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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Switch preorders go live in Japan - and are gone in minutes

KLXVER said:
lol The downplaying in this thread is funny.

the weirdest one is people saying a 2m launch month in March wouldn't be good



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celador said:
KLXVER said:
lol The downplaying in this thread is funny.

the weirdest one is people saying a 2m launch month in March wouldn't be good

Obviously because it is all crazy nintendo fans who are buying it up all 2 of them.  Yes that is TWO as in ONE TWO!



 

Ljink96 said:
Again, to be expected for launch. What's going to be interesting is seeing how it does in the following months. If Square Enix somehow gets the Switch version of Dragon Quest XI out in May...Switch is going to do surprisingly well in Japan for the rest of the year I'd imagine due to the holiday.

You shoudlnt expect too much from DQ XI on Switch, its on 2 other différent platforms far more popular, itll have a week impact but not à Big long term impact 

 

After launch, some ports will help but not that much , port doesnt have thé same impact than à new game, same for Splatoon which wont have thé same impact than thé first One, thé only  Big One After launch to really change things is Mario , this game will bé the most important, thé One that will décide Switch fate. ( Éven though i highly doubt itll do really much more than WiiU in 3 years of life)



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

major retail shops running out of preorder units in just a few minutes sounds like low quantities though (unless they had like 100 people working the registers)



Acevil said:

Someone told me, that Japanese gamers hate the Switch because of his friend who read it on forum, nothing hated like that would sell out. (Look above)

Oh dammit, flop incomming!



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

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How well did the 3DS do at launch? That'd be the best comparison since it also didn't launch during the holidays. I think that's what people are forgetting when they bring up Wii U also doing well at launch, but maybe holidays aren't really that big of a factor.



Aerys said:
Ljink96 said:
Again, to be expected for launch. What's going to be interesting is seeing how it does in the following months. If Square Enix somehow gets the Switch version of Dragon Quest XI out in May...Switch is going to do surprisingly well in Japan for the rest of the year I'd imagine due to the holiday.

You shoudlnt expect too much from DQ XI on Switch, its on 2 other différent platforms far more popular, itll have a week impact but not à Big long term impact 

 

After launch, some ports will help but not that much , port doesnt have thé same impact than à new game, same for Splatoon which wont have thé same impact than thé first One, thé only  Big One After launch to really change things is Mario , this game will bé the most important, thé One that will décide Switch fate. ( Éven though i highly doubt itll do really much more than WiiU in 3 years of life)

I need to remind you that the Switch is also portable, a type of product that resonates much better with the market, not to mention that the latest Dragon quests has been on Nintendo consoles(for the past 4 or 5 years), so the audience on the Nintendo system should be way higher.

Dragon Quest impact should be much bigger on Switch than you think.



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1

Nautilus said:
invetedlotus123 said:

Selling out just doesn`t mean nothing. If they offer extreme low numbers of course it`s going to sell out. It would mean more to sell 4 million from a 5 million initial shipment than selling 100.000 from 100.000... for example. And the later scenario is much more likely since no hard numbers were shared, whitout any real data this kind of headline is just... you know... clickbait ...

And I somewhat agree.What actually irks me the wrong way is that when Nintendo releases this kind of press(or it is released for them, you got what I meant), everyone says "Oh, its Nintendo creating artificial demand again!".It can be, but its everytime.But when its PSVR, everyone says, "Oh no, its meeting Sonys expectations, so low sales are good".I mean, I know Im comparing an acessory to a console, but the double standard is tiring.

I think there`s more related to media than the companies actually. Nintendo these days brings lots of clicks, Switch will bring more clicks than PS VR, so it`s much more worth it make " WOW SWITCH IS GREAT!!!!!" kind of headline than for PS VR. And for PS VR defense it is a very niche product right now, it`s more about getting developers on board to catch support so when the future generations that are really meant to be mass market comes there will already be a good offer of software and devs will already have experience with, just like all the VR industry right now. 



curl-6 said:
Soundwave said:

2 million world wide is like 660,000 per major market ... that should sell out easily, that's not a lot of stock and in Japan with it being a more portable centric market this was a bit of a no brainer. What sales are like say come May will be more telling.

Bingo.

Hardcore Nintendo fans adopting early and limited stock will have Switch selling out at first, but once the initial rush dies down, then we'll have a better idea of what its sales will be like. Wii U and Dreamcast sold well at first, it's no guarantee of long term success.

True. I'm doubting sales will be that great from may to november though. Splatoon and mario kart should move some systems, but holidays is when we'll see the increase with mario odyssey. But people are going to react in May when it sells less than 200k and go "nintendo is doomed".



Einsam_Delphin said:
How well did the 3DS do at launch? That'd be the best comparison since it also didn't launch during the holidays. I think that's what people are forgetting when they bring up Wii U also doing well at launch, but maybe holidays aren't really that big of a factor.

Holidays arent à big Factor , if you have 300-500k to sell, theyll disappear at your launch, no matter when is thé launch,  no Big deal really, thé first buyers are always thé craziest about new consoles ans it never tells anything about thé success of thé console  

 

Vita for exemple sold à bit less than 400k and was sold out , well it didnt flop as much as WiiU ( which started better though , you see thé irony and gow useless are launches to predict sales ? ) But still flopped



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m