There were many that were optimistic about the Switch, even right after the october trailer, like me.It wasnt all doom and gloom as you suggest.

Of course no. But i know for sure that 90% of people were absolutely insane with their predictions. I remember as well some optimist (well, optimist is not the right word, more like REALISTIC ) prediction, i think i rememb you as well.

But, you get the point... most people were super wrong.

Fair enough.

Great thread and nice update Rol! It was always obvious that the Switch had a good chance of success. I vividly remember the pre-launch era when many people said the Switch would sell less than 30m units (some even suggesting it wouldn't outsell the Wii U). It always seemed strange to me how people could expect Nintendo's market to crumble at such an insane rate.

I think one big factor is that people alway live in the present and don't look at the future - we often are not actually predicting things, just projecting current trends to continue, even if those trends are already changing. Currently it's third party support on the Switch that people are in denial about: the number of games in the eshop is increasing exponentially and many devs are reporting great sales. And yet, some people like to play the "no third party support / third parties not selling on the Switch" card. It's going to be a fun generation, a lot more interesting than when the PS4 was alone at the top.

It's fun reading back what naysayers were saying. Times have changed haven't they?

It's gonna be pretty funny when Switch outsells the Wii U in less than a year.

Winter is coming. Nintenwinter is coming .

Based on VGChartz numbers, it had to sell 1.2 million during the last 3 weeks of September. Either that or it was way underestimated.

It's not that people live in the present its that the part of gaming who are on forums tend to think collectively in a bubble, this is the group who argue over specs and all and are the minority in gaming but the bubble makes them think they represent the majority hence why many forum goers were all doom and gloom and failed to pick up on the portable aspect being a massive selling point. The group who are the majority just look for an appealing product and that's how NS came across in the reveal and the January presentation.

The first 5 pages of the thread highlight what I mean.

Great thread. Nice way to start your day, with a good laugh