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Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

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How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.04%
 
10M-20M 125 12.95%
 
20M-30M 137 14.20%
 
30M-40M 143 14.82%
 
40M-50M 121 12.54%
 
50M-60M 120 12.44%
 
60M-70M 70 7.25%
 
70M-80M 60 6.22%
 
80M-100M 59 6.11%
 
> 100M 91 9.43%
 
Total:965
Mummelmann said:
Fusioncode said:

Oh & you want a number? Here's one for you: 12 million Switch sold by December 31, 2017.
Here's another: 35 million Switch sold by December 31, 2018.
Here's one more: 60 million Switch sold by December 31, 2019.
And one more for the road: 240 million LIFETIME Switch sales.

Man, oh man, how I want to hear JL's opinion on the Switch. Then again, we already know the answer. I wonder if he's spouting nonsense in another forum nowadays?

John Lucas wouldn't be content with only a 240 mil prediction.



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019

Predictions: Switch / Switch vs. XB1 in the US / Three Houses first quarter

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RolStoppable said:
8m in 2017, more than 100m lifetime.

This years seems to match more or less what many say. But lifetime many have less. Do you care to explain? Do you expect a long lifetime or do you expect strong changes in the sales curve?



3DS-FC: 4511-1768-7903 (Mii-Name: Mnementh), Nintendo-Network-ID: Mnementh, Switch: SW-7706-3819-9381 (Mnementh)

my greatest games: 2017, 2018, 2019

Predictions: Switch / Switch vs. XB1 in the US / Three Houses first quarter

30 million if no price change this years, around 60 if they price cut at least for next holydays



It'll sell more than the Wii U because it's pretty much a portable but it won't sell more than 3DS, maybe 5-10 mil more than the 3DS.



"There is only one race, the pathetic begging race"

I think I perdicted something similar before, but 60-70 million lifetime.



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March 2017 to March 2018 - 6.5m
March 2017 to Lifetime - 36m



"Wheel me out to the curb for garbage day"

2017 15-20M
Lifetime 65-80M



5 million for 2017 unless they overcome the undershipping problems by the holidays, in which case 6.5-7.5 million.

Lifetime: 30 million low end, if they don't lower the price by holidays 2018 and if the software lineup doesn't shape up. 70 million high end with hd Pokemon, true combining of the home console and handheld libraries, and aggressive price cuts.

It will sell more in 2018 than in 2017 due to being on the market for a full year, not having the undershipping problems of 2017, and having more games available.. The year the next pokemon comes out will be its highest selling year, and it will be downhill from there



If handled like I fear it would be - 25m or less

If they have a really big shake up and actually watch the market and see what people are willing to pay and get software coming out at a decent pace - 50m lifetime

I really think Nintendo think that the idea is worth far more than it actually is, online fees, 70e controllers, no pack in software, so much bad ideas to get people to buy the system, after that show on the 12th I most certainly went from a "Day 1" to a "Maybe some day if they prove they're not going to Wii-U it"



Fancy hearing me on an amateur podcast with friends gushing over one of my favourite games? https://youtu.be/1I7JfMMxhf8

I can't see it doing well, to be honest. I find it unattractive as a home console and too expensive for a handheld.

I'll be pleasantly surprised if it sells more than 35 mil. lifetime.



Please excuse my bad English.

Currently gaming on a PC with an i5-4670k@stock (for now), 16Gb RAM 1600 MHz and a GTX 1070

Steam / Live / NNID : jonxiquet    Add me if you want, but I'm a single player gamer.