pokemon or always use 3DS as an excuse to put thé Third game of each génération on Switch as à port to not use Switch power, i feel like all of people here are wrong thinking Switch will bé thé only nintendo console existing, theyll probbaly keep 3DS or release à new one and use it to get some games to port to Switch)) , 



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Leadified on 24 January 2017
Faelco said:

It will beat the PS4 easily, but I think it won't sell as well as some people think here. Even handhelds slowed down heavily in Japan in the last few years, surely in part because of mobile games. Handheld consoles did lose 50% of sales between the DS/PSP gen and the 3DS/Vita gen... Mobile games keep getting stronger there, so I think handheld consoles will continue to slow down.

Without significant changes (new, smaller, or handheld only  version, or big price cut), I think it will sell half of what the 3DS did, so maybe 12 millions.

Just curious but what is your LTD prediction for the PS4 in Japan?