Quantcast
Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

How much do you think Switch will sell lifetime?

<10M 39 4.04%
 
10M-20M 125 12.95%
 
20M-30M 137 14.20%
 
30M-40M 143 14.82%
 
40M-50M 121 12.54%
 
50M-60M 120 12.44%
 
60M-70M 70 7.25%
 
70M-80M 60 6.22%
 
80M-100M 59 6.11%
 
> 100M 91 9.43%
 
Total:965

Tagging.

Im not predicting, just reading :)



Around the Network

40m if batteries start exploding.

100m+ if they don't



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

Mummelmann said:

Man, oh man, how I want to hear JL's opinion on the Switch. Then again, we already know the answer. I wonder if he's spouting nonsense in another forum nowadays?

"Nonsense"?! I think you mean "measured analysis."

The most recent thing I've seen from him is this TWO HOUR AND FORTY FIVE MINUTE debate/lecture/alternate history workshop from December 2015.



It will probably do pretty good in Japan, but.. I expect only 10-20 million. When Nintendo will release a 3ds successor they will go in competition with themselves.
I really hope that Nintendo is not that short sighted again and still have something up their sleeves.



Intel Core i7 8700K | 32 GB DDR 4 PC 3200 | ROG STRIX Z370-F Gaming | Nvidia RTX 2080 Ti 11GB VRAM | Asus PG27UQ gaming on 3840 x 2160 @120 Hz GSYNC HDR| HTC Vive Pro :3

Reached PC master race level.

30 million.



Around the Network
badgenome said:
Mummelmann said:

Man, oh man, how I want to hear JL's opinion on the Switch. Then again, we already know the answer. I wonder if he's spouting nonsense in another forum nowadays?

"Nonsense"?! I think you mean "measured analysis."

The most recent thing I've seen from him is this TWO HOUR AND FORTY FIVE MINUTE debate/lecture/alternate history workshop from December 2015.

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

Mummelmann said:

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.

It's a good thing he doesn't. I'd hate to see the clever little bastards go extinct.

SAVE THE CROWS!



badgenome said:
Mummelmann said:

Woops, sorry! I meant measured analysis, of course!

He has time to hold near three hour lectures on youtube and I know he posts long posts on politics on other sites, but he doesn't even have one minute to come here are eat a truckload of delicious crow. Or even make the mandatory 240 million lifetime sales prediction.

It's a good thing he doesn't. I'd hate to see the clever little bastards go extinct.

SAVE THE CROWS!



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

I'll use my the same prediction I used for the Wii U years ago, which is 45 million if Nintendo gives the Switch a $50 price cut this holiday season. If not, I think 30 million would be a fairly reasonable estimate. It'll all depend on how the Switch performs and is perceived by the market so I might change my prediction accordingly.



Currently Playing: SSB: Ultimate Splatoon 2, LoZ: Breath of the Wild, & Fortnite

40M if they kill the 3DS quickly and keep only one console with both handheld and home console games.

Less than 20M, more like 10-15M if they don't kill the 3DS quickly or even launch a new handheld (and if they don't do a big price cut).