By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Switch Sales Predictions: Open Your Eyes - UPDATE: Switch LTD Shipments Reach 111.08m by June 30th, Forecast for Current Fiscal Year Remains at 21.0m

CosmicSex said:
I predict that (In a would without a Pokemon release this year) the PS4 will be the top sold LTD console in Japan with Switch close behind and Xbox actually recording its first negative sales in Japan this year.                             

Wanna bet on that? Even without Pokémon, it will outsell PS4 this year in Japan



Around the Network
John19 said:
CosmicSex said:
I predict that (In a would without a Pokemon release this year) the PS4 will be the top sold LTD console in Japan with Switch close behind and Xbox actually recording its first negative sales in Japan this year.                             

Wanna bet on that? Even without Pokémon, it will outsell PS4 this year in Japan

Wait a minute.......he thinks PS4 will sell more than Switch this year in Japan?!?!?!?!

Switch will do 5 million and PS4 under 2 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Pokemon coming must be the equivalent of the impending Armageddon scenario for negative predictions still floating around it's like in FFVII where the second part of the game has Meteor falling from the sky.



zorg1000 said:
CosmicSex said:

Okay got you because it actually launched in FY16.  Thanks for the correction.  I appreciate facts.  Knowing is better than being an idiot.  I think the rest of my post will come true.  Lets just revisit this in the future.  I will wait.

What makes you think its going to sell ~10 million less than 3DS lifetime?

Okay that is a good question.   You see I just looked at Nlointendo console sales and with exception of the Wii, their sales have never been giant.  I predict that the mobile nature of the Switch (competing at consoles) at a 300 price will make it sell less than the 3DS. I asaying here that price matters and their history leads me to think that 65 million is a sweet spot.



Slarvax said:
zorg1000 said:

What makes you think its going to sell ~10 million less than 3DS lifetime?

Something about old people.

Yes.  I am saying that Nintendo consoles don't sell that much and that the Wii was an outliner. I'm very confident in that prediction. The hard to figure out part is how good can Nintendo market it to the portable crowd.  Again look at the price.  I feel like 65 million for this hybrid is more than a success and that attaching the online service to this will pay dividends. 



Around the Network
John19 said:
CosmicSex said:
I predict that (In a would without a Pokemon release this year) the PS4 will be the top sold LTD console in Japan with Switch close behind and Xbox actually recording its first negative sales in Japan this year.                             

Wanna bet on that? Even without Pokémon, it will outsell PS4 this year in Japan

The guy below is correct.  I meant LTD.  



zorg1000 said:
John19 said:

Wanna bet on that? Even without Pokémon, it will outsell PS4 this year in Japan

Wait a minute.......he thinks PS4 will sell more than Switch this year in Japan?!?!?!?!

Switch will do 5 million and PS4 under 2 million.

No, I meant life to date.



CosmicSex said:
zorg1000 said:

What makes you think its going to sell ~10 million less than 3DS lifetime?

Okay that is a good question.   You see I just looked at Nlointendo console sales and with exception of the Wii, their sales have never been giant.  I predict that the mobile nature of the Switch (competing at consoles) at a 300 price will make it sell less than the 3DS. I asaying here that price matters and their history leads me to think that 65 million is a sweet spot.

Switch is a Hybrid their portable performance with the exception of the Virtual Boy has always passed 70m, Switch is also outperforming 3DS in the same time scale at the higher price which contradicts you here.



RolStoppable said:
zorg1000 said:

Wait a minute.......he thinks PS4 will sell more than Switch this year in Japan?!?!?!?!

Switch will do 5 million and PS4 under 2 million.

That was a troll post, but he did state LTD as the metric, not sales in 2018 alone. The same sentence predicted negative sales for the Xbox One, so everyone should figure that it was a troll post.

No I am not trolling I was trying to be funny.  Don't be a snowflake.  I didn't mean to offend. I was just acknowledging the Xbox's existence in Japan in a smug way.  I can still be smug right?



Wyrdness said:
Pokemon coming must be the equivalent of the impending Armageddon scenario for negative predictions still floating around it's like in FFVII where the second part of the game has Meteor falling from the sky.

 

Wyrdness said:
Pokemon coming must be the equivalent of the impending Armageddon scenario for negative predictions still floating around it's like in FFVII where the second part of the game has Meteor falling from the sky.

I agree with you.  Pokemon is perfect for switch and it will do gangbusters.  Who doesn't want this?